Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 3, 2005

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.1900 (0.39%) ($23.1300 - $23.3600) on Thu. Nov. 3, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $23.1900(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.12(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.02(0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.92(1.18%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.7% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2005	23.07	22.92	23.02	23.12			23.19(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	14	52	0.68	51%	0	8.6	0.62%	0	1.7	60	0
2	Nov_2_2005	23.07	22.91	22.99	23.02			23.1(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	5	36	1.02	51%	-0.04	-16.9	0.62%	0	1.3	62	0
3	Nov_1_2005	23.08	22.91	22.98	22.98			23.04(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	1	42	0.6	51%	0	-20	0.62%	0	0.9	59	0
4	Oct_31_2005	23.08	22.91	22.96	22.97			23.17(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	3	44	1.66	51%	0	-13.5	0.62%	0	1.6	59	0
5	Oct_28_2005	23.08	22.9	22.94	22.95			23.08(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	5	50	0.64	53%	-0.04	-1.3	0.62%	0	1	58	0

6	Oct_27_2005	23.09	22.91	22.94	22.91			22.7(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	4	-10000	-6	35	1.06	49%	0	5.1	0.59%	0	-1.2	47	0
7	Oct_26_2005	23.09	22.91	22.91	22.95			22.92(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-4	38	1.01	51%	-0.04	23	0.58%	0	-0.1	52	0
8	Oct_25_2005	23.1	22.91	22.88	22.98			22.99(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	4	37	0.23	51%	0	39.2	0.58%	0	0.4	49	0
9	Oct_24_2005	23.1	22.93	22.86	22.95			23.07(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	3	13	0.86	51%	0	34.6	0.58%	0	0.8	45	0
10	Oct_21_2005	23.1	22.91	22.83	22.93			22.87(-0.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1	-10000	3	-11	0.64	49%	-0.04	25.3	0.57%	0	-0.2	36	0

11	Oct_20_2005	23.11	22.9	22.83	22.91			22.89(-0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	-10000	9	-33	0.91	49%	-0.04	13.3	0.57%	0	-0.1	36	0
12	Oct_19_2005	23.12	22.89	22.82	22.85			23.07(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	-10000	11	-59	1.57	51%	0	-4.3	0.57%	0	0.9	47	0
13	Oct_18_2005	23.12	22.89	22.81	22.78			22.83(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10000	3	-83	1.16	48%	0	-27.6	0.55%	0	-0.2	48	0
14	Oct_17_2005	23.12	22.89	22.84	22.76			23(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-13	-10000	8	-75	2.23	50%	-0.04	-39.1	0.55%	0	0.7	54	0
15	Oct_14_2005	23.13	22.86	22.85	22.71			22.75(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-10000	-3	-71	0.82	47%	0	-53.3	0.53%	0	-0.5	56	0

16	Oct_13_2005	23.13	22.88	22.91	22.73			22.62(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-8	-45	1.13	45%	-0.04	-57.6	0.53%	0	-1.2	49	0
17	Oct_12_2005	23.14	22.9	22.96	22.78			22.68(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-10	-14	1.41	45%	-0.04	-57.5	0.53%	0	-1.1	53	0
18	Oct_11_2005	23.15	22.92	22.98	22.84			22.76(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-10000	-13	20	0.76	45%	-0.04	-53.3	0.53%	0	-0.8	61	0
19	Oct_10_2005	23.16	22.94	22.98	22.92			22.76(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-16	44	0.77	45%	-0.04	-43	0.54%	0	-0.8	50	0
20	Oct_7_2005	23.17	22.97	23	23.02			22.84(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-14	58	1.03	49%	0	-24	0.56%	0	-0.5	48	0

21	Oct_6_2005	23.17	23	22.99	23.11			22.86(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	12	-10000	-8	70	1.16	47%	-0.04	-7.7	0.56%	0	-0.6	44	0
22	Oct_5_2005	23.18	23.02	22.98	23.16			22.99(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	20	-10000	3	70	1.14	48%	0	0.9	0.57%	0	-0.1	45	0
23	Oct_4_2005	23.18	23.03	22.94	23.14			23.15(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	8	48	0.7	50%	0	6.4	0.56%	0	0.5	52	0
24	Oct_3_2005	23.18	23.04	22.9	23.09			23.25(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	18	23	0.98	50%	0	4.4	0.57%	0	0.8	49	0
25	Sep_30_2005	23.18	23.03	22.86	22.97			23.28(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	6	-10000	17	-28	0.83	48%		-6.2	0.57%	0	1	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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