Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 21, 2006

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $25.7700 (-0.15%) ($25.7200 - $25.8300) on Tue. Nov. 21, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.45% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $25.7700(-0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.225% (StdDev 0.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.8(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.68(0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.71(0.23%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.62% (three month std-dev: 0.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2006	25.21	25.71	25.68	25.8			25.77(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	8	66	1.95	55%	0.04	35.5	0.45%	0	0.4	55	0
2	Nov_20_2006	25.2	25.71	25.67	25.75			25.81(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	12	45	10.02	55%	0.08	38.7	0.45%	0	0.7	47	0
3	Nov_17_2006	25.18	25.7	25.64	25.68			25.89(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	10	12	9.64	55%	0.04	37.9	0.45%	0	1.1	48	0
4	Nov_16_2006	25.17	25.68	25.6	25.62			25.85(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	-10000	12	-30	1.57	55%	0.08	33.3	0.45%	0	1	43	0
5	Nov_15_2006	25.15	25.66	25.57	25.55			25.67(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-21	-10000	-2	-79	0.64	55%	0.08	25.8	0.44%	0	0.1	32	0

6	Nov_14_2006	25.13	25.65	25.56	25.56			25.54(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-2	-89	0.91	53%	0.08	25.7	0.45%	0	-0.6	37	0
7	Nov_13_2006	25.11	25.65	25.59	25.57			25.47(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10000	-4	-82	1.03	53%	0.04	26.9	0.45%	0	-0.9	43	0
8	Nov_10_2006	25.1	25.64	25.63	25.59			25.55(0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-16	-10000	4	-75	0.46	57%	0.08	28	0.44%	0	-0.4	42	0
9	Nov_9_2006	25.08	25.63	25.67	25.57			25.54(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-2	-61	1.31	57%	0.08	25.6	0.46%	0	-0.4	52	0
10	Nov_8_2006	25.06	25.62	25.71	25.58			25.69(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	2	-31	0.81	60%	0.08	25.6	0.46%	0	0.3	59	0

11	Nov_7_2006	25.04	25.6	25.73	25.57			25.6(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-9	-15	1.74	60%	0.08	19.1	0.46%	0	0	59	0
12	Nov_6_2006	25.02	25.59	25.74	25.62			25.56(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-8	16	1.08	60%	0.04	25.5	0.47%	0	-0.1	61	0
13	Nov_3_2006	25.01	25.58	25.77	25.67			25.47(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-10000	-17	51	1.92	60%	0.08	33.7	0.46%	0	-0.4	57	0
14	Nov_2_2006	24.99	25.57	25.78	25.77			25.59(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-15	93	1.35	65%	0.08	42.9	0.46%	0	0.1	63	0
15	Nov_1_2006	24.97	25.57	25.77	25.86			25.63(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	26	-10000	-8	126	2.56	65%	0.08	53.1	0.47%	0	0.3	62	0

16	Oct_31_2006	24.95	25.56	25.76	25.91			25.83(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	41	-10000	3	155	0.84	69%	0.08	56.9	0.46%	0	1	71	0
17	Oct_30_2006	24.93	25.53	25.71	25.89			25.85(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	39	-10000	2	149	2.9	69%	0.08	52.9	0.47%	0	1.2	73	0
18	Oct_27_2006	24.91	25.49	25.66	25.88			25.96(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	-10000	15	150	1.7	72%	0.12	55.3	0.48%	0	2	72	0
19	Oct_26_2006	24.88	25.46	25.59	25.79			26.05(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	48	-10000	20	133	1.45	72%	0.08	47.7	0.48%	0	2.7	78	0
20	Oct_25_2006	24.86	25.43	25.52	25.67			25.88(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	-10000	15	99	2.5	70%	0.08	39.4	0.48%	0	2.5	66	0

21	Oct_24_2006	24.84	25.41	25.46	25.58			25.71(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	15	64	1	70%	0.08	27.3	0.48%	0	2.1	56	0
22	Oct_23_2006	24.82	25.39	25.41	25.49			25.79(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	22	-10000	15	44	2.05	70%	0.08	3.9	0.48%	0	3.1	68	0
23	Oct_20_2006	24.8	25.39	25.36	25.4			25.54(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	13	-10000	9	24	2.57	68%	0.08	-31.4	0.47%	0	2	63	0
24	Oct_19_2006	24.78	25.39	25.34	25.35			25.45(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	3	-10000	3	4	1.28	71%	0.04	-51.4	0.47%	0	1	52	0
25	Oct_18_2006	24.77	25.36	25.33	25.33			25.39(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	2	-4	2.11	71%		-55.8	0.49%	0	0.3	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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