Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 3, 2006

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $24.7300 (0.24%) ($24.6000 - $24.7700) on Thu. Aug. 3, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.68% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $24.7300(0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.62(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.6(0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.48(1.02%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2006	23.93	24.48	24.6	24.62			24.73(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	6	68	1.28	54%	0	43.9	0.68%	0	1.3	71	0
2	Aug_2_2006	23.93	24.46	24.58	24.57			24.67(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	1	65	0.92	55%	0.04	45.3	0.68%	0	1	61	0
3	Aug_1_2006	23.92	24.46	24.56	24.56			24.45(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-7	62	1.27	53%	0	53.7	0.68%	0	0.1	50	0
4	Jul_31_2006	23.92	24.43	24.53	24.62			24.57(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-1	62	0.94	53%	0.04	68.6	0.68%	0	0.7	47	0
5	Jul_28_2006	23.91	24.41	24.49	24.63			24.69(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	6	54	2.09	53%	0	79.1	0.67%	0	1.3	53	0

6	Jul_27_2006	23.91	24.39	24.42	24.63			24.46(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	8	-10000	0	31	4.07	51%	0.04	86.6	0.67%	0	0.4	53	0
7	Jul_26_2006	23.9	24.36	24.4	24.58			24.62(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	4	29	1.9	53%	0.04	81.1	0.66%	0	1.2	55	0
8	Jul_25_2006	23.89	24.32	24.38	24.55			24.74(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	14	38	4.86	53%	0.04	70.7	0.66%	0	1.7	64	0
9	Jul_24_2006	23.88	24.28	24.36	24.44			24.62(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	14	25	1.96	53%	0.04	66.3	0.66%	0	1.5	56	0
10	Jul_21_2006	23.87	24.24	24.34	24.33			24.44(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	11	12	0.8	52%	0.04	51.5	0.66%	0	0.8	56	0

11	Jul_20_2006	23.86	24.22	24.33	24.24			24.49(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	-10000	6	-7	0.5	52%	0.04	41.7	0.66%	0	1.1	54	0
12	Jul_19_2006	23.85	24.19	24.32	24.19			24.47(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	-10000	1	-3	2.52	52%	0.04	40.8	0.66%	0	1.1	61	0
13	Jul_18_2006	23.84	24.15	24.29	24.18			24.17(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-10	-10000	-13	0	1.58	51%	0.04	45.2	0.64%	0	0.1	60	0
14	Jul_17_2006	23.83	24.13	24.31	24.28			24.06(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-11	35	1.18	51%	0	52.7	0.65%	0	-0.3	55	0
15	Jul_14_2006	23.83	24.12	24.33	24.37			24(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	11	-10000	-9	70	3.46	51%	0	60.3	0.65%	0	-0.4	57	0

16	Jul_13_2006	23.83	24.11	24.36	24.44			24.24(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	23	-10000	-4	104	0.84	54%	0.04	69.8	0.65%	0	0.5	59	0
17	Jul_12_2006	23.82	24.09	24.33	24.47			24.44(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	8	120	2.13	56%	0.04	68	0.64%	0	1.2	63	0
18	Jul_11_2006	23.81	24.04	24.28	24.41			24.64(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	8	112	2.27	56%	0	60.8	0.63%	0	2	70	0
19	Jul_10_2006	23.81	23.99	24.2	24.35			24.51(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	9	109	1.72	56%	0.04	60.7	0.64%	0	1.9	71	0
20	Jul_7_2006	23.8	23.95	24.13	24.28			24.36(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	1	98	0.81	53%	0.04	57.7	0.63%	0	1.6	65	0

21	Jul_6_2006	23.79	23.92	24.08	24.27			24.41(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	12	101	3.09	53%	0.04	55	0.64%	0	2	63	0
22	Jul_5_2006	23.78	23.88	24.03	24.18			24.13(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	8	91	1.18	50%	0.04	46.6	0.63%	0	1.2	63	0
23	Jul_3_2006	23.77	23.86	24	24.12			24.33(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	-10000	11	91	0.54	52%	0.04	36.4	0.62%	0	2.2	71	0
24	Jun_30_2006	23.76	23.82	23.94	24.04			24.19(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-10000	11	77	5.45	50%	0.04	18.4	0.61%	0	2.1	65	0
25	Jun_29_2006	23.75	23.81	23.89	23.96			24.31(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	24	-10000	12	59	1.59	52%		4.5	0.62%	0	3.1	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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