Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 24, 2006

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.5200 (0.43%) ($23.3200 - $23.5300) on Mon. Apr. 24, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.56% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $23.5200(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.28% (StdDev 0.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.42(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.35(0.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.5(0.09%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.89% (three month std-dev: 0.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060524

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_24_2006	23.57	23.5	23.35	23.42			23.52(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	12	-34	0.93	54%	0	-69.7	0.56%	0	0.1	42	0
2	Apr_21_2006	23.57	23.53	23.33	23.34			23.42(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10000	5	-66	0.76	54%	0	-72.4	0.55%	0	-0.5	42	0
3	Apr_20_2006	23.57	23.55	23.35	23.31			23.42(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-10000	5	-77	0.85	51%	0	-73.6	0.56%	0	-0.5	39	0
4	Apr_19_2006	23.57	23.59	23.37	23.28			23.38(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-10000	4	-88	1.31	51%	0	-66.4	0.59%	0	-0.8	32	0
5	Apr_18_2006	23.57	23.61	23.4	23.25			23.35(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-28	-10000	-3	-102	1.13	51%	-0.04	-72.3	0.59%	0	-0.9	39	0

6	Apr_17_2006	23.58	23.65	23.43	23.27			23.13(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-9	-112	0.55	48%	0	-69.9	0.58%	0	-1.8	27	0
7	Apr_13_2006	23.58	23.69	23.48	23.33			23.26(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-11	-118	0.71	48%	-0.04	-71.2	0.57%	0	-1.5	27	0
8	Apr_12_2006	23.59	23.74	23.52	23.4			23.3(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-10000	-12	-114	1.42	48%	0	-66.4	0.57%	0	-1.7	28	0
9	Apr_11_2006	23.59	23.77	23.58	23.48			23.22(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-37	-10000	-13	-108	0.94	48%	0	-59	0.57%	0	-2.2	21	0
10	Apr_10_2006	23.59	23.82	23.63	23.57			23.44(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-8	-97	0.9	51%	0	-45.4	0.56%	0	-1.7	36	0

11	Apr_7_2006	23.59	23.86	23.68	23.62			23.41(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-10000	-5	-94	2.28	51%	0	-27.2	0.56%	0	-2	31	0
12	Apr_6_2006	23.59	23.89	23.74	23.65			23.62(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-3	-86	1.29	53%	0	-12.5	0.55%	0	-1.4	41	0
13	Apr_5_2006	23.59	23.91	23.77	23.67			23.71(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10000	-5	-90	1.12	53%	0.04	0	0.55%	0	-1.1	39	0
14	Apr_4_2006	23.58	23.91	23.81	23.7			23.66(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-1	-74	1.52	53%	0	12	0.56%	0	-1.4	40	0
15	Apr_3_2006	23.58	23.91	23.84	23.71			23.68(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-8	-84	1.25	55%	0	14.3	0.56%	0	-1.2	39	0

16	Mar_31_2006	23.58	23.91	23.88	23.76			23.6(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-10	-78	0.54	55%	0	11.4	0.56%	0	-1.5	35	0
17	Mar_30_2006	23.58	23.92	23.92	23.83			23.69(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-9	-66	1.43	52%	0.04	18.5	0.57%	0	-1	37	0
18	Mar_29_2006	23.57	23.91	23.97	23.89			23.88(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-10000	-9	-47	0.61	55%	0.04	19.6	0.57%	0	-0.1	50	0
19	Mar_28_2006	23.56	23.9	23.98	23.95			23.71(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-6	-28	1.22	53%	0	22.9	0.56%	0	-0.8	47	0
20	Mar_27_2006	23.56	23.9	24.02	23.99			23.9(-0.33%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-4	-10000	-6	2	0.95	53%	0.04	27.1	0.55%	0	0	61	0

21	Mar_24_2006	23.55	23.89	24.05	23.99			23.98(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	0	43	1.19	53%	0.04	36.5	0.56%	0	0.4	67	0
22	Mar_23_2006	23.54	23.88	24.07	24.03			23.98(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-3	66	2.02	53%	0.04	35.4	0.56%	0	0.4	64	0
23	Mar_22_2006	23.53	23.87	24.06	24.05			24.16(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	4	97	1.35	56%	0.04	42.7	0.55%	0	1.3	71	0
24	Mar_21_2006	23.52	23.85	24.04	24.02			23.94(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-6	101	1.6	53%	0.04	45.8	0.54%	0	0.4	61	0
25	Mar_20_2006	23.51	23.83	24.01	24.06			24.1(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	29	-10000	-2	120	1.04	53%		58.8	0.53%	0	1.2	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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