Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 16, 2005

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.6500 (0.25%) ($23.6000 - $23.7000) on Wed. Feb. 16, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.54% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $23.6500(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.55(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.56(0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.43(0.94%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.73% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2005	22.69	23.43	23.56	23.55			23.65(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	8	43	0.57	53%	0.13	42.5	0.54%	0	1.3	71	0
2	Feb_15_2005	22.66	23.41	23.54	23.55			23.59(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	0	44	1.12	53%	0.09	42.5	0.54%	0	1.1	74	0
3	Feb_14_2005	22.64	23.4	23.52	23.5			23.55(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10000	-1	55	0.35	53%	0.09	52.9	0.54%	0	0.9	71	0
4	Feb_11_2005	22.62	23.38	23.5	23.51			23.54(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	-3	70	0.41	56%	0.09	53.4	0.54%	0	0.9	74	0
5	Feb_10_2005	22.6	23.36	23.48	23.53			23.4(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-6	79	0.59	54%	0.09	55.8	0.55%	0	0.2	63	0

6	Feb_9_2005	22.58	23.35	23.47	23.57			23.41(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	20	-10000	-3	88	0.47	54%	0.09	70.1	0.55%	0	0.3	51	0
7	Feb_8_2005	22.56	23.34	23.45	23.59			23.62(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	8	95	1.03	57%	0.09	79.2	0.53%	0	1.6	59	0
8	Feb_7_2005	22.54	23.32	23.41	23.54			23.59(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	8	71	1.95	57%	0.04	79.5	0.53%	0	1.6	55	0
9	Feb_4_2005	22.53	23.29	23.36	23.49			23.64(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	11	54	0.95	64%	0.09	76.8	0.54%	0	2.2	67	0
10	Feb_3_2005	22.51	23.26	23.31	23.42			23.57(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	7	35	0.6	65%	0.04	65.6	0.63%	0	2.1	69	0

11	Feb_2_2005	22.5	23.23	23.28	23.37			23.55(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	11	29	0.42	67%	0.04	44.9	0.63%	0	2	60	0
12	Feb_1_2005	22.49	23.2	23.26	23.29			23.36(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	5	18	1.06	65%	0.04	31.7	0.63%	0	1.1	58	0
13	Jan_31_2005	22.48	23.18	23.27	23.25			23.35(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	8	18	0.87	65%	0.04	26.7	0.63%	0	1.2	53	0
14	Jan_28_2005	22.47	23.17	23.25	23.19			23.29(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10000	3	8	1.18	65%	0.04	16.7	0.63%	0	0.9	57	0
15	Jan_27_2005	22.46	23.16	23.23	23.17			23.28(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-2	-10000	-3	3	0.21	67%	0.04	16.1	0.63%	0	0.9	60	0

16	Jan_26_2005	22.45	23.16	23.23	23.19			23.15(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-7	17	0.62	69%	0	23.2	0.64%	0	0	61	0
17	Jan_25_2005	22.45	23.16	23.22	23.24			23.17(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-6	34	1.01	69%	0.04	44.6	0.65%	0	0.2	56	0
18	Jan_24_2005	22.44	23.16	23.22	23.29			23.08(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	11	-10000	-3	52	0.42	69%	0.04	64.3	0.66%	0	-0.5	51	0
19	Jan_21_2005	22.43	23.15	23.23	23.31			23.17(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	18	-10000	3	61	0.91	67%	0	63.3	0.66%	0	0.1	53	0
20	Jan_20_2005	22.43	23.14	23.22	23.29			23.37(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	4	53	1.05	70%	0.04	55.7	0.65%	0	1.6	56	0

21	Jan_19_2005	22.42	23.12	23.17	23.26			23.39(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	7	40	0.57	70%	0.04	48.2	0.65%	0	2.1	59	0
22	Jan_18_2005	22.41	23.1	23.13	23.21			23.43(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	10	-10000	5	23	1.04	70%	0.04	39.6	0.65%	0	3	57	0
23	Jan_14_2005	22.4	23.07	23.09	23.17			23.19(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	3	16	0.25	69%	0.04	27.1	0.64%	0	1.1	56	0
24	Jan_13_2005	22.39	23.07	23.08	23.15			23.06(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	4	-10000	1	14	0.36	69%	0.04	33.3	0.64%	0	0	51	0
25	Jan_12_2005	22.38	23.06	23.09	23.14			23.21(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	9	16	0.59	71%		52.1	0.64%	0	1.4	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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