Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 22, 2005

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.2800 (0.3%) ($23.1800 - $23.3500) on Fri. Jul. 22, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $23.2800(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.25(0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.25(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.06(0.95%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050822

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2005	23.14	23.06	23.25	23.25			23.28(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	-3	89	2.36	50%	0	9	0.55%	0	1	66	0
2	Jul_21_2005	23.14	23.06	23.23	23.27			23.21(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-5	102	1.64	55%	0	3.2	0.57%	0	0.8	67	0
3	Jul_20_2005	23.14	23.06	23.18	23.3			23.3(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10000	1	99	0.63	51%	0	4.2	0.6%	0	1.2	60	0
4	Jul_19_2005	23.14	23.06	23.13	23.29			23.21(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	-10000	3	86	1.16	51%	0	-1.1	0.62%	0	0.8	56	0
5	Jul_18_2005	23.14	23.06	23.1	23.27			23.25(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	3	94	1.03	50%	-0.04	-5	0.62%	0	0.9	65	0

6	Jul_15_2005	23.15	23.04	23.06	23.25			23.36(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	10	95	0.26	47%	0	-10	0.63%	0	1.4	67	0
7	Jul_14_2005	23.15	23.04	23	23.18			23.37(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	-10000	19	75	0.56	47%	0.04	-19	0.64%	0	1.5	58	0
8	Jul_13_2005	23.14	23.03	22.95	23.04			23.24(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	14	32	0.31	47%	0	-35	0.63%	0	0.9	47	0
9	Jul_12_2005	23.14	23.04	22.93	22.94			23.15(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	4	-3	0.29	47%	0	-46.2	0.64%	0	0.5	46	0
10	Jul_11_2005	23.14	23.05	22.88	22.91			23.13(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	8	-31	0.89	47%	-0.04	-45.1	0.64%	0	0.3	44	0

11	Jul_8_2005	23.15	23.06	22.84	22.85			23(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	7	-68	0.38	47%	0	-51.3	0.63%	0	-0.2	41	0
12	Jul_7_2005	23.15	23.08	22.83	22.8			22.7(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-7	-104	0.51	46%	-0.04	-57.3	0.61%	0	-1.4	30	0
13	Jul_6_2005	23.16	23.11	22.89	22.85			22.74(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-7	-99	1.17	46%	-0.04	-56.6	0.62%	0	-1.4	30	0
14	Jul_5_2005	23.17	23.15	22.94	22.9			22.96(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-10000	7	-91	0.86	50%	-0.04	-50	0.61%	0	-0.7	34	0
15	Jul_1_2005	23.18	23.17	22.97	22.85			22.83(0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-26	-10000	3	-111	0.58	49%	0	-57.4	0.61%	0	-1.4	27	0

16	Jun_30_2005	23.18	23.19	23.01	22.83			22.75(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-7	-122	0.5	50%	-0.04	-63	0.62%	0	-1.8	29	0
17	Jun_29_2005	23.19	23.23	23.07	22.88			22.95(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-35	-10000	-8	-115	0.55	53%	-0.04	-61.6	0.63%	0	-1.2	32	0
18	Jun_28_2005	23.2	23.26	23.12	22.94			23.01(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	-10000	-7	-101	1.1	53%	0	-57.9	0.63%	0	-1.1	34	0
19	Jun_27_2005	23.2	23.28	23.16	22.99			22.72(-0.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-37	-10000	-16	-100	0.63	50%	-0.04	-57.9	0.61%	0	-2.5	14	0
20	Jun_24_2005	23.21	23.31	23.23	23.1			22.74(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-29	-10000	-15	-70	0.33	50%	-0.04	-61.6	0.62%	0	-3.4	23	0

21	Jun_23_2005	23.22	23.35	23.3	23.21			22.97(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-19	-10000	-11	-43	2.18	54%	-0.04	-70.2	0.61%	0	-3.5	30	0
22	Jun_22_2005	23.23	23.38	23.34	23.29			23.26(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-4	-29	0.86	56%	0	-80	0.59%	0	-1.7	31	0
23	Jun_21_2005	23.23	23.39	23.36	23.32			23.24(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-4	-25	0.75	54%	0	-46.7	0.6%	0	-2.1	36	0
24	Jun_20_2005	23.23	23.41	23.38	23.35			23.29(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-10000	-6	-13	0.64	54%	0	-3.3	0.6%	0	-1.7	51	0
25	Jun_17_2005	23.23	23.42	23.39	23.39			23.3(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-2	-10000	-1	-5	0.82	52%		53.3	0.61%	0	-1.7	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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