Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 30, 2005

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.1800 (1.31%) ($22.9500 - $23.2000) on Wed. Mar. 30, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.53% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $23.1800(1.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.265% (StdDev 0.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $23.2
5 Day Moving Average   $22.96(0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.98(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.2(-0.09%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.21% (three month std-dev: 0.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050430

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_30_2005	23.13	23.2		22.96			23.18(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	13	-75	2.25	41%	0	-35.5	0.53%	0	-0.1	41	0
2	Mar_29_2005	23.13	23.22	22.98	22.88			22.88(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-10000	-2	-129	0.67	35%	0	-36	0.5%	0	-1.2	26	0
3	Mar_28_2005	23.13	23.24	23.02	22.89			22.93(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-10000	-4	-147	0.33	35%	0.04	-40	0.5%	0	-1.1	24	0
4	Mar_24_2005	23.12	23.27	23.05	22.91			22.91(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-49	-10000	-9	-168	0.4	35%	0.04	-43.8	0.5%	0	-1.4	22	0
5	Mar_23_2005	23.11	23.29	23.1	22.96			22.92(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-10000	-7	-159	0.47	35%	0.04	-45.8	0.51%	0	-1.5	29	0

6	Mar_22_2005	23.1	23.3	23.15	23			22.77(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-52	-10000	-16	-160	0.73	32%	0.04	-50.5	0.5%	0	-2.2	31	0
7	Mar_21_2005	23.09	23.33	23.23	23.09			22.9(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-45	-10000	-14	-138	0.35	37%	0.04	-56.7	0.5%	0	-2	32	0
8	Mar_18_2005	23.08	23.36	23.3	23.17			23.03(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-10000	-7	-98	0.4	39%	0.04	-53.1	0.5%	0	-1.7	43	0
9	Mar_17_2005	23.07	23.38	23.37	23.21			23.2(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-9	-73	0.19	37%	0.09	-50.7	0.49%	0	-1.1	46	0
10	Mar_16_2005	23.05	23.4	23.41	23.26			23.12(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-10000	-8	-43	0.48	37%	0.09	-35.1	0.51%	0	-1.6	47	0

11	Mar_15_2005	23.03	23.43	23.45	23.31			23.18(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-13	-19	0.25	37%	0.09	-30.1	0.51%	0	-1.5	53	0
12	Mar_14_2005	23.01	23.45	23.48	23.39			23.32(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10000	-10	20	0.39	44%	0.09	-20.6	0.51%	0	-0.8	59	0
13	Mar_11_2005	22.99	23.46	23.49	23.45			23.25(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-5	-10000	-16	30	2.53	44%	0.04	-11.8	0.51%	0	-1.3	45	0
14	Mar_10_2005	22.98	23.46	23.5	23.55			23.43(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-7	56	0.6	46%	0.09	0	0.51%	0	-0.3	48	0
15	Mar_9_2005	22.96	23.47	23.49	23.59			23.38(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	12	-10000	-2	53	0.24	51%	0.09	3.1	0.51%	0	-0.6	42	0

16	Mar_8_2005	22.94	23.47	23.48	23.6			23.55(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10000	2	41	0.25	54%	0.09	13.2	0.52%	0	0.4	48	0
17	Mar_7_2005	22.92	23.47	23.44	23.59			23.66(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	12	25	0.29	54%	0.13	17.6	0.51%	0	1.1	52	0
18	Mar_4_2005	22.89	23.48	23.41	23.52			23.73(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	-10000	12	2	2.89	54%	0.09	16.2	0.52%	0	1.6	54	0
19	Mar_3_2005	22.87	23.47	23.39	23.45			23.61(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	-10000	10	-14	0.28	54%	0.09	12.5	0.52%	0	0.9	56	0
20	Mar_2_2005	22.85	23.47	23.38	23.39			23.45(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	10	-22	0.41	55%	0.09	12.5	0.51%	0	-0.1	52	0

21	Mar_1_2005	22.83	23.46	23.38	23.33			23.51(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	-10000	12	-38	0.44	59%	0.09	7.8	0.52%	0	0.3	45	0
22	Feb_28_2005	22.81	23.46	23.4	23.26			23.32(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	-10000	-5	-63	0.99	50%	0.09	1.6	0.56%	0	-0.9	40	0
23	Feb_25_2005	22.79	23.46	23.4	23.29			23.37(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-17	-10000	-3	-60	0.43	50%	0.09	10.9	0.56%	0	-0.5	39	0
24	Feb_24_2005	22.77	23.45	23.42	23.31			23.29(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-11	-65	0.84	50%	0.04	14.1	0.56%	0	-1.1	40	0
25	Feb_23_2005	22.76	23.44	23.44	23.38			23.18(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	-10000	-14	-55	1.09	50%		19.1	0.56%	0	-1.6	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.