Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 22, 2003

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $21.5200 (0.56%) ($21.4000 - $21.5200) on Mon. Dec. 22, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $21.5200(0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(70%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.49(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.4(0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.38(0.65%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.42% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2003	20.88	21.38	21.4	21.49			21.52(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	8	52	0.13	57%	0.05	100	0.55%	0	1.6	61	0
2	Dec_19_2003	20.87	21.36	21.38	21.49			21.4(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-10000	0	30	0.06	56%	0.1	68.6	0.56%	0	0.4	47	0
3	Dec_18_2003	20.85	21.35	21.37	21.44			21.57(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	10	27	0.46	59%	0.05	50.8	0.55%	0	1.7	51	0
4	Dec_17_2003	20.84	21.33	21.34	21.38			21.46(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	-10000	7	6	0.4	59%	0.1	30.4	0.55%	0	1.1	51	0
5	Dec_16_2003	20.82	21.31	21.32	21.34			21.48(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	-10000	7	-11	0.09	59%	0.05	10.7	0.56%	0	1.4	50	0

6	Dec_15_2003	20.81	21.31	21.3	21.3			21.27(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-2	-35	0.28	56%	0.05	-5.4	0.54%	0	-0.2	44	0
7	Dec_12_2003	20.8	21.29	21.3	21.31			21.41(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	3	-13	0.11	59%	0.05	-10.7	0.54%	0	1	64	0
8	Dec_11_2003	20.79	21.28	21.32	21.29			21.27(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-10000	-3	-2	0.09	57%	0.1	-21.4	0.53%	0	-0.1	63	0
9	Dec_10_2003	20.77	21.29	21.34	21.31			21.28(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10000	2	15	0.18	57%	0.05	-8.2	0.54%	0	-0.1	54	0
10	Dec_9_2003	20.76	21.29	21.35	21.31			21.26(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	0	30	0.34	52%	0.05	-6.6	0.54%	0	-0.3	58	0

11	Dec_8_2003	20.75	21.29	21.37	21.3			21.34(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	6	-10000	-5	38	0.11	52%	0.05	-9.8	0.55%	0	0.3	57	0
12	Dec_5_2003	20.74	21.3	21.35	21.33			21.29(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-7	43	0.36	48%	0.05	0	0.55%	0	-0.1	56	0
13	Dec_4_2003	20.73	21.31	21.33	21.37			21.36(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-2	46	0.1	48%	0.05	15.2	0.57%	0	0.4	53	0
14	Dec_3_2003	20.72	21.31	21.31	21.38			21.27(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-5	34	0.32	48%	0.05	18.2	0.57%	0	-0.2	40	0
15	Dec_2_2003	20.71	21.3	21.3	21.41			21.26(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	5	-10000	-5	33	0.3	52%	0.05	30.3	0.57%	0	-0.3	47	0

16	Dec_1_2003	20.7	21.31	21.29	21.44			21.45(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	12	40	0.08	55%	0.05	53	0.57%	0	1	53	0
17	Nov_28_2003	20.69	21.3	21.26	21.37			21.49(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	15	10	0.02	55%	0.1	50	0.57%	0	1.4	51	0
18	Nov_26_2003	20.67	21.29	21.23	21.28			21.41(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	-0	-10000	7	-22	0.08	55%	0.05	45.9	0.57%	0	0.9	49	0
19	Nov_25_2003	20.66	21.28	21.24	21.24			21.44(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	3	-10000	12	-23	0.11	55%	0.05	47.5	0.57%	0	1.2	55	0
20	Nov_24_2003	20.65	21.26	21.23	21.17			21.39(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-4	-10000	8	-41	0.14	55%	0.05	33.3	0.57%	0	0.9	52	0

21	Nov_21_2003	20.64	21.24	21.22	21.12			21.1(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-2	-63	0.08	48%	0.05	17.3	0.56%	0	-0.9	37	0
22	Nov_20_2003	20.63	21.24	21.25	21.13			21.05(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-9	-57	0.32	48%	0	15	0.56%	0	-1.1	45	0
23	Nov_19_2003	20.63	21.23	21.28	21.18			21.2(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	-10	-38	0.05	50%	0.05	15	0.55%	0	-0.2	51	0
24	Nov_18_2003	20.62	21.23	21.29	21.24			21.09(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10000	-8	-17	0.09	50%	0.05	18.8	0.56%	0	-0.7	46	0
25	Nov_17_2003	20.61	21.21	21.32	21.29			21.17(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10000	-7	6	0.49	50%		24.7	0.55%	0	-0.2	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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