Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 27, 2006

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.5300 (0.81%) ($23.3100 - $23.5500) on Fri. Jan. 27, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $23.5300(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.32(0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.36(0.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.42(0.47%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.56% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2006	23.26			23.32			23.53(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-3	-10000	12	-48	1.05	59%	0	-55.4	0.52%	0	0.8	50	0
2	Jan_26_2006	23.26	23.42	23.36	23.25			23.34(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-23	-10000	-7	-72	1.23	57%	0	-75	0.52%	0	-0.6	48	0
3	Jan_25_2006	23.26	23.43	23.38	23.29			23.29(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-7	-63	1.13	57%	0	-78.2	0.52%	0	-1.1	41	0
4	Jan_24_2006	23.26	23.45	23.41	23.33			23.27(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-3	-45	1.19	59%	0	-80.4	0.53%	0	-1.5	45	0
5	Jan_23_2006	23.26	23.47	23.44	23.35			23.19(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	-10000	-10	-28	1.43	59%	0	-84.3	0.54%	0	-2.3	49	0

6	Jan_20_2006	23.26	23.5	23.47	23.41			23.17(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-11	-10000	-11	-12	8.32	56%	0	-87.2	0.54%	0	-3	41	0
7	Jan_19_2006	23.26	23.52	23.47	23.48			23.51(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-2	3	1.16	66%	0.04	-81.4	0.51%	0	-0.1	48	0
8	Jan_18_2006	23.25	23.53	23.47	23.49			23.49(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	-2	7	1.17	62%	0	-64.3	0.53%	0	-0.4	49	0
9	Jan_17_2006	23.25	23.55	23.5	23.5			23.39(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5	-10000	-6	-1	0.79	65%	0.04	-36.2	0.53%	0	-1.5	39	0
10	Jan_13_2006	23.24	23.57	23.5	23.54			23.48(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2	-10000	-1	-6	1.39	66%	0	-2	0.55%	0	-0.7	40	0

11	Jan_12_2006	23.24	23.59	23.5	23.55			23.51(-0.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1	-10000	3	-12	1.49	66%	0.04	15.6	0.55%	0	-0.5	42	0
12	Jan_11_2006	23.23	23.59	23.5	23.53			23.57(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	1	-23	0.72	66%	0	19.1	0.55%	0	-0.2	47	0
13	Jan_10_2006	23.23	23.6	23.5	23.52			23.55(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	5	-34	1.14	66%	0	16.2	0.55%	0	-0.3	41	0
14	Jan_9_2006	23.23	23.59	23.49	23.49			23.61(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	9	-44	1.71	66%	0.04	8.3	0.55%	0	0.1	41	0
15	Jan_6_2006	23.22	23.59	23.5	23.49			23.5(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	0	-75	1.13	64%	0	-7.9	0.55%	0	-0.4	32	0

16	Jan_5_2006	23.22	23.59	23.52	23.43			23.4(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-3	-87	1.81	61%	0.04	-8.6	0.55%	0	-0.9	30	0
17	Jan_4_2006	23.21	23.59	23.54	23.43			23.52(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-21	-10000	0	-83	1.12	61%	0	-7.4	0.56%	0	-0.3	44	0
18	Jan_3_2006	23.21	23.59	23.56	23.45			23.44(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-8	-74	1.37	61%	0.04	-12.3	0.56%	0	-0.7	53	0
19	Dec_30_2005	23.2	23.57	23.6	23.5			23.29(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-10000	-12	-48	0.28	61%	0	-8.6	0.55%	0	-1.5	51	0
20	Dec_29_2005	23.2	23.57	23.66	23.58			23.48(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10000	-6	1	0.74	66%	0	0	0.55%	0	-0.6	59	0

21	Dec_28_2005	23.2	23.57	23.71	23.62			23.54(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-3	34	0.75	66%	0.04	1.3	0.56%	0	-0.3	59	0
22	Dec_27_2005	23.19	23.57	23.71	23.64			23.51(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-8	49	0.85	68%	0	6.6	0.56%	0	-0.4	55	0
23	Dec_23_2005	23.19	23.57	23.72	23.69			23.67(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-5	63	0.32	71%	0	19.7	0.56%	0	0.4	60	0
24	Dec_22_2005	23.19	23.57	23.69	23.72			23.71(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-6	64	1.34	72%	0.04	32.9	0.56%	0	0.7	57	0
25	Dec_21_2005	23.18	23.59	23.66	23.76			23.69(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-6	67	1.35	68%		48.7	0.57%	0	0.6	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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