Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 21, 2006

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.4200 (0%) ($23.3300 - $23.5600) on Fri. Apr. 21, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $23.4200(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $23.53
5 Day Moving Average   $23.34(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.33(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.53(-0.47%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.98% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2006	23.57	23.53	23.33	23.34			23.42(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10000	5	-66	0.76	54%	0	-72.4	0.55%	0	-0.5	42	0
2	Apr_20_2006	23.57	23.55	23.35	23.31			23.42(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-10000	5	-77	0.85	51%	0	-73.6	0.56%	0	-0.5	39	0
3	Apr_19_2006	23.57	23.59	23.37	23.28			23.38(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-10000	4	-88	1.31	51%	0	-66.4	0.59%	0	-0.8	32	0
4	Apr_18_2006	23.57	23.61	23.4	23.25			23.35(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-28	-10000	-3	-102	1.13	51%	-0.04	-72.3	0.59%	0	-0.9	39	0
5	Apr_17_2006	23.58	23.65	23.43	23.27			23.13(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-9	-112	0.55	48%	0	-69.9	0.58%	0	-1.8	27	0

6	Apr_13_2006	23.58	23.69	23.48	23.33			23.26(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-11	-118	0.71	48%	-0.04	-71.2	0.57%	0	-1.5	27	0
7	Apr_12_2006	23.59	23.74	23.52	23.4			23.3(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-10000	-12	-114	1.42	48%	0	-66.4	0.57%	0	-1.7	28	0
8	Apr_11_2006	23.59	23.77	23.58	23.48			23.22(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-37	-10000	-13	-108	0.94	48%	0	-59	0.57%	0	-2.2	21	0
9	Apr_10_2006	23.59	23.82	23.63	23.57			23.44(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-8	-97	0.9	51%	0	-45.4	0.56%	0	-1.7	36	0
10	Apr_7_2006	23.59	23.86	23.68	23.62			23.41(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-10000	-5	-94	2.28	51%	0	-27.2	0.56%	0	-2	31	0

11	Apr_6_2006	23.59	23.89	23.74	23.65			23.62(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-3	-86	1.29	53%	0	-12.5	0.55%	0	-1.4	41	0
12	Apr_5_2006	23.59	23.91	23.77	23.67			23.71(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10000	-5	-90	1.12	53%	0.04	0	0.55%	0	-1.1	39	0
13	Apr_4_2006	23.58	23.91	23.81	23.7			23.66(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-1	-74	1.52	53%	0	12	0.56%	0	-1.4	40	0
14	Apr_3_2006	23.58	23.91	23.84	23.71			23.68(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-8	-84	1.25	55%	0	14.3	0.56%	0	-1.2	39	0
15	Mar_31_2006	23.58	23.91	23.88	23.76			23.6(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-10	-78	0.54	55%	0	11.4	0.56%	0	-1.5	35	0

16	Mar_30_2006	23.58	23.92	23.92	23.83			23.69(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-9	-66	1.43	52%	0.04	18.5	0.57%	0	-1	37	0
17	Mar_29_2006	23.57	23.91	23.97	23.89			23.88(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-10000	-9	-47	0.61	55%	0.04	19.6	0.57%	0	-0.1	50	0
18	Mar_28_2006	23.56	23.9	23.98	23.95			23.71(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-6	-28	1.22	53%	0	22.9	0.56%	0	-0.8	47	0
19	Mar_27_2006	23.56	23.9	24.02	23.99			23.9(-0.33%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-4	-10000	-6	2	0.95	53%	0.04	27.1	0.55%	0	0	61	0
20	Mar_24_2006	23.55	23.89	24.05	23.99			23.98(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	0	43	1.19	53%	0.04	36.5	0.56%	0	0.4	67	0

21	Mar_23_2006	23.54	23.88	24.07	24.03			23.98(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-3	66	2.02	53%	0.04	35.4	0.56%	0	0.4	64	0
22	Mar_22_2006	23.53	23.87	24.06	24.05			24.16(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	4	97	1.35	56%	0.04	42.7	0.55%	0	1.3	71	0
23	Mar_21_2006	23.52	23.85	24.04	24.02			23.94(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-6	101	1.6	53%	0.04	45.8	0.54%	0	0.4	61	0
24	Mar_20_2006	23.51	23.83	24.01	24.06			24.1(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	29	-10000	-2	120	1.04	53%	0.04	58.8	0.53%	0	1.2	69	0
25	Mar_17_2006	23.5	23.81	23.95	24.07			23.96(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10000	-6	110	0.98	51%		69.1	0.53%	0	0.7	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.