Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 4, 2005

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.0000 (-0.35%) ($22.8700 - $23.1800) on Tue. Jan. 4, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $23.0000(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.09(-0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.07(-0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23(0%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.7% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_4_2005	22.33	23	23.07	23.09			23(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	-4	12	2.08	66%	0	64.3	0.65%	0	0	42	0
2	Jan_3_2005	22.33	22.98	23.06	23.12			23.08(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	1	17	0.81	66%	0.04	66.7	0.64%	0	0.6	55	0
3	Dec_31_2004	22.32	22.97	23.06	23.11			23.08(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	1	11	0.23	68%	0.09	67.9	0.65%	0	0.6	57	0
4	Dec_30_2004	22.3	22.96	23.06	23.1			23.16(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	3	19	0.11	68%	0.04	69.2	0.66%	0	1.1	62	0
5	Dec_29_2004	22.29	22.93	23.06	23.08			23.11(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	3	36	0.17	68%	0.04	61.4	0.66%	0	0.9	69	0

6	Dec_28_2004	22.28	22.89	23.04	23.06			23.16(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	8	54	0.47	68%	0.09	41.7	0.66%	0	1.2	71	0
7	Dec_27_2004	22.26	22.86	23.02	23			23.02(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	5	51	0.2	68%	0.04	31.3	0.66%	0	0.7	65	0
8	Dec_23_2004	22.25	22.85	23.01	22.96			23.04(-0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	11	-10000	-1	46	0.2	68%	0.04	24	0.65%	0	0.9	58	0
9	Dec_22_2004	22.24	22.83	22.99	22.97			23.09(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	10	-10000	-3	50	0.2	65%	0.04	21.9	0.65%	0	1.2	58	0
10	Dec_21_2004	22.23	22.81	22.95	22.99			23(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-10000	-4	50	0.18	65%	0.05	21.7	0.67%	0	0.9	62	0

11	Dec_20_2004	22.22	22.8	22.91	23.02			22.84(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	15	-10000	-3	70	0.48	59%	0.05	22.7	0.67%	0	0.2	67	0
12	Dec_17_2004	22.21	22.79	22.91	23.04			22.83(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	17	-10000	-3	78	1.8	59%	0.05	18.5	0.7%	0	0.2	60	0
13	Dec_16_2004	22.2	22.8	22.9	23.06			23.1(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	6	92	0.54	62%	0.05	20.7	0.68%	0	1.4	58	0
14	Dec_15_2004	22.19	22.78	22.87	23.01			23.16(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	14	90	0.32	60%	0.05	19.3	0.69%	0	1.9	60	0
15	Dec_14_2004	22.18	22.77	22.82	22.9			23.17(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	-10000	14	63	0.31	60%	0.05	8.9	0.7%	0	2.2	60	0

16	Dec_13_2004	22.17	22.77	22.73	22.79			22.96(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	8	22	2.3	58%	0.05	0	0.69%	0	1.2	53	0
17	Dec_10_2004	22.16	22.76	22.69	22.73			22.91(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	3	-10000	3	3	0.19	58%	0	-4	0.69%	0	0.9	57	0
18	Dec_9_2004	22.16	22.76	22.67	22.73			22.87(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-2	-10000	0	-9	0.35	58%	0.05	-1.3	0.69%	0	0.7	48	0
19	Dec_8_2004	22.15	22.76	22.65	22.73			22.61(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	-10000	0	-16	0.2	53%	-0.05	17.1	0.68%	0	-0.9	40	0
20	Dec_7_2004	22.16	22.75	22.66	22.71			22.6(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-10000	6	-17	0.35	53%	0	41.4	0.69%	0	-0.9	41	0

21	Dec_6_2004	22.16	22.75	22.66	22.66			22.66(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-10000	4	-38	0.15	53%	0	60	0.69%	0	-0.6	38	0
22	Dec_3_2004	22.16	22.75	22.68	22.63			22.81(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-14	-10000	1	-57	5.69	53%	0	81.4	0.69%	0	0.3	44	0
23	Dec_2_2004	22.16	22.76	22.68	22.62			22.85(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-12	-10000	4	-60	2.3	55%	0	104.3	0.69%	0	0.6	48	0
24	Dec_1_2004	22.16	22.72	22.69	22.59			22.64(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-4	-62	0.63	53%	-0.05	80.4	0.7%	0	-0.4	48	0
25	Nov_30_2004	22.17	22.69	22.71	22.62			22.34(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10000	-12	-58	0.56	50%		73.2	0.67%	0	-1.3	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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