Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 18, 2005

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $22.8300 (-0.74%) ($22.8300 - $22.9600) on Tue. Oct. 18, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $22.8300(-0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $22.86
5 Day Moving Average   $22.78(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.81(0.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.86(-0.13%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.87% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_18_2005	23.12		22.81	22.78			22.83(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10000	3	-83	1.16	48%	0	-27.6	0.55%	0	-0.2	48	0
2	Oct_17_2005	23.12		22.84	22.76			23(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-13	-10000	8	-75	2.23	50%	-0.04	-39.1	0.55%	0	0.7	54	0
3	Oct_14_2005	23.13	22.86	22.85	22.71			22.75(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-10000	-3	-71	0.82	47%	0	-53.3	0.53%	0	-0.5	56	0
4	Oct_13_2005	23.13	22.88	22.91	22.73			22.62(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-8	-45	1.13	45%	-0.04	-57.6	0.53%	0	-1.2	49	0
5	Oct_12_2005	23.14	22.9	22.96	22.78			22.68(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-10	-14	1.41	45%	-0.04	-57.5	0.53%	0	-1.1	53	0

6	Oct_11_2005	23.15	22.92	22.98	22.84			22.76(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-10000	-13	20	0.76	45%	-0.04	-53.3	0.53%	0	-0.8	61	0
7	Oct_10_2005	23.16	22.94	22.98	22.92			22.76(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-16	44	0.77	45%	-0.04	-43	0.54%	0	-0.8	50	0
8	Oct_7_2005	23.17	22.97	23	23.02			22.84(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-14	58	1.03	49%	0	-24	0.56%	0	-0.5	48	0
9	Oct_6_2005	23.17	23	22.99	23.11			22.86(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	12	-10000	-8	70	1.16	47%	-0.04	-7.7	0.56%	0	-0.6	44	0
10	Oct_5_2005	23.18	23.02	22.98	23.16			22.99(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	20	-10000	3	70	1.14	48%	0	0.9	0.57%	0	-0.1	45	0

11	Oct_4_2005	23.18	23.03	22.94	23.14			23.15(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	8	48	0.7	50%	0	6.4	0.56%	0	0.5	52	0
12	Oct_3_2005	23.18	23.04	22.9	23.09			23.25(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	18	23	0.98	50%	0	4.4	0.57%	0	0.8	49	0
13	Sep_30_2005	23.18	23.03	22.86	22.97			23.28(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	6	-10000	17	-28	0.83	48%	0.04	-6.2	0.57%	0	1	43	0
14	Sep_29_2005	23.17	23.02	22.84	22.86			23.12(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-9	-10000	12	-71	2.29	46%	0	-18.3	0.57%	0	0.4	41	0
15	Sep_28_2005	23.17	23.01	22.83	22.78			22.92(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10000	13	-101	1.36	47%	-0.04	-26.6	0.56%	0	-0.4	39	0

16	Sep_27_2005	23.18	23.02	22.84	22.7			22.89(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-31	-10000	3	-134	0.85	47%	0	-39.4	0.59%	0	-0.5	36	0
17	Sep_26_2005	23.18	23.03	22.86	22.68			22.65(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-10000	-9	-156	1.08	43%	0	-44	0.57%	0	-1.5	29	0
18	Sep_23_2005	23.18	23.05	22.94	22.74			22.73(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-10000	-11	-130	0.97	38%	-0.04	-46	0.58%	0	-1.4	42	0
19	Sep_22_2005	23.19	23.06	23	22.81			22.69(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-10000	-12	-99	0.91	38%	0	-44.2	0.6%	0	-1.7	42	0
20	Sep_21_2005	23.19	23.08	23.06	22.89			22.52(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-31	-10000	-16	-76	1.85	36%	-0.04	-35.6	0.59%	0	-2.8	36	0

21	Sep_20_2005	23.2	23.12	23.15	23			22.8(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	-10000	-12	-36	0.99	38%	0	-20.3	0.57%	0	-2	46	0
22	Sep_19_2005	23.2	23.14	23.2	23.08			22.94(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-14	-9	2.02	40%	0	-6.6	0.57%	0	-1.4	46	0
23	Sep_16_2005	23.2	23.15	23.2	23.17			23.08(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-9	23	1.48	41%	0.04	15	0.57%	0	-0.5	56	0
24	Sep_15_2005	23.19	23.16	23.2	23.23			23.13(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-3	41	0.99	41%	0	28.3	0.57%	0	-0.2	55	0
25	Sep_14_2005	23.19	23.15	23.22	23.25			23.04(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	6	-10000	-9	51	1.79	41%		30	0.56%	0	-0.8	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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