Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 27, 2005

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $22.8900 (1.06%) ($22.6400 - $22.9400) on Tue. Sep. 27, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.59% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $22.8900(1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.295% (StdDev 0.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

Resistance Level   $23.02
5 Day Moving Average   $22.7(0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.84(0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.02(-0.56%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.09% (three month std-dev: 0.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051027

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_27_2005	23.18	23.02	22.84	22.7			22.89(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-31	-10000	3	-134	0.85	47%	0	-39.4	0.59%	0	-0.5	36	0
2	Sep_26_2005	23.18	23.03	22.86	22.68			22.65(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-10000	-9	-156	1.08	43%	0	-44	0.57%	0	-1.5	29	0
3	Sep_23_2005	23.18	23.05	22.94	22.74			22.73(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-10000	-11	-130	0.97	38%	-0.04	-46	0.58%	0	-1.4	42	0
4	Sep_22_2005	23.19	23.06	23	22.81			22.69(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-10000	-12	-99	0.91	38%	0	-44.2	0.6%	0	-1.7	42	0
5	Sep_21_2005	23.19	23.08	23.06	22.89			22.52(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-31	-10000	-16	-76	1.85	36%	-0.04	-35.6	0.59%	0	-2.8	36	0

6	Sep_20_2005	23.2	23.12	23.15	23			22.8(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	-10000	-12	-36	0.99	38%	0	-20.3	0.57%	0	-2	46	0
7	Sep_19_2005	23.2	23.14	23.2	23.08			22.94(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-14	-9	2.02	40%	0	-6.6	0.57%	0	-1.4	46	0
8	Sep_16_2005	23.2	23.15	23.2	23.17			23.08(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-9	23	1.48	41%	0.04	15	0.57%	0	-0.5	56	0
9	Sep_15_2005	23.19	23.16	23.2	23.23			23.13(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-3	41	0.99	41%	0	28.3	0.57%	0	-0.2	55	0
10	Sep_14_2005	23.19	23.16	23.2	23.25			23.04(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	6	-10000	-9	51	1.79	41%	0	30	0.56%	0	-0.8	54	0

11	Sep_13_2005	23.19	23.16	23.22	23.31			23.19(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-5	62	1.38	43%	0.04	33.8	0.56%	0	0.3	50	0
12	Sep_12_2005	23.18	23.15	23.21	23.34			23.41(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	9	71	0.83	46%	0	41.5	0.55%	0	1.7	54	0
13	Sep_9_2005	23.18	23.13	23.16	23.28			23.36(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	11	46	2.43	46%	0.04	32.1	0.55%	0	1.8	55	0
14	Sep_8_2005	23.17	23.12	23.13	23.21			23.26(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	6	20	1.41	46%	0.04	15.4	0.54%	0	1.2	51	0
15	Sep_7_2005	23.16	23.11	23.1	23.17			23.35(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	12	-10000	11	13	3.04	46%	0	-7.7	0.54%	0	2	63	0

16	Sep_6_2005	23.16	23.1	23.08	23.1			23.33(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	5	-10000	6	2	0.64	46%	0.04	-41.9	0.55%	0	2.3	63	0
17	Sep_2_2005	23.15	23.1	23.06	23.06			23.08(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10000	5	-8	0.87	39%	0	-74.4	0.53%	0	-0.1	46	0
18	Sep_1_2005	23.15	23.09	23.07	23.06			23.04(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	0	-12	0.42	42%	0	-90.7	0.53%	0	-0.5	49	0
19	Aug_31_2005	23.15	23.1	23.09	23.03			23.07(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	3	-11	0.39	42%	0	-82.1	0.54%	0	-0.2	47	0
20	Aug_30_2005	23.15	23.12	23.09	23.01			22.99(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-6	-27	0.73	42%	0	-75.4	0.54%	0	-0.9	47	0

21	Aug_29_2005	23.15	23.14	23.08	23.05			23.11(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	-10000	-5	-23	0.27	42%	0	-61.5	0.54%	0	-0.2	49	0
22	Aug_26_2005	23.15	23.15	23.09	23.08			22.95(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-6	-13	0.23	39%	0	-49.3	0.53%	0	-1.3	45	0
23	Aug_25_2005	23.15	23.18	23.1	23.12			23.01(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-6	-4	0.43	39%	0	-32.1	0.53%	0	-0.9	45	0
24	Aug_24_2005	23.15	23.21	23.12	23.12			22.98(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	1	-10000	0	4	1.03	39%	-0.04	-17.8	0.54%	0	-1.4	39	0
25	Aug_23_2005	23.16	23.23	23.13	23.16			23.19(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	8	-12	1.11	42%		-16.4	0.52%	0	-0.2	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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