Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 22, 2006

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $25.4800 (0.08%) ($25.3800 - $25.4800) on Fri. Sep. 22, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.57% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $25.4800(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.285% (StdDev 0.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $25.54
5 Day Moving Average   $25.53(-0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.59(-0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.54(-0.23%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.47% (three month std-dev: 0.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2006	24.51	25.54	25.59	25.53			25.48(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-3	-5	1.36	65%	0.08	59.6	0.57%	0	-0.5	44	0
2	Sep_21_2006	24.49	25.53	25.59	25.55			25.46(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10000	-6	-0	1.81	65%	0.04	63.6	0.58%	0	-0.5	49	0
3	Sep_20_2006	24.48	25.51	25.6	25.59			25.69(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	3	10	2.11	71%	0.08	65.1	0.56%	0	1.1	57	0
4	Sep_19_2006	24.46	25.49	25.6	25.57			25.54(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-10000	-6	3	1.28	70%	0.08	66.7	0.56%	0	0.3	55	0
5	Sep_18_2006	24.44	25.48	25.58	25.61			25.48(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-0	-10000	-7	20	1.4	70%	0.08	79.1	0.57%	0	0	57	0

6	Sep_15_2006	24.42	25.46	25.6	25.66			25.58(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10000	1	51	1.6	72%	0.04	91.5	0.57%	0	0.7	64	0
7	Sep_14_2006	24.41	25.44	25.59	25.65			25.68(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	8	62	0.95	72%	0.08	86.1	0.57%	0	1.2	66	0
8	Sep_13_2006	24.39	25.41	25.57	25.59			25.55(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	1	61	1.8	72%	0.08	89.9	0.57%	0	0.7	67	0
9	Sep_12_2006	24.37	25.39	25.56	25.58			25.74(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	4	70	3.27	75%	0.12	90.4	0.56%	0	1.7	70	0
10	Sep_11_2006	24.34	25.34	25.52	25.55			25.73(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	1	65	1.55	75%	0.08	87.4	0.57%	0	1.8	69	0

11	Sep_8_2006	24.32	25.3	25.48	25.54			25.54(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	1	66	0.53	74%	0.08	85.7	0.56%	0	1	66	0
12	Sep_7_2006	24.3	25.27	25.45	25.53			25.41(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-3	75	3.36	74%	0.08	89	0.56%	0	0.6	68	0
13	Sep_6_2006	24.28	25.23	25.43	25.55			25.5(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	1	85	1.71	74%	0.12	77.6	0.56%	0	1	70	0
14	Sep_5_2006	24.25	25.2	25.4	25.54			25.57(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	7	93	2.12	67%	0.08	83.2	0.56%	0	1.4	75	0
15	Sep_1_2006	24.23	25.15	25.37	25.49			25.66(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	32	-10000	11	95	0.75	67%	0.08	78.4	0.58%	0	1.8	84	0

16	Aug_31_2006	24.21	25.1	25.32	25.41			25.52(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	-10000	7	90	1.77	67%	0.12	73.1	0.58%	0	1.6	83	0
17	Aug_30_2006	24.18	25.06	25.27	25.36			25.5(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	28	-10000	9	86	0.86	62%	0.08	76.9	0.59%	0	1.7	78	0
18	Aug_29_2006	24.16	25.02	25.23	25.29			25.43(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	25	-10000	5	84	2.32	62%	0.08	68.5	0.61%	0	1.5	82	0
19	Aug_28_2006	24.14	24.97	25.19	25.25			25.34(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	3	86	1.74	62%	0.08	62.5	0.61%	0	1.4	70	0
20	Aug_25_2006	24.12	24.93	25.15	25.23			25.24(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	1	91	1.06	64%	0.08	63	0.61%	0	1.2	71	0

21	Aug_24_2006	24.1	24.91	25.11	25.22			25.28(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	6	94	1.63	65%	0.04	64.4	0.62%	0	1.4	69	0
22	Aug_23_2006	24.09	24.87	25.07	25.17			25.15(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	1	89	1.69	65%	0.08	63.9	0.62%	0	1.2	67	0
23	Aug_22_2006	24.07	24.84	25.02	25.16			25.23(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	5	89	0.56	65%	0.04	68.8	0.62%	0	1.7	72	0
24	Aug_21_2006	24.06	24.81	24.98	25.12			25.25(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	9	97	0.85	65%	0.08	79.8	0.62%	0	2	78	0
25	Aug_18_2006	24.04	24.78	24.92	25.05			25.19(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	9	87	1.07	65%		87.1	0.62%	0	2	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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