Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 8, 2005

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.2600 (-0.39%) ($23.1600 - $23.4000) on Thu. Sep. 8, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.54% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $23.2600(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.21(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.13(0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.12(0.61%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.52% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051008

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_8_2005	23.17	23.12	23.13	23.21			23.26(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	6	20	1.41	46%	0.04	15.4	0.54%	0	1.2	51	0
2	Sep_7_2005	23.16	23.11	23.1	23.17			23.35(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	12	-10000	11	13	3.04	46%	0	-7.7	0.54%	0	2	63	0
3	Sep_6_2005	23.16	23.1	23.08	23.1			23.33(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	5	-10000	6	2	0.64	46%	0.04	-41.9	0.55%	0	2.3	63	0
4	Sep_2_2005	23.15	23.1	23.06	23.06			23.08(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10000	5	-8	0.87	39%	0	-74.4	0.53%	0	-0.1	46	0
5	Sep_1_2005	23.15	23.09	23.07	23.06			23.04(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	0	-12	0.42	42%	0	-90.7	0.53%	0	-0.5	49	0

6	Aug_31_2005	23.15	23.1	23.09	23.03			23.07(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	3	-11	0.39	42%	0	-82.1	0.54%	0	-0.2	47	0
7	Aug_30_2005	23.15	23.12	23.09	23.01			22.99(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-6	-27	0.73	42%	0	-75.4	0.54%	0	-0.9	47	0
8	Aug_29_2005	23.15	23.14	23.08	23.05			23.11(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	-10000	-5	-23	0.27	42%	0	-61.5	0.54%	0	-0.2	49	0
9	Aug_26_2005	23.15	23.15	23.09	23.08			22.95(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-6	-13	0.23	39%	0	-49.3	0.53%	0	-1.3	45	0
10	Aug_25_2005	23.15	23.18	23.1	23.12			23.01(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-6	-4	0.43	39%	0	-32.1	0.53%	0	-0.9	45	0

11	Aug_24_2005	23.15	23.21	23.12	23.12			22.98(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	1	-10000	0	4	1.03	39%	-0.04	-17.8	0.54%	0	-1.4	39	0
12	Aug_23_2005	23.16	23.21	23.13	23.16			23.19(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	8	-12	1.11	42%	0.04	-16.4	0.52%	0	-0.2	37	0
13	Aug_22_2005	23.15	23.21	23.12	23.11			23.25(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	2	-41	1.09	42%	0	-21.9	0.52%	0	0.1	41	0
14	Aug_19_2005	23.15	23.23	23.11	23.1			23.18(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	3	-56	1.75	42%	0	-24.7	0.52%	0	-0.3	42	0
15	Aug_18_2005	23.15	23.23	23.1	23.08			23.21(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-18	-10000	2	-77	1.49	46%	0	-30.1	0.53%	0	-0.2	39	0

16	Aug_17_2005	23.15	23.24	23.11	23.07			22.95(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-5	-99	1.44	41%	0	-37	0.52%	0	-1.7	26	0
17	Aug_16_2005	23.15	23.25	23.16	23.1			22.96(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-10000	-5	-86	2.45	45%	0	-33.8	0.53%	0	-1.9	37	0
18	Aug_15_2005	23.15	23.25	23.21	23.13			23.19(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-10000	2	-71	1.38	49%	0	-28.3	0.52%	0	-0.6	46	0
19	Aug_12_2005	23.15	23.27	23.22	23.12			23.08(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-2	-71	1.27	46%	0.04	-28.3	0.53%	0	-1.4	48	0
20	Aug_11_2005	23.14	23.29	23.26	23.13			23.16(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-3	-61	1.1	46%	0	-16.1	0.53%	0	-1	47	0

21	Aug_10_2005	23.14	23.3	23.3	23.15			23.1(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-13	-42	2.01	46%	0	12.5	0.54%	0	-1.5	48	0
22	Aug_9_2005	23.14	23.3	23.33	23.23			23.14(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-10	-17	0.81	46%	0	46.4	0.54%	0	-1.3	46	0
23	Aug_8_2005	23.14	23.3	23.35	23.29			23.1(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-5	-10000	-8	3	0.81	46%	0.04	66.1	0.54%	0	-1.6	48	0
24	Aug_5_2005	23.13	23.3	23.37	23.34			23.14(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-5	-10000	-11	14	1.37	46%	0	83.3	0.55%	0	-1.2	48	0
25	Aug_4_2005	23.13	23.31	23.38	23.41			23.29(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-10000	-10	30	0.48	50%		83.1	0.54%	0	-0.1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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