Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 5, 2004

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.2600 (0.17%) ($23.1500 - $23.2700) on Wed. May. 5, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.64% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $23.2600(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(70%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.32% (StdDev 0.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.22(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.21(0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.08(0.78%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.74% (three month std-dev: 0.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2004	22.43	23.08	23.21	23.22			23.26(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	7	40	0.75	54%	0.09	51.4	0.64%	0	1.1	62	0
2	May_4_2004	22.41	23.07	23.19	23.17			23.22(-0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	8	-10000	-1	33	0.8	55%	0.09	45.9	0.65%	0	0.9	63	0
3	May_3_2004	22.39	23.06	23.17	23.18			23.32(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	3	47	1.04	55%	0.09	52.7	0.65%	0	1.5	71	0
4	Apr_30_2004	22.37	23.03	23.15	23.16			23.18(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-10000	-3	51	0.59	55%	0.09	63.8	0.64%	0	0.9	58	0
5	Apr_29_2004	22.35	23.01	23.14	23.18			23.13(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-4	64	0.15	58%	0.09	68.9	0.65%	0	0.7	59	0

6	Apr_28_2004	22.33	23	23.12	23.18			23.01(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	18	-10000	0	71	0.48	56%	0.09	89.2	0.66%	0	0.1	52	0
7	Apr_27_2004	22.31	22.99	23.11	23.21			23.28(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	8	70	0.32	58%	0.09	108.1	0.66%	0	1.7	57	0
8	Apr_26_2004	22.29	22.96	23.05	23.15			23.22(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	3	48	0.14	60%	0.09	117.1	0.66%	0	1.6	60	0
9	Apr_23_2004	22.27	22.93	23.02	23.13			23.27(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	5	50	0.3	62%	0.09	102.6	0.67%	0	1.9	63	0
10	Apr_22_2004	22.25	22.89	22.98	23.09			23.25(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	8	45	0.28	62%	0.09	93.7	0.68%	0	2	64	0

11	Apr_21_2004	22.23	22.85	22.98	23.03			23.02(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	5	33	0.66	60%	0.05	67	0.67%	0	0.8	55	0
12	Apr_20_2004	22.22	22.81	22.94	22.99			22.97(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	7	31	0.72	60%	0.09	50.5	0.67%	0	0.7	53	0
13	Apr_19_2004	22.2	22.78	22.93	22.94			23.15(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	7	25	0.19	62%	0.09	36.8	0.67%	0	1.4	64	0
14	Apr_16_2004	22.18	22.75	22.9	22.89			23.08(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	7	29	0.42	62%	0.05	34.3	0.67%	0	1.4	70	0
15	Apr_15_2004	22.17	22.73	22.87	22.84			22.92(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	5	-10000	-1	21	0.76	61%	0.05	31.7	0.67%	0	0.8	61	0

16	Apr_14_2004	22.16	22.71	22.86	22.85			22.85(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10000	-4	43	0.53	61%	0.09	25.7	0.67%	0	0.6	67	0
17	Apr_13_2004	22.14	22.69	22.86	22.88			22.69(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	15	-10000	-5	75	0.13	59%	0.05	16.8	0.66%	0	0	66	0
18	Apr_12_2004	22.13	22.68	22.87	22.92			22.92(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	3	108	0.26	62%	0.14	7.5	0.65%	0	1	72	0
19	Apr_8_2004	22.1	22.67	22.83	22.9			22.83(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	-10000	1	102	0.59	60%	0.09	-5	0.65%	0	0.7	57	0
20	Apr_7_2004	22.08	22.65	22.81	22.89			22.95(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	1	99	0.09	60%	0.09	-15.1	0.65%	0	1.3	56	0

21	Apr_6_2004	22.06	22.65	22.75	22.88			23.01(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	4	84	0.07	60%	0.09	-18.2	0.65%	0	1.4	57	0
22	Apr_5_2004	22.04	22.65	22.67	22.85			22.9(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	4	72	0.15	61%	0.09	-19.1	0.65%	0	0.9	62	0
23	Apr_2_2004	22.02	22.66	22.61	22.82			22.82(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	10	64	0.77	58%	0.05	-24.4	0.65%	0	0.6	61	0
24	Apr_1_2004	22.01	22.68	22.58	22.75			22.79(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	5	44	0.36	58%	0.09	-28.1	0.67%	0	0.4	53	0
25	Mar_31_2004	21.99	22.69	22.57	22.71			22.88(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	22	-10000	15	43	0.31	59%		-28	0.67%	0	0.6	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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