Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 21, 2005

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.6900 (0.3%) ($23.6300 - $23.8000) on Wed. Dec. 21, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.57% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $23.6900(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.285% (StdDev 0.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.76(-0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.66(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.59(0.42%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.76% (three month std-dev: 0.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_21_2005	23.18	23.59	23.66	23.76			23.69(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-6	67	1.35	68%	0	48.7	0.57%	0	0.6	56	0
2	Dec_20_2005	23.18	23.59	23.63	23.8			23.62(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	17	-10000	-3	77	0.87	65%	0	63.2	0.59%	0	0.2	60	0
3	Dec_19_2005	23.18	23.58	23.61	23.82			23.76(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	28	-10000	10	82	0.75	65%	0	67.1	0.59%	0	1	56	0
4	Dec_16_2005	23.18	23.56	23.58	23.75			23.8(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	13	62	1.23	65%	0.04	53.9	0.59%	0	1.3	56	0
5	Dec_15_2005	23.17	23.53	23.55	23.66			23.94(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	22	-10000	17	36	1.62	65%	0	38.2	0.59%	0	2.3	55	0

6	Dec_14_2005	23.17	23.5	23.5	23.54			23.9(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	12	-10000	16	1	1.65	63%	0.04	26.6	0.59%	0	2.7	55	0
7	Dec_13_2005	23.16	23.47	23.45	23.43			23.7(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.1	-2	-10000	9	-36	1.96	59%	0	12.7	0.59%	0	1.8	53	0
8	Dec_12_2005	23.16	23.47	23.43	23.37			23.41(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-10000	-1	-50	0.92	56%	0	7.8	0.58%	0	-0.4	50	0
9	Dec_9_2005	23.16	23.46	23.45	23.38			23.36(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-4	-43	1.26	56%	0.04	21.6	0.58%	0	-0.8	50	0
10	Dec_8_2005	23.15	23.47	23.48	23.41			23.32(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-7	-22	0.66	56%	0	39.2	0.58%	0	-1.2	52	0

11	Dec_7_2005	23.15	23.46	23.51	23.41			23.36(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	1	-10000	0	3	1.17	56%	0	50.9	0.59%	0	-0.8	53	0
12	Dec_6_2005	23.15	23.46	23.51	23.46			23.42(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-4	15	1.04	59%	0	51.7	0.59%	0	-0.2	59	0
13	Dec_5_2005	23.15	23.45	23.51	23.49			23.44(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-4	22	1.27	59%	0	56.3	0.6%	0	-0.1	53	0
14	Dec_2_2005	23.15	23.43	23.54	23.52			23.53(-0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10000	-6	26	0.5	59%	0	61.8	0.6%	0	0.6	51	0
15	Dec_1_2005	23.15	23.42	23.52	23.56			23.54(0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-3	31	0.81	59%	0	82.4	0.6%	0	0.7	53	0

16	Nov_30_2005	23.15	23.4	23.51	23.58			23.38(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	6	-10000	-7	43	1.11	57%	0.04	87.7	0.59%	0	-0.1	60	0
17	Nov_29_2005	23.14	23.38	23.5	23.63			23.57(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-10000	4	65	0.89	61%	0	87.7	0.59%	0	1	70	0
18	Nov_28_2005	23.14	23.36	23.49	23.6			23.59(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	6	66	0.5	61%	0.04	86.4	0.59%	0	1.2	66	0
19	Nov_25_2005	23.13	23.34	23.48	23.56			23.7(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	10	73	0.09	61%	0.04	86.4	0.59%	0	1.9	73	0
20	Nov_23_2005	23.12	23.29	23.45	23.49			23.68(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	10	67	1.63	59%	0.04	62.8	0.6%	0	1.8	72	0

21	Nov_22_2005	23.11	23.25	23.4	23.42			23.59(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	9	56	1.18	59%	0	54.4	0.6%	0	1.6	73	0
22	Nov_21_2005	23.11	23.22	23.36	23.42			23.43(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	0	45	0.78	57%	0.04	54.9	0.59%	0	1.1	71	0
23	Nov_18_2005	23.1	23.2	23.34	23.36			23.4(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-3	46	0.6	59%	0.04	53.5	0.59%	0	1	61	0
24	Nov_17_2005	23.09	23.17	23.32	23.38			23.34(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-3	54	0.54	59%	0	60.5	0.61%	0	0.8	62	0
25	Nov_16_2005	23.09	23.15	23.3	23.4			23.35(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	4	83	1.77	57%		70.9	0.61%	0	1	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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