Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 6, 2003

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $21.4000 (0.61%) ($21.1900 - $21.4400) on Thu. Nov. 6, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $21.4000(0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(70%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-13%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(13%)    OIH(40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.33(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.21(0.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.13(1.28%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.71% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2003	20.54	21.13	21.21	21.33			21.4(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	7	91	0.05	62%	0.05	64.8	0.55%	0	1.8	66	0
2	Nov_5_2003	20.53	21.11	21.16	21.29			21.27(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	2	67	0.03	56%	0.05	72.7	0.55%	0	1.1	53	0
3	Nov_4_2003	20.52	21.1	21.13	21.28			21.3(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	5	56	0.04	56%	0	80.3	0.57%	0	1.4	55	0
4	Nov_3_2003	20.52	21.08	21.1	21.25			21.43(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	-10000	18	45	0.1	58%	0.1	104.8	0.57%	0	2.7	60	0
5	Oct_31_2003	20.5	21.06	21.06	21.14			21.24(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	12	13	0.22	51%	0	108.8	0.57%	0	1.5	58	0

6	Oct_30_2003	20.5	21.04	21.04	21.07			21.2(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	-10000	8	-4	0.06	51%	0.05	103.2	0.57%	0	1.2	61	0
7	Oct_29_2003	20.49	21.01	21.03	21.02			21.23(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	5	-10000	10	-9	0.11	51%	0.05	92.5	0.58%	0	1.6	62	0
8	Oct_28_2003	20.48	20.99	21.02	20.96			21.13(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	3	-22	0.91	51%	0.05	64.8	0.58%	0	0.7	60	0
9	Oct_27_2003	20.47	20.95	21.03	20.94			20.9(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-5	-24	0.17	47%	0	47.6	0.57%	0	-0.2	42	0
10	Oct_24_2003	20.47	20.93	21.04	20.97			20.91(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-5	-9	0.29	50%	0.05	43.7	0.58%	0	-0.1	52	0

11	Oct_23_2003	20.46	20.91	21.05	21			20.93(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-10000	-8	4	0.29	50%	0	40.3	0.59%	0	0.1	58	0
12	Oct_22_2003	20.46	20.88	21.06	21.05			20.93(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-6	32	0.27	54%	0.05	38.8	0.59%	0	0.2	66	0
13	Oct_21_2003	20.45	20.86	21.06	21.09			21.03(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-5	56	0.08	51%	0.05	38.1	0.6%	0	0.6	72	0
14	Oct_20_2003	20.44	20.84	21.07	21.12			21.06(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-2	97	0.16	51%	0.05	42.5	0.61%	0	0.8	83	0
15	Oct_17_2003	20.43	20.82	21.06	21.13			21.05(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	-10000	3	121	0.13	54%	0.1	42.5	0.62%	0	0.8	77	0

16	Oct_16_2003	20.41	20.8	21.04	21.11			21.18(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	-10000	5	143	0.11	51%	0.05	44.6	0.61%	0	1.4	83	0
17	Oct_15_2003	20.4	20.78	20.99	21.08			21.15(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	6	142	0.63	51%	0.05	48	0.63%	0	1.4	79	0
18	Oct_14_2003	20.39	20.76	20.95	21.04			21.18(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	39	-10000	4	144	0.25	51%	0.05	52.6	0.63%	0	1.7	79	0
19	Oct_13_2003	20.38	20.73	20.86	21.01			21.07(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	4	125	0.12	51%	0.05	57.5	0.63%	0	1.5	64	0
20	Oct_10_2003	20.37	20.7	20.8	20.98			20.99(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	4	116	0.52	51%	0.1	55.4	0.63%	0	1.4	66	0

21	Oct_9_2003	20.35	20.68	20.74	20.95			21(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	9	98	0.27	47%	0.05	53.6	0.64%	0	1.6	58	0
22	Oct_8_2003	20.34	20.66	20.69	20.89			20.97(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	7	66	0.13	47%	0.1	41.3	0.66%	0	1.6	52	0
23	Oct_7_2003	20.32	20.63	20.64	20.84			21.03(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	-10000	22	52	0.3	47%	0.1	27.6	0.66%	0	2.2	58	0
24	Oct_6_2003	20.3	20.6	20.6	20.69			20.92(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	-10000	15	16	0.21	47%	0.05	0	0.66%	0	2.1	59	0
25	Oct_3_2003	20.29	20.59	20.56	20.59			20.85(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	7	-10000	13	-12	0.71	47%		-13.2	0.66%	0	1.9	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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