Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 13, 2006

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.2600 (-0.17%) ($23.2000 - $23.3700) on Thu. Apr. 13, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.57% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $23.2600(-0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.285% (StdDev 0.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $21.2(-8.86%)
Resistance Level   $23.69
5 Day Moving Average   $23.33(-0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.48(-0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.69(-1.82%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.18% (three month std-dev: 0.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060513

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_13_2006	23.58	23.69	23.48	23.33			23.26(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-11	-118	0.71	48%	-0.04	-71.2	0.57%	0	-1.5	27	0
2	Apr_12_2006	23.59	23.74	23.52	23.4			23.3(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-10000	-12	-114	1.42	48%	0	-66.4	0.57%	0	-1.7	28	0
3	Apr_11_2006	23.59	23.77	23.58	23.48			23.22(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-37	-10000	-13	-108	0.94	48%	0	-59	0.57%	0	-2.2	21	0
4	Apr_10_2006	23.59	23.82	23.63	23.57			23.44(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-8	-97	0.9	51%	0	-45.4	0.56%	0	-1.7	36	0
5	Apr_7_2006	23.59	23.86	23.68	23.62			23.41(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-10000	-5	-94	2.28	51%	0	-27.2	0.56%	0	-2	31	0

6	Apr_6_2006	23.59	23.89	23.74	23.65			23.62(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-3	-86	1.29	53%	0	-12.5	0.55%	0	-1.4	41	0
7	Apr_5_2006	23.59	23.91	23.77	23.67			23.71(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10000	-5	-90	1.12	53%	0.04	0	0.55%	0	-1.1	39	0
8	Apr_4_2006	23.58	23.91	23.81	23.7			23.66(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-1	-74	1.52	53%	0	12	0.56%	0	-1.4	40	0
9	Apr_3_2006	23.58	23.91	23.84	23.71			23.68(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-8	-84	1.25	55%	0	14.3	0.56%	0	-1.2	39	0
10	Mar_31_2006	23.58	23.91	23.88	23.76			23.6(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-10	-78	0.54	55%	0	11.4	0.56%	0	-1.5	35	0

11	Mar_30_2006	23.58	23.92	23.92	23.83			23.69(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-9	-66	1.43	52%	0.04	18.5	0.57%	0	-1	37	0
12	Mar_29_2006	23.57	23.91	23.97	23.89			23.88(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-10000	-9	-47	0.61	55%	0.04	19.6	0.57%	0	-0.1	50	0
13	Mar_28_2006	23.56	23.9	23.98	23.95			23.71(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-6	-28	1.22	53%	0	22.9	0.56%	0	-0.8	47	0
14	Mar_27_2006	23.56	23.9	24.02	23.99			23.9(-0.33%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-4	-10000	-6	2	0.95	53%	0.04	27.1	0.55%	0	0	61	0
15	Mar_24_2006	23.55	23.89	24.05	23.99			23.98(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	0	43	1.19	53%	0.04	36.5	0.56%	0	0.4	67	0

16	Mar_23_2006	23.54	23.88	24.07	24.03			23.98(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-3	66	2.02	53%	0.04	35.4	0.56%	0	0.4	64	0
17	Mar_22_2006	23.53	23.87	24.06	24.05			24.16(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	4	97	1.35	56%	0.04	42.7	0.55%	0	1.3	71	0
18	Mar_21_2006	23.52	23.85	24.04	24.02			23.94(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-6	101	1.6	53%	0.04	45.8	0.54%	0	0.4	61	0
19	Mar_20_2006	23.51	23.83	24.01	24.06			24.1(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	29	-10000	-2	120	1.04	53%	0.04	58.8	0.53%	0	1.2	69	0
20	Mar_17_2006	23.5	23.81	23.95	24.07			23.96(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10000	-6	110	0.98	51%	0.04	69.1	0.53%	0	0.7	53	0

21	Mar_16_2006	23.49	23.8	23.92	24.11			24.1(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	34	-10000	5	121	1.42	54%	0.04	89.1	0.53%	0	1.4	61	0
22	Mar_15_2006	23.48	23.77	23.86	24.08			24.02(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	5	100	1.27	54%	0.04	93.5	0.53%	0	1.1	55	0
23	Mar_14_2006	23.47	23.74	23.82	24.05			24.11(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	16	94	1.86	56%	0.04	100	0.53%	0	1.7	58	0
24	Mar_13_2006	23.46	23.7	23.76	23.95			24.17(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	-10000	22	68	1.29	60%	0.09	85.6	0.54%	0	2	64	0
25	Mar_10_2006	23.44	23.65	23.72	23.81			24.15(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	-10000	18	38	2.64	60%		72	0.56%	0	2.3	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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