Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 13, 2004

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $22.4100 (0.09%) ($22.3500 - $22.4800) on Mon. Sep. 13, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.57% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $22.4100(0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(70%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.285% (StdDev 0.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.47(-0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.46(-0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.41(0%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.58% (three month std-dev: 0.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20041013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2004	22.72	22.41	22.46	22.47			22.41(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-10000	-8	14	0.49	42%	0	100	0.57%	0	0	57	0
2	Sep_10_2004	22.72	22.39	22.47	22.52			22.39(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-8	32	0.21	42%	-0.04	111.9	0.58%	0	0	52	0
3	Sep_9_2004	22.73	22.37	22.47	22.57			22.37(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	15	-10000	1	55	0.4	42%	-0.04	105	0.58%	0	0	56	0
4	Sep_8_2004	22.74	22.36	22.48	22.56			22.46(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	17	-10000	3	58	0.18	42%	-0.04	95.3	0.58%	0	0.5	53	0
5	Sep_7_2004	22.75	22.33	22.47	22.54			22.7(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	25	-10000	13	61	0.12	47%	0	75.8	0.57%	0	1.7	69	0

6	Sep_3_2004	22.75	22.28	22.43	22.46			22.7(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	8	43	0.07	47%	-0.04	46.3	0.57%	0	1.6	70	0
7	Sep_2_2004	22.76	22.22	22.39	22.41			22.6(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	5	42	0.16	50%	0	36.8	0.57%	0	1.5	72	0
8	Sep_1_2004	22.76	22.19	22.39	22.38			22.34(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-3	46	0.32	46%	0	34.5	0.56%	0	0.6	69	0
9	Aug_31_2004	22.76	22.17	22.36	22.4			22.34(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	1	69	0.14	46%	-0.04	37	0.56%	0	0.7	66	0
10	Aug_30_2004	22.77	22.16	22.35	22.39			22.32(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10000	1	85	0.06	46%	0	32.4	0.56%	0	0.7	71	0

11	Aug_27_2004	22.77	22.15	22.34	22.38			22.43(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	1	109	0.1	50%	-0.04	35.2	0.56%	0	1.2	80	0
12	Aug_26_2004	22.78	22.13	22.31	22.37			22.47(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	-10000	6	127	0.06	50%	0	31.7	0.58%	0	1.5	83	0
13	Aug_25_2004	22.78	22.1	22.26	22.33			22.43(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	1	121	0.11	53%	-0.04	18	0.58%	0	1.5	67	0
14	Aug_24_2004	22.79	22.09	22.22	22.32			22.3(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	1	113	0.04	52%	0	11.6	0.6%	0	1	54	0
15	Aug_23_2004	22.79	22.08	22.18	22.31			22.29(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	3	103	0.1	52%	-0.04	-2.1	0.6%	0	1	55	0

16	Aug_20_2004	22.8	22.07	22.12	22.29			22.37(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	9	84	0.06	52%	0	-22	0.6%	0	1.5	54	0
17	Aug_19_2004	22.8	22.07	22.04	22.23			22.27(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	9	56	0.15	52%	-0.04	-44.2	0.6%	0	1	58	0
18	Aug_18_2004	22.81	22.07	22	22.17			22.38(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	11	39	0.41	52%	0	-55.8	0.6%	0	1.4	61	0
19	Aug_17_2004	22.81	22.06	21.97	22.1			22.23(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	12	19	0.25	48%	-0.04	-62.3	0.6%	0	0.6	49	0
20	Aug_16_2004	22.82	22.09	21.95	22.02			22.21(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	10	-10000	15	-7	0.71	48%	0	-64.3	0.6%	0	0.4	46	0

21	Aug_13_2004	22.82	22.11	21.94	21.92			22.07(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	15	-30	1.23	46%	-0.04	-68.8	0.6%	0	-0.1	50	0
22	Aug_12_2004	22.83	22.15	21.94	21.82			21.97(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	3	-66	0.23	46%	0	-72.5	0.6%	0	-0.5	46	0
23	Aug_11_2004	22.83	22.19	21.93	21.8			22.02(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-28	-10000	-5	-96	0.2	46%	0	-69.4	0.6%	0	-0.4	39	0
24	Aug_10_2004	22.83	22.23	21.94	21.83			21.85(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	-10000	-6	-107	0.23	44%	-0.04	-64.6	0.59%	0	-0.9	34	0
25	Aug_9_2004	22.84	22.29	21.98	21.87			21.68(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10000	-16	-126	0.31	41%		-60.1	0.58%	0	-1.4	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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