Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 22, 2004

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $22.2700 (-1.33%) ($22.2000 - $22.4000) on Mon. Mar. 22, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.64% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $22.2700(-1.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(70%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.32% (StdDev 0.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $22.84
5 Day Moving Average   $22.54(-1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.64(-1.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.84(-2.5%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.23% (three month std-dev: 0.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20040422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2004	21.91	22.84	22.64	22.54			22.27(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-10000	-3	-119	0.36	57%	0.09	-23.6	0.64%	0	-2	27	0
2	Mar_19_2004	21.89	22.88	22.72	22.56			22.57(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-10000	-1	-124	0.18	58%	0.05	-13.8	0.62%	0	-1.2	27	0
3	Mar_18_2004	21.88	22.88	22.78	22.57			22.7(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-29	-10000	1	-120	0.39	58%	0.09	-6.7	0.62%	0	-0.8	41	0
4	Mar_17_2004	21.86	22.88	22.82	22.56			22.71(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-38	-10000	-10	-122	0.16	58%	0.05	-5.5	0.62%	0	-0.8	45	0
5	Mar_16_2004	21.85	22.9	22.86	22.63			22.44(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-10000	-19	-105	0.6	58%	0.09	2.8	0.61%	0	-1.8	37	0

6	Mar_15_2004	21.83	22.91	22.93	22.76			22.4(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-32	-10000	-21	-66	0.36	56%	0.05	21.9	0.62%	0	-2.1	39	0
7	Mar_12_2004	21.82	22.91	23.02	22.91			22.62(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.2	-16	-10000	-14	-21	0.28	60%	0.09	39	0.61%	0	-1.3	40	0
8	Mar_11_2004	21.8	22.92	23.06	23.01			22.62(-1.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-8	-10000	-14	9	0.89	60%	0.09	57.1	0.62%	0	-1.3	45	0
9	Mar_10_2004	21.78	22.91	23.1	23.11			23.06(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-3	51	0.73	66%	0.09	74.3	0.56%	0	0.6	65	0
10	Mar_9_2004	21.76	22.89	23.09	23.13			23.12(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	20	-10000	1	75	0.28	66%	0.09	84.2	0.56%	0	0.9	71	0

11	Mar_8_2004	21.74	22.86	23.07	23.12			23.12(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	-10000	-5	82	0.23	66%	0.09	90.7	0.56%	0	1	69	0
12	Mar_5_2004	21.72	22.82	23.05	23.15			23.13(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	3	120	0.43	66%	0.09	105.9	0.56%	0	1.1	74	0
13	Mar_4_2004	21.7	22.78	23.03	23.13			23.12(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	-10000	6	132	0.13	66%	0.09	103.1	0.56%	0	1.2	67	0
14	Mar_3_2004	21.68	22.73	22.99	23.09			23.17(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	8	134	0.26	66%	0.09	102.2	0.56%	0	1.4	69	0
15	Mar_2_2004	21.66	22.67	22.93	23.04			23.05(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	6	125	0.83	63%	0.09	94.5	0.56%	0	1.2	66	0

16	Mar_1_2004	21.64	22.61	22.89	23			23.28(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	37	-10000	8	125	0.35	66%	0.14	84.3	0.56%	0	1.9	77	0
17	Feb_27_2004	21.61	22.54	22.8	22.95			23.02(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	5	116	0.34	64%	0.09	81.3	0.54%	0	1.3	73	0
18	Feb_26_2004	21.59	22.48	22.75	22.92			22.93(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	37	-10000	8	125	0.27	64%	0.09	81.8	0.54%	0	1.2	76	0
19	Feb_25_2004	21.57	22.42	22.71	22.87			22.93(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	42	-10000	11	133	0.74	64%	0.09	73	0.54%	0	1.3	79	0
20	Feb_24_2004	21.55	22.36	22.67	22.8			22.86(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	8	141	0.75	67%	0.09	74.1	0.54%	0	1.3	80	0

21	Feb_23_2004	21.53	22.32	22.63	22.75			23(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	-10000	19	155	0.81	69%	0.09	75.4	0.56%	0	1.7	88	0
22	Feb_20_2004	21.51	22.25	22.57	22.63			22.87(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	10	152	0.53	65%	0.14	72.9	0.56%	0	1.7	88	0
23	Feb_19_2004	21.48	22.19	22.51	22.57			22.69(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	-10000	6	151	0.34	64%	0.09	68.3	0.56%	0	1.4	78	0
24	Feb_18_2004	21.46	22.13	22.45	22.53			22.58(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	1	166	0.49	64%	0.09	69.3	0.56%	0	1.3	81	0
25	Feb_17_2004	21.44	22.08	22.39	22.52			22.61(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	-10000	5	177	0.21	64%		67.3	0.56%	0	1.4	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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