Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 14, 2006

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $25.6800 (0.51%) ($25.4800 - $25.6900) on Thu. Sep. 14, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.57% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $25.6800(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.285% (StdDev 0.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.65(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.59(0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.44(0.94%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.79% (three month std-dev: 0.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2006	24.41	25.44	25.59	25.65			25.68(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	8	62	0.95	72%	0.08	86.1	0.57%	0	1.2	66	0
2	Sep_13_2006	24.39	25.41	25.57	25.59			25.55(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	1	61	1.8	72%	0.08	89.9	0.57%	0	0.7	67	0
3	Sep_12_2006	24.37	25.39	25.56	25.58			25.74(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	4	70	3.27	75%	0.12	90.4	0.56%	0	1.7	70	0
4	Sep_11_2006	24.34	25.34	25.52	25.55			25.73(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	1	65	1.55	75%	0.08	87.4	0.57%	0	1.8	69	0
5	Sep_8_2006	24.32	25.3	25.48	25.54			25.54(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	1	66	0.53	74%	0.08	85.7	0.56%	0	1	66	0

6	Sep_7_2006	24.3	25.27	25.45	25.53			25.41(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-3	75	3.36	74%	0.08	89	0.56%	0	0.6	68	0
7	Sep_6_2006	24.28	25.23	25.43	25.55			25.5(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	1	85	1.71	74%	0.12	77.6	0.56%	0	1	70	0
8	Sep_5_2006	24.25	25.2	25.4	25.54			25.57(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	7	93	2.12	67%	0.08	83.2	0.56%	0	1.4	75	0
9	Sep_1_2006	24.23	25.15	25.37	25.49			25.66(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	32	-10000	11	95	0.75	67%	0.08	78.4	0.58%	0	1.8	84	0
10	Aug_31_2006	24.21	25.1	25.32	25.41			25.52(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	-10000	7	90	1.77	67%	0.12	73.1	0.58%	0	1.6	83	0

11	Aug_30_2006	24.18	25.06	25.27	25.36			25.5(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	28	-10000	9	86	0.86	62%	0.08	76.9	0.59%	0	1.7	78	0
12	Aug_29_2006	24.16	25.02	25.23	25.29			25.43(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	25	-10000	5	84	2.32	62%	0.08	68.5	0.61%	0	1.5	82	0
13	Aug_28_2006	24.14	24.97	25.19	25.25			25.34(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	3	86	1.74	62%	0.08	62.5	0.61%	0	1.4	70	0
14	Aug_25_2006	24.12	24.93	25.15	25.23			25.24(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	1	91	1.06	64%	0.08	63	0.61%	0	1.2	71	0
15	Aug_24_2006	24.1	24.91	25.11	25.22			25.28(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	6	94	1.63	65%	0.04	64.4	0.62%	0	1.4	69	0

16	Aug_23_2006	24.09	24.87	25.07	25.17			25.15(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	1	89	1.69	65%	0.08	63.9	0.62%	0	1.2	67	0
17	Aug_22_2006	24.07	24.84	25.02	25.16			25.23(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	5	89	0.56	65%	0.04	68.8	0.62%	0	1.7	72	0
18	Aug_21_2006	24.06	24.81	24.98	25.12			25.25(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	9	97	0.85	65%	0.08	79.8	0.62%	0	2	78	0
19	Aug_18_2006	24.04	24.78	24.92	25.05			25.19(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	9	87	1.07	65%	0.08	87.1	0.62%	0	2	70	0
20	Aug_17_2006	24.02	24.74	24.87	24.98			25.04(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	4	73	3.01	61%	0.04	97.4	0.62%	0	1.6	61	0

21	Aug_16_2006	24.01	24.71	24.84	24.95			25.08(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	11	78	4.64	61%	0.04	105.5	0.64%	0	2.1	68	0
22	Aug_15_2006	24	24.68	24.8	24.86			25.05(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	6	61	0.93	63%	0.04	88.3	0.64%	0	1.9	61	0
23	Aug_14_2006	23.99	24.64	24.74	24.81			24.89(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	5	40	2.43	62%	0.04	63.5	0.65%	0	1.2	53	0
24	Aug_11_2006	23.98	24.6	24.71	24.77			24.84(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	2	28	0.66	56%	0.04	45.2	0.66%	0	1	56	0
25	Aug_10_2006	23.97	24.56	24.69	24.75			24.89(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	5	34	1.28	56%		34.7	0.68%	0	1.4	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.