Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 14, 2004

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.1700 (0.91%) ($22.9400 - $23.2100) on Tue. Dec. 14, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $23.1700(0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.9(1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.82(1.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.77(1.76%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.79% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2004	22.18	22.77	22.82	22.9			23.17(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	-10000	14	63	0.31	60%	0.05	8.9	0.7%	0	2.2	60	0
2	Dec_13_2004	22.17	22.77	22.73	22.79			22.96(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	8	22	2.3	58%	0.05	0	0.69%	0	1.2	53	0
3	Dec_10_2004	22.16	22.76	22.69	22.73			22.91(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	3	-10000	3	3	0.19	58%	0	-4	0.69%	0	0.9	57	0
4	Dec_9_2004	22.16	22.76	22.67	22.73			22.87(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-2	-10000	0	-9	0.35	58%	0.05	-1.3	0.69%	0	0.7	48	0
5	Dec_8_2004	22.15	22.76	22.65	22.73			22.61(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	-10000	0	-16	0.2	53%	-0.05	17.1	0.68%	0	-0.9	40	0

6	Dec_7_2004	22.16	22.75	22.66	22.71			22.6(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-10000	6	-17	0.35	53%	0	41.4	0.69%	0	-0.9	41	0
7	Dec_6_2004	22.16	22.75	22.66	22.66			22.66(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-10000	4	-38	0.15	53%	0	60	0.69%	0	-0.6	38	0
8	Dec_3_2004	22.16	22.75	22.68	22.63			22.81(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-14	-10000	1	-57	5.69	53%	0	81.4	0.69%	0	0.3	44	0
9	Dec_2_2004	22.16	22.76	22.68	22.62			22.85(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-12	-10000	4	-60	2.3	55%	0	104.3	0.69%	0	0.6	48	0
10	Dec_1_2004	22.16	22.72	22.69	22.59			22.64(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-4	-62	0.63	53%	-0.05	80.4	0.7%	0	-0.4	48	0

11	Nov_30_2004	22.17	22.69	22.71	22.62			22.34(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10000	-12	-58	0.56	50%	0	73.2	0.67%	0	-1.3	40	0
12	Nov_29_2004	22.17	22.66	22.79	22.71			22.51(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-4	-24	0.44	52%	-0.05	74.7	0.67%	0	-0.4	45	0
13	Nov_26_2004	22.18	22.63	22.83	22.74			22.74(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	-10000	-4	-11	0.07	55%	0	73.3	0.66%	0	0.3	51	0
14	Nov_24_2004	22.18	22.59	22.83	22.77			22.74(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-4	6	0.19	56%	-0.05	69.3	0.65%	0	0.3	56	0
15	Nov_23_2004	22.19	22.54	22.83	22.8			22.75(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10000	-4	38	0.46	56%	0.05	66.7	0.65%	0	0.4	74	0

16	Nov_22_2004	22.18	22.48	22.85	22.83			22.8(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-7	75	0.25	56%	0	61.8	0.65%	0	0.6	78	0
17	Nov_19_2004	22.18	22.41	22.84	22.88			22.65(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10000	-8	122	1	55%	0	59.3	0.65%	0	0.4	79	0
18	Nov_18_2004	22.18	22.35	22.86	22.88			22.9(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	-10000	0	183	0.58	60%	0	60.1	0.64%	0	0.9	85	0
19	Nov_17_2004	22.18	22.28	22.83	22.94			22.91(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	57	-10000	4	217	0.47	60%	0	61.7	0.65%	0	1	85	0
20	Nov_16_2004	22.18	22.21	22.75	22.91			22.89(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	61	-10000	5	228	0.26	61%	0	61.5	0.65%	0	1.1	85	0

21	Nov_15_2004	22.18	22.14	22.66	22.87			23.04(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	69	-10000	10	246	0.61	63%	0	60.5	0.64%	0	1.5	93	0
22	Nov_12_2004	22.18	22.07	22.53	22.8			22.97(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	68	-10000	6	255	0.27	63%	-0.05	61.2	0.64%	0	1.6	94	0
23	Nov_11_2004	22.19	21.99	22.42	22.76			22.9(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	72	-10000	7	268	0.57	65%	0	61.8	0.64%	0	1.7	87	0
24	Nov_10_2004	22.19	21.91	22.31	22.71			22.73(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	83	-10000	19	275	0.35	65%	0	60.1	0.65%	0	1.6	79	0
25	Nov_9_2004	22.19	21.85	22.21	22.57			22.7(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	81	-10000	22	259	0.13	65%		53	0.65%	0	1.8	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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