Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 12, 2006

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.6700 (-0.8%) ($23.6400 - $23.9300) on Fri. May. 12, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.6% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $23.6700(-0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.3% (StdDev 0.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $23.75
5 Day Moving Average   $24.03(-1.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.96(-1.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.75(-0.34%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.26% (three month std-dev: 0.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2006	23.61	23.75	23.96	24.03			23.67(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	9	-10000	-11	68	1.86	53%	0	59.5	0.6%	0	-0.3	58	0
2	May_11_2006	23.61	23.73	23.96	24.11			23.86(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	28	-10000	1	109	1.82	55%	0	57.8	0.59%	0	0.4	67	0
3	May_10_2006	23.61	23.71	23.98	24.1			24.16(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	10	132	0.37	58%	0	51.1	0.57%	0	1.4	81	0
4	May_9_2006	23.61	23.66	23.93	24.03			24.26(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	40	-10000	9	131	0.76	58%	0.04	40.7	0.57%	0	1.9	87	0
5	May_8_2006	23.6	23.61	23.86	23.97			24.19(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	39	-10000	10	126	0.65	58%	0	35.8	0.57%	0	2	87	0

6	May_5_2006	23.6	23.57	23.79	23.9			24.06(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	37	-10000	7	126	0.69	58%	0.04	29.1	0.57%	0	1.9	89	0
7	May_4_2006	23.59	23.55	23.73	23.85			23.84(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	33	-10000	3	123	0.57	56%	-0.04	24.5	0.56%	0	1.2	75	0
8	May_3_2006	23.6	23.54	23.69	23.83			23.8(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10000	1	127	0.54	54%	0.04	20.4	0.56%	0	1.1	72	0
9	May_2_2006	23.59	23.53	23.65	23.82			23.96(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	-10000	14	138	1.03	56%	0	19.4	0.56%	0	2	83	0
10	May_1_2006	23.59	23.51	23.59	23.73			23.82(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	9	113	0.74	55%	0.04	3.5	0.56%	0	1.5	63	0

11	Apr_28_2006	23.58	23.5	23.52	23.67			23.81(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	12	89	1.27	55%	0	-13.6	0.56%	0	1.6	64	0
12	Apr_27_2006	23.58	23.5	23.46	23.59			23.77(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	11	56	0.6	57%	0.04	-33.8	0.56%	0	1.6	52	0
13	Apr_26_2006	23.57	23.5	23.41	23.52			23.74(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	-10000	11	21	0.45	57%	0	-49.4	0.57%	0	1.3	48	0
14	Apr_25_2006	23.57	23.49	23.36	23.45			23.52(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	5	-17	0.99	54%	0	-65.4	0.56%	0	0.2	42	0
15	Apr_24_2006	23.57	23.5	23.35	23.42			23.52(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	12	-34	0.93	54%	0	-69.7	0.56%	0	0.1	42	0

16	Apr_21_2006	23.57	23.53	23.33	23.34			23.42(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10000	5	-66	0.76	54%	0	-72.4	0.55%	0	-0.5	42	0
17	Apr_20_2006	23.57	23.55	23.35	23.31			23.42(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-10000	5	-77	0.85	51%	0	-73.6	0.56%	0	-0.5	39	0
18	Apr_19_2006	23.57	23.59	23.37	23.28			23.38(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-10000	4	-88	1.31	51%	0	-66.4	0.59%	0	-0.8	32	0
19	Apr_18_2006	23.57	23.61	23.4	23.25			23.35(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-28	-10000	-3	-102	1.13	51%	-0.04	-72.3	0.59%	0	-0.9	39	0
20	Apr_17_2006	23.58	23.65	23.43	23.27			23.13(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-9	-112	0.55	48%	0	-69.9	0.58%	0	-1.8	27	0

21	Apr_13_2006	23.58	23.69	23.48	23.33			23.26(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-11	-118	0.71	48%	-0.04	-71.2	0.57%	0	-1.5	27	0
22	Apr_12_2006	23.59	23.74	23.52	23.4			23.3(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-10000	-12	-114	1.42	48%	0	-66.4	0.57%	0	-1.7	28	0
23	Apr_11_2006	23.59	23.77	23.58	23.48			23.22(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-37	-10000	-13	-108	0.94	48%	0	-59	0.57%	0	-2.2	21	0
24	Apr_10_2006	23.59	23.82	23.63	23.57			23.44(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-8	-97	0.9	51%	0	-45.4	0.56%	0	-1.7	36	0
25	Apr_7_2006	23.59	23.86	23.68	23.62			23.41(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-10000	-5	-94	2.28	51%		-27.2	0.56%	0	-2	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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