Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 19, 2004

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $22.5800 (-0.53%) ($22.5400 - $22.8400) on Wed. May. 19, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $22.5800(-0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(70%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $22.97
5 Day Moving Average   $22.64(-0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.75(-0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.97(-1.7%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.13% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040619

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2004	22.55	22.97	22.75	22.64			22.58(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-3	-117	0.66	46%	0.04	-41.6	0.65%	0	-1.5	32	0
2	May_18_2004	22.54	23	22.81	22.66			22.7(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-3	-106	0.55	46%	0.04	-40.4	0.65%	0	-1.3	40	0
3	May_17_2004	22.53	23.01	22.86	22.68			22.57(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-7	-108	0.41	48%	0.04	-35	0.65%	0	-1.9	29	0
4	May_14_2004	22.52	23.04	22.94	22.73			22.72(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-10000	-6	-95	0.98	50%	0.04	-26.4	0.65%	0	-1.5	34	0
5	May_13_2004	22.51	23.06	22.99	22.77			22.63(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-10000	-15	-94	0.86	48%	0.04	-16.1	0.65%	0	-2.2	30	0

6	May_12_2004	22.5	23.08	23.04	22.88			22.67(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-31	-10000	-16	-75	1.12	48%	0.04	-2.6	0.66%	0	-2.3	31	0
7	May_11_2004	22.49	23.08	23.08	23			22.79(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-10000	-11	-50	0.44	48%	0.04	11.5	0.65%	0	-1.7	45	0
8	May_10_2004	22.48	23.09	23.13	23.08			22.83(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-15	-10000	-13	-21	0.66	48%	0.09	21.6	0.65%	0	-1.5	48	0
9	May_7_2004	22.46	23.09	23.17	23.18			22.94(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-4	-10000	-7	6	0.37	48%	0.04	40.5	0.65%	0	-0.9	45	0
10	May_6_2004	22.45	23.1	23.17	23.23			23.16(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-10000	1	27	0.43	52%	0.09	50	0.64%	0	0.4	53	0

11	May_5_2004	22.43	23.08	23.21	23.22			23.26(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	7	40	0.75	54%	0.09	51.4	0.64%	0	1.1	62	0
12	May_4_2004	22.41	23.07	23.19	23.17			23.22(-0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	8	-10000	-1	33	0.8	55%	0.09	45.9	0.65%	0	0.9	63	0
13	May_3_2004	22.39	23.06	23.17	23.18			23.32(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	3	47	1.04	55%	0.09	52.7	0.65%	0	1.5	71	0
14	Apr_30_2004	22.37	23.03	23.15	23.16			23.18(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-10000	-3	51	0.59	55%	0.09	63.8	0.64%	0	0.9	58	0
15	Apr_29_2004	22.35	23.01	23.14	23.18			23.13(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-4	64	0.15	58%	0.09	68.9	0.65%	0	0.7	59	0

16	Apr_28_2004	22.33	23	23.12	23.18			23.01(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	18	-10000	0	71	0.48	56%	0.09	89.2	0.66%	0	0.1	52	0
17	Apr_27_2004	22.31	22.99	23.11	23.21			23.28(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	8	70	0.32	58%	0.09	108.1	0.66%	0	1.7	57	0
18	Apr_26_2004	22.29	22.96	23.05	23.15			23.22(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	3	48	0.14	60%	0.09	117.1	0.66%	0	1.6	60	0
19	Apr_23_2004	22.27	22.93	23.02	23.13			23.27(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	5	50	0.3	62%	0.09	102.6	0.67%	0	1.9	63	0
20	Apr_22_2004	22.25	22.89	22.98	23.09			23.25(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	8	45	0.28	62%	0.09	93.7	0.68%	0	2	64	0

21	Apr_21_2004	22.23	22.85	22.98	23.03			23.02(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	5	33	0.66	60%	0.05	67	0.67%	0	0.8	55	0
22	Apr_20_2004	22.22	22.81	22.94	22.99			22.97(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	7	31	0.72	60%	0.09	50.5	0.67%	0	0.7	53	0
23	Apr_19_2004	22.2	22.78	22.93	22.94			23.15(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	7	25	0.19	62%	0.09	36.8	0.67%	0	1.4	64	0
24	Apr_16_2004	22.18	22.75	22.9	22.89			23.08(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	7	29	0.42	62%	0.05	34.3	0.67%	0	1.4	70	0
25	Apr_15_2004	22.17	22.73	22.87	22.84			22.92(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	5	-10000	-1	21	0.76	61%		31.7	0.67%	0	0.8	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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