Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 6, 2005

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.4200 (-0.09%) ($23.4000 - $23.5600) on Tue. Dec. 6, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.59% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $23.4200(-0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.295% (StdDev 0.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $23.45
5 Day Moving Average   $23.46(-0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.54(-0.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.45(-0.13%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.6% (three month std-dev: 0.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_6_2005	23.15			23.46			23.42(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-4	15	1.04	59%	0	51.7	0.59%	0	-0.2	59	0
2	Dec_5_2005	23.15	23.45		23.49			23.44(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-4	22	1.27	59%	0	56.3	0.6%	0	-0.1	53	0
3	Dec_2_2005	23.15	23.43	23.54	23.52			23.53(-0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10000	-6	26	0.5	59%	0	61.8	0.6%	0	0.6	51	0
4	Dec_1_2005	23.15	23.42	23.52	23.56			23.54(0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-3	31	0.81	59%	0	82.4	0.6%	0	0.7	53	0
5	Nov_30_2005	23.15	23.4	23.51	23.58			23.38(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	6	-10000	-7	43	1.11	57%	0.04	87.7	0.59%	0	-0.1	60	0

6	Nov_29_2005	23.14	23.38	23.5	23.63			23.57(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-10000	4	65	0.89	61%	0	87.7	0.59%	0	1	70	0
7	Nov_28_2005	23.14	23.36	23.49	23.6			23.59(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	6	66	0.5	61%	0.04	86.4	0.59%	0	1.2	66	0
8	Nov_25_2005	23.13	23.34	23.48	23.56			23.7(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	10	73	0.09	61%	0.04	86.4	0.59%	0	1.9	73	0
9	Nov_23_2005	23.12	23.29	23.45	23.49			23.68(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	10	67	1.63	59%	0.04	62.8	0.6%	0	1.8	72	0
10	Nov_22_2005	23.11	23.25	23.4	23.42			23.59(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	9	56	1.18	59%	0	54.4	0.6%	0	1.6	73	0

11	Nov_21_2005	23.11	23.22	23.36	23.42			23.43(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	0	45	0.78	57%	0.04	54.9	0.59%	0	1.1	71	0
12	Nov_18_2005	23.1	23.2	23.34	23.36			23.4(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-3	46	0.6	59%	0.04	53.5	0.59%	0	1	61	0
13	Nov_17_2005	23.09	23.17	23.32	23.38			23.34(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-3	54	0.54	59%	0	60.5	0.61%	0	0.8	62	0
14	Nov_16_2005	23.09	23.15	23.3	23.4			23.35(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	4	83	1.77	57%	0	70.9	0.61%	0	1	74	0
15	Nov_15_2005	23.09	23.14	23.28	23.37			23.29(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	23	-10000	3	83	0.69	57%	0.04	75.6	0.62%	0	0.7	62	0

16	Nov_14_2005	23.08	23.11	23.26	23.35			23.41(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	5	81	0.99	57%	0.04	73.6	0.62%	0	1.5	63	0
17	Nov_11_2005	23.07	23.09	23.23	23.31			23.5(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	8	80	0.36	57%	0	75.9	0.62%	0	2.1	62	0
18	Nov_10_2005	23.07	23.05	23.19	23.25			23.47(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	8	75	1.72	57%	0	65.5	0.62%	0	2.1	66	0
19	Nov_9_2005	23.07	23.01	23.11	23.19			23.2(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	3	55	0.7	54%	0	59	0.6%	0	1.1	60	0
20	Nov_8_2005	23.07	22.99	23.08	23.17			23.16(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	3	46	0.66	54%	0	48.7	0.6%	0	0.9	52	0

21	Nov_7_2005	23.07	22.97	23.07	23.15			23.23(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	1	46	1.07	54%	0	35.9	0.6%	0	1.4	61	0
22	Nov_4_2005	23.07	22.94	23.05	23.14			23.18(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	3	47	0.37	51%	0	23	0.61%	0	1.4	54	0
23	Nov_3_2005	23.07	22.92	23.02	23.12			23.19(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	14	52	0.68	51%	0	8.6	0.62%	0	1.7	60	0
24	Nov_2_2005	23.07	22.91	22.99	23.02			23.1(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	5	36	1.02	51%	-0.04	-16.9	0.62%	0	1.3	62	0
25	Nov_1_2005	23.08	22.9	22.98	22.98			23.04(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	1	42	0.6	51%		-20	0.62%	0	0.9	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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