Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 1, 2004

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $22.8600 (-1%) ($22.7900 - $23.1500) on Thu. Jul. 1, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.54% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $22.8600(-1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(70%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

Resistance Level   $23.22
5 Day Moving Average   $22.95(-0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.07(-0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.22(-1.55%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20040801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2004	22.94	23.22	23.07	22.95			22.86(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-10	-110	0.54	52%	0	-22	0.54%	0	-1.9	26	0
2	Jun_30_2004	22.94	23.22	23.12	23.01			23.09(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10000	-5	-102	0.31	56%	0.04	-5.5	0.53%	0	-0.9	31	0
3	Jun_29_2004	22.93	23.24	23.15	23.04			22.95(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-8	-102	0.71	58%	0	11.7	0.53%	0	-1.6	19	0
4	Jun_28_2004	22.93	23.25	23.2	23.09			22.93(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-29	-10000	-9	-87	0.7	58%	0.04	30.1	0.55%	0	-1.9	27	0
5	Jun_25_2004	22.92	23.25	23.24	23.15			22.93(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-10000	-9	-70	0.39	62%	0.04	55.1	0.55%	0	-2.1	41	0

6	Jun_24_2004	22.91	23.26	23.29	23.21			23.15(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-5	-43	0.2	67%	0.04	86.7	0.56%	0	-0.8	51	0
7	Jun_23_2004	22.9	23.25	23.32	23.24			23.24(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10000	-5	-26	0.31	67%	0.04	87	0.56%	0	-0.1	52	0
8	Jun_22_2004	22.89	23.22	23.35	23.27			23.21(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-10000	-8	1	0.15	61%	0.04	79.3	0.56%	0	-0.1	60	0
9	Jun_21_2004	22.88	23.2	23.37	23.32			23.2(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-4	29	0.21	61%	0.09	68	0.59%	0	0	59	0
10	Jun_18_2004	22.86	23.17	23.37	23.35			23.23(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-6	39	0.52	61%	0.04	64.1	0.59%	0	0.2	55	0

11	Jun_17_2004	22.85	23.14	23.37	23.39			23.32(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-4	65	0.16	64%	0.09	63.2	0.59%	0	0.6	68	0
12	Jun_16_2004	22.83	23.11	23.38	23.42			23.41(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	-10000	-3	85	0.32	64%	0.09	59.4	0.61%	0	0.9	73	0
13	Jun_15_2004	22.81	23.07	23.34	23.42			23.44(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	28	-10000	0	113	0.32	60%	0.04	58.3	0.61%	0	1.2	79	0
14	Jun_14_2004	22.8	23.03	23.3	23.44			23.33(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	-10000	3	129	0.28	60%	0.13	53.8	0.62%	0	0.9	73	0
15	Jun_10_2004	22.77	23	23.29	23.42			23.45(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	39	-10000	6	139	0.15	54%	0.09	45.5	0.66%	0	1.4	78	0

16	Jun_9_2004	22.75	22.96	23.23	23.37			23.45(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	5	140	0.54	54%	0.09	34.5	0.66%	0	1.5	79	0
17	Jun_8_2004	22.73	22.92	23.17	23.33			23.54(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	46	-10000	13	145	0.68	54%	0.04	27.6	0.65%	0	2.1	76	0
18	Jun_7_2004	22.72	22.89	23.08	23.23			23.43(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	40	-10000	11	125	0.77	54%	0.09	12.3	0.65%	0	2.1	77	0
19	Jun_4_2004	22.7	22.86	23	23.15			23.23(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	3	108	0.21	52%	0.04	0	0.64%	0	1.7	65	0
20	Jun_3_2004	22.69	22.86	22.94	23.13			23.19(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	8	109	1.1	52%	0.09	-2.1	0.64%	0	1.5	67	0

21	Jun_2_2004	22.67	22.85	22.88	23.07			23.24(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	11	93	0.1	49%	0.09	-5.2	0.65%	0	1.8	67	0
22	Jun_1_2004	22.65	22.84	22.83	22.99			23.05(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	28	-10000	12	74	0.16	50%	0.13	-16.7	0.65%	0	1	57	0
23	May_28_2004	22.62	22.85	22.78	22.9			23.05(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	10	43	0.52	50%	0.04	-22.9	0.67%	0	0.8	55	0
24	May_27_2004	22.61	22.86	22.74	22.82			23.14(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	12	20	0.76	50%	0.09	-33.9	0.67%	0	1.1	53	0
25	May_26_2004	22.59	22.85	22.69	22.73			22.87(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10000	8	-23	0.09	47%		-48.6	0.65%	0	0.1	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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