Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 11, 2004

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $22.6200 (-1.91%) ($22.5700 - $22.9800) on Thu. Mar. 11, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $22.6200(-1.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(70%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

Resistance Level   $22.92
5 Day Moving Average   $23.01(-1.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.06(-1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.92(-1.31%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.05% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2004	21.8	22.92	23.06	23.01			22.62(-1.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-8	-10000	-14	9	0.89	60%	0.09	57.1	0.62%	0	-1.3	45	0
2	Mar_10_2004	21.78	22.91	23.1	23.11			23.06(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-3	51	0.73	66%	0.09	74.3	0.56%	0	0.6	65	0
3	Mar_9_2004	21.76	22.89	23.09	23.13			23.12(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	20	-10000	1	75	0.28	66%	0.09	84.2	0.56%	0	0.9	71	0
4	Mar_8_2004	21.74	22.86	23.07	23.12			23.12(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	-10000	-5	82	0.23	66%	0.09	90.7	0.56%	0	1	69	0
5	Mar_5_2004	21.72	22.82	23.05	23.15			23.13(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	3	120	0.43	66%	0.09	105.9	0.56%	0	1.1	74	0

6	Mar_4_2004	21.7	22.78	23.03	23.13			23.12(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	-10000	6	132	0.13	66%	0.09	103.1	0.56%	0	1.2	67	0
7	Mar_3_2004	21.68	22.73	22.99	23.09			23.17(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	8	134	0.26	66%	0.09	102.2	0.56%	0	1.4	69	0
8	Mar_2_2004	21.66	22.67	22.93	23.04			23.05(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	6	125	0.83	63%	0.09	94.5	0.56%	0	1.2	66	0
9	Mar_1_2004	21.64	22.61	22.89	23			23.28(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	37	-10000	8	125	0.35	66%	0.14	84.3	0.56%	0	1.9	77	0
10	Feb_27_2004	21.61	22.54	22.8	22.95			23.02(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	5	116	0.34	64%	0.09	81.3	0.54%	0	1.3	73	0

11	Feb_26_2004	21.59	22.48	22.75	22.92			22.93(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	37	-10000	8	125	0.27	64%	0.09	81.8	0.54%	0	1.2	76	0
12	Feb_25_2004	21.57	22.42	22.71	22.87			22.93(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	42	-10000	11	133	0.74	64%	0.09	73	0.54%	0	1.3	79	0
13	Feb_24_2004	21.55	22.36	22.67	22.8			22.86(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	8	141	0.75	67%	0.09	74.1	0.54%	0	1.3	80	0
14	Feb_23_2004	21.53	22.32	22.63	22.75			23(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	-10000	19	155	0.81	69%	0.09	75.4	0.56%	0	1.7	88	0
15	Feb_20_2004	21.51	22.25	22.57	22.63			22.87(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	10	152	0.53	65%	0.14	72.9	0.56%	0	1.7	88	0

16	Feb_19_2004	21.48	22.19	22.51	22.57			22.69(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	-10000	6	151	0.34	64%	0.09	68.3	0.56%	0	1.4	78	0
17	Feb_18_2004	21.46	22.13	22.45	22.53			22.58(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	1	166	0.49	64%	0.09	69.3	0.56%	0	1.3	81	0
18	Feb_17_2004	21.44	22.08	22.39	22.52			22.61(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	-10000	5	177	0.21	64%	0.14	67.3	0.56%	0	1.4	71	0
19	Feb_13_2004	21.41	22.03	22.32	22.52			22.41(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	-10000	0	168	0.48	56%	0.09	69.9	0.56%	0	1.1	63	0
20	Feb_12_2004	21.39	21.99	22.26	22.49			22.55(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	-10000	9	176	0.23	60%	0.09	70.7	0.57%	0	1.6	72	0

21	Feb_11_2004	21.37	21.94	22.2	22.43			22.51(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	-10000	12	178	0.36	60%	0.09	70.3	0.58%	0	1.7	74	0
22	Feb_10_2004	21.35	21.88	22.11	22.35			22.54(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	-10000	17	162	0.29	60%	0.09	65.1	0.58%	0	2.1	72	0
23	Feb_9_2004	21.33	21.83	22.03	22.24			22.45(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	-10000	17	149	0.41	60%	0.09	59.4	0.58%	0	2.1	73	0
24	Feb_6_2004	21.31	21.78	21.98	22.13			22.42(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	49	-10000	20	137	0.48	61%	0.09	52.9	0.58%	0	2.5	69	0
25	Feb_5_2004	21.29	21.73	21.9	22			22.25(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	-10000	11	109	0.49	59%		42.6	0.57%	0	2.4	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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