Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 1, 2006

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $25.6600 (0.55%) ($25.5100 - $25.6700) on Fri. Sep. 1, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.58% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $25.6600(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.29% (StdDev 0.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.49(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.37(1.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.15(2.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 0.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2006	24.23	25.15	25.37	25.49			25.66(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	32	-10000	11	95	0.75	67%	0.08	78.4	0.58%	0	1.8	84	0
2	Aug_31_2006	24.21	25.1	25.32	25.41			25.52(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	-10000	7	90	1.77	67%	0.12	73.1	0.58%	0	1.6	83	0
3	Aug_30_2006	24.18	25.06	25.27	25.36			25.5(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	28	-10000	9	86	0.86	62%	0.08	76.9	0.59%	0	1.7	78	0
4	Aug_29_2006	24.16	25.02	25.23	25.29			25.43(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	25	-10000	5	84	2.32	62%	0.08	68.5	0.61%	0	1.5	82	0
5	Aug_28_2006	24.14	24.97	25.19	25.25			25.34(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	3	86	1.74	62%	0.08	62.5	0.61%	0	1.4	70	0

6	Aug_25_2006	24.12	24.93	25.15	25.23			25.24(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	1	91	1.06	64%	0.08	63	0.61%	0	1.2	71	0
7	Aug_24_2006	24.1	24.91	25.11	25.22			25.28(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	6	94	1.63	65%	0.04	64.4	0.62%	0	1.4	69	0
8	Aug_23_2006	24.09	24.87	25.07	25.17			25.15(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	1	89	1.69	65%	0.08	63.9	0.62%	0	1.2	67	0
9	Aug_22_2006	24.07	24.84	25.02	25.16			25.23(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	5	89	0.56	65%	0.04	68.8	0.62%	0	1.7	72	0
10	Aug_21_2006	24.06	24.81	24.98	25.12			25.25(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	9	97	0.85	65%	0.08	79.8	0.62%	0	2	78	0

11	Aug_18_2006	24.04	24.78	24.92	25.05			25.19(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	9	87	1.07	65%	0.08	87.1	0.62%	0	2	70	0
12	Aug_17_2006	24.02	24.74	24.87	24.98			25.04(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	4	73	3.01	61%	0.04	97.4	0.62%	0	1.6	61	0
13	Aug_16_2006	24.01	24.71	24.84	24.95			25.08(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	11	78	4.64	61%	0.04	105.5	0.64%	0	2.1	68	0
14	Aug_15_2006	24	24.68	24.8	24.86			25.05(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	6	61	0.93	63%	0.04	88.3	0.64%	0	1.9	61	0
15	Aug_14_2006	23.99	24.64	24.74	24.81			24.89(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	5	40	2.43	62%	0.04	63.5	0.65%	0	1.2	53	0

16	Aug_11_2006	23.98	24.6	24.71	24.77			24.84(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	2	28	0.66	56%	0.04	45.2	0.66%	0	1	56	0
17	Aug_10_2006	23.97	24.56	24.69	24.75			24.89(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	5	34	1.28	56%	0.04	34.7	0.68%	0	1.4	62	0
18	Aug_9_2006	23.96	24.52	24.65	24.71			24.63(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-1	25	3.86	54%	0.04	30	0.67%	0	0.5	55	0
19	Aug_8_2006	23.95	24.51	24.65	24.72			24.79(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	8	35	5.64	54%	0	37.8	0.67%	0	1.3	60	0
20	Aug_7_2006	23.95	24.51	24.64	24.65			24.68(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	2	38	0.97	54%	0.04	37.2	0.67%	0	0.9	66	0

21	Aug_4_2006	23.94	24.5	24.63	24.63			24.74(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	1	52	0.68	56%	0.04	41.9	0.68%	0	1.1	70	0
22	Aug_3_2006	23.93	24.48	24.6	24.62			24.73(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	6	68	1.28	54%	0	43.9	0.68%	0	1.3	71	0
23	Aug_2_2006	23.93	24.46	24.58	24.57			24.67(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	1	65	0.92	55%	0.04	45.3	0.68%	0	1	61	0
24	Aug_1_2006	23.92	24.46	24.56	24.56			24.45(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-7	62	1.27	53%	0	53.7	0.68%	0	0.1	50	0
25	Jul_31_2006	23.92	24.43	24.53	24.62			24.57(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-1	62	0.94	53%		68.6	0.68%	0	0.7	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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