Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 4, 2006

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.6600 (-0.08%) ($23.6000 - $23.7400) on Tue. Apr. 4, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.56% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $23.6600(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.28% (StdDev 0.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $23.92
5 Day Moving Average   $23.7(-0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.81(-0.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.92(-1.09%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.75% (three month std-dev: 0.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2006	23.58		23.81	23.7			23.66(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-1	-74	1.52	53%	0	12	0.56%	0	-1.4	40	0
2	Apr_3_2006	23.58		23.84	23.71			23.68(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-8	-84	1.25	55%	0	14.3	0.56%	0	-1.2	39	0
3	Mar_31_2006	23.58		23.88	23.76			23.6(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-10	-78	0.54	55%	0	11.4	0.56%	0	-1.5	35	0
4	Mar_30_2006	23.58	23.92	23.92	23.83			23.69(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-9	-66	1.43	52%	0.04	18.5	0.57%	0	-1	37	0
5	Mar_29_2006	23.57	23.91	23.97	23.89			23.88(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-10000	-9	-47	0.61	55%	0.04	19.6	0.57%	0	-0.1	50	0

6	Mar_28_2006	23.56	23.9	23.98	23.95			23.71(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-6	-28	1.22	53%	0	22.9	0.56%	0	-0.8	47	0
7	Mar_27_2006	23.56	23.9	24.02	23.99			23.9(-0.33%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-4	-10000	-6	2	0.95	53%	0.04	27.1	0.55%	0	0	61	0
8	Mar_24_2006	23.55	23.89	24.05	23.99			23.98(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	0	43	1.19	53%	0.04	36.5	0.56%	0	0.4	67	0
9	Mar_23_2006	23.54	23.88	24.07	24.03			23.98(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-3	66	2.02	53%	0.04	35.4	0.56%	0	0.4	64	0
10	Mar_22_2006	23.53	23.87	24.06	24.05			24.16(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	4	97	1.35	56%	0.04	42.7	0.55%	0	1.3	71	0

11	Mar_21_2006	23.52	23.85	24.04	24.02			23.94(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-6	101	1.6	53%	0.04	45.8	0.54%	0	0.4	61	0
12	Mar_20_2006	23.51	23.83	24.01	24.06			24.1(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	29	-10000	-2	120	1.04	53%	0.04	58.8	0.53%	0	1.2	69	0
13	Mar_17_2006	23.5	23.81	23.95	24.07			23.96(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10000	-6	110	0.98	51%	0.04	69.1	0.53%	0	0.7	53	0
14	Mar_16_2006	23.49	23.8	23.92	24.11			24.1(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	34	-10000	5	121	1.42	54%	0.04	89.1	0.53%	0	1.4	61	0
15	Mar_15_2006	23.48	23.77	23.86	24.08			24.02(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	5	100	1.27	54%	0.04	93.5	0.53%	0	1.1	55	0

16	Mar_14_2006	23.47	23.74	23.82	24.05			24.11(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	16	94	1.86	56%	0.04	100	0.53%	0	1.7	58	0
17	Mar_13_2006	23.46	23.7	23.76	23.95			24.17(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	-10000	22	68	1.29	60%	0.09	85.6	0.54%	0	2	64	0
18	Mar_10_2006	23.44	23.65	23.72	23.81			24.15(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	-10000	18	38	2.64	60%	0.04	72	0.56%	0	2.3	62	0
19	Mar_9_2006	23.43	23.6	23.67	23.69			23.93(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	12	4	2.68	57%	0.04	56.2	0.55%	0	1.6	54	0
20	Mar_8_2006	23.42	23.57	23.65	23.61			23.89(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	4	-10000	9	-13	2.04	57%	0.04	40.4	0.55%	0	1.5	57	0

21	Mar_7_2006	23.41	23.53	23.64	23.55			23.63(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	3	-17	2.09	54%	0.04	26.9	0.53%	0	0.5	56	0
22	Mar_6_2006	23.4	23.5	23.63	23.53			23.47(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-13	-11	1.46	51%	0	18.4	0.53%	0	-0.1	61	0
23	Mar_3_2006	23.4	23.5	23.65	23.61			23.55(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-3	32	1.05	51%	0.04	21.6	0.52%	0	0.3	62	0
24	Mar_2_2006	23.39	23.49	23.67	23.63			23.49(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-11	58	0.76	51%	0.04	25.5	0.53%	0	0	60	0
25	Mar_1_2006	23.38	23.48	23.68	23.7			23.62(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-5	100	0.45	56%		35.3	0.52%	0	0.6	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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