Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 6, 2004

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $22.8700 (0.04%) ($22.7900 - $22.9500) on Tue. Jul. 6, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.54% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $22.8700(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(70%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $23.18
5 Day Moving Average   $22.93(-0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23(-0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.18(-1.34%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.95% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040806

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_6_2004	22.95	23.18	23	22.93			22.87(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-1	-94	0.71	52%	0.04	-30.5	0.54%	0	-1.4	20	0
2	Jul_2_2004	22.94	23.2	23.03	22.94			22.86(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-25	-10000	-1	-98	0.17	52%	0	-28.6	0.54%	0	-1.6	29	0
3	Jul_1_2004	22.94	23.22	23.07	22.95			22.86(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-10	-110	0.54	52%	0	-22	0.54%	0	-1.9	26	0
4	Jun_30_2004	22.94	23.22	23.12	23.01			23.09(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10000	-5	-102	0.31	56%	0.04	-5.5	0.53%	0	-0.9	31	0
5	Jun_29_2004	22.93	23.24	23.15	23.04			22.95(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-8	-102	0.71	58%	0	11.7	0.53%	0	-1.6	19	0

6	Jun_28_2004	22.93	23.25	23.2	23.09			22.93(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-29	-10000	-9	-87	0.7	58%	0.04	30.1	0.55%	0	-1.9	27	0
7	Jun_25_2004	22.92	23.25	23.24	23.15			22.93(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-10000	-9	-70	0.39	62%	0.04	55.1	0.55%	0	-2.1	41	0
8	Jun_24_2004	22.91	23.26	23.29	23.21			23.15(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-5	-43	0.2	67%	0.04	86.7	0.56%	0	-0.8	51	0
9	Jun_23_2004	22.9	23.25	23.32	23.24			23.24(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10000	-5	-26	0.31	67%	0.04	87	0.56%	0	-0.1	52	0
10	Jun_22_2004	22.89	23.22	23.35	23.27			23.21(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-10000	-8	1	0.15	61%	0.04	79.3	0.56%	0	-0.1	60	0

11	Jun_21_2004	22.88	23.2	23.37	23.32			23.2(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-4	29	0.21	61%	0.09	68	0.59%	0	0	59	0
12	Jun_18_2004	22.86	23.17	23.37	23.35			23.23(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-6	39	0.52	61%	0.04	64.1	0.59%	0	0.2	55	0
13	Jun_17_2004	22.85	23.14	23.37	23.39			23.32(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-4	65	0.16	64%	0.09	63.2	0.59%	0	0.6	68	0
14	Jun_16_2004	22.83	23.11	23.38	23.42			23.41(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	-10000	-3	85	0.32	64%	0.09	59.4	0.61%	0	0.9	73	0
15	Jun_15_2004	22.81	23.07	23.34	23.42			23.44(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	28	-10000	0	113	0.32	60%	0.04	58.3	0.61%	0	1.2	79	0

16	Jun_14_2004	22.8	23.03	23.3	23.44			23.33(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	-10000	3	129	0.28	60%	0.13	53.8	0.62%	0	0.9	73	0
17	Jun_10_2004	22.77	23	23.29	23.42			23.45(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	39	-10000	6	139	0.15	54%	0.09	45.5	0.66%	0	1.4	78	0
18	Jun_9_2004	22.75	22.96	23.23	23.37			23.45(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	5	140	0.54	54%	0.09	34.5	0.66%	0	1.5	79	0
19	Jun_8_2004	22.73	22.92	23.17	23.33			23.54(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	46	-10000	13	145	0.68	54%	0.04	27.6	0.65%	0	2.1	76	0
20	Jun_7_2004	22.72	22.89	23.08	23.23			23.43(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	40	-10000	11	125	0.77	54%	0.09	12.3	0.65%	0	2.1	77	0

21	Jun_4_2004	22.7	22.86	23	23.15			23.23(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	3	108	0.21	52%	0.04	0	0.64%	0	1.7	65	0
22	Jun_3_2004	22.69	22.86	22.94	23.13			23.19(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	8	109	1.1	52%	0.09	-2.1	0.64%	0	1.5	67	0
23	Jun_2_2004	22.67	22.85	22.88	23.07			23.24(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	11	93	0.1	49%	0.09	-5.2	0.65%	0	1.8	67	0
24	Jun_1_2004	22.65	22.84	22.83	22.99			23.05(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	28	-10000	12	74	0.16	50%	0.13	-16.7	0.65%	0	1	57	0
25	May_28_2004	22.62	22.85	22.78	22.9			23.05(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	10	43	0.52	50%		-22.9	0.67%	0	0.8	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.