Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 14, 2003

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $21.1800 (0.52%) ($21.0100 - $21.1900) on Tue. Oct. 14, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.63% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $21.1800(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(70%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-13%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(13%)    OIH(40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.315% (StdDev 0.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.04(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.95(1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.76(2.02%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 0.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_14_2003	20.39	20.76	20.95	21.04			21.18(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	39	-10000	4	144	0.25	51%	0.05	52.6	0.63%	0	1.7	79	0
2	Oct_13_2003	20.38	20.73	20.86	21.01			21.07(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	4	125	0.12	51%	0.05	57.5	0.63%	0	1.5	64	0
3	Oct_10_2003	20.37	20.7	20.8	20.98			20.99(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	4	116	0.52	51%	0.1	55.4	0.63%	0	1.4	66	0
4	Oct_9_2003	20.35	20.68	20.74	20.95			21(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	9	98	0.27	47%	0.05	53.6	0.64%	0	1.6	58	0
5	Oct_8_2003	20.34	20.66	20.69	20.89			20.97(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	7	66	0.13	47%	0.1	41.3	0.66%	0	1.6	52	0

6	Oct_7_2003	20.32	20.63	20.64	20.84			21.03(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	-10000	22	52	0.3	47%	0.1	27.6	0.66%	0	2.2	58	0
7	Oct_6_2003	20.3	20.6	20.6	20.69			20.92(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	-10000	15	16	0.21	47%	0.05	0	0.66%	0	2.1	59	0
8	Oct_3_2003	20.29	20.59	20.56	20.59			20.85(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	7	-10000	13	-12	0.71	47%	0.1	-13.2	0.66%	0	1.9	57	0
9	Oct_2_2003	20.27	20.57	20.54	20.5			20.69(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-4	-10000	6	-33	0.22	45%	0.05	-26.5	0.66%	0	0.9	52	0
10	Oct_1_2003	20.26	20.57	20.55	20.46			20.69(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-4	-10000	6	-33	0.19	45%	0.05	-20.6	0.67%	0	0.8	54	0

11	Sep_30_2003	20.25	20.58	20.54	20.42			20.32(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-9	-42	0.11	39%	0.05	-16.2	0.64%	0	-1.9	47	0
12	Sep_29_2003	20.24	20.6	20.57	20.48			20.41(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-9	-10000	-5	-19	0.11	39%	0.05	11.1	0.63%	0	-1.5	50	0
13	Sep_26_2003	20.23	20.6	20.59	20.51			20.41(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-9	-18	0.23	39%	0.05	27	0.64%	0	-1.5	40	0
14	Sep_25_2003	20.22	20.6	20.62	20.57			20.46(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-11	-4	0.17	36%	0.05	48.3	0.64%	0	-1.2	44	0
15	Sep_24_2003	20.21	20.61	20.62	20.64			20.48(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-10000	-7	3	0.27	39%	0.1	65.1	0.67%	0	-1	38	0

16	Sep_23_2003	20.19	20.6	20.63	20.69			20.66(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-10000	1	7	0.15	41%	0.05	69.1	0.67%	0	0.4	46	0
17	Sep_22_2003	20.18	20.59	20.61	20.68			20.54(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-3	-10000	-1	-7	0.13	41%	0.1	57.5	0.67%	0	-0.3	45	0
18	Sep_19_2003	20.16	20.57	20.61	20.69			20.71(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	3	6	0.09	41%	0.05	44.3	0.66%	0	0.8	59	0
19	Sep_18_2003	20.15	20.55	20.62	20.67			20.83(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	9	10	0.11	41%	0.1	44.3	0.67%	0	1.6	64	0
20	Sep_17_2003	20.13	20.52	20.61	20.61			20.7(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	7	14	0.26	41%	0.05	37.5	0.67%	0	1	62	0

21	Sep_16_2003	20.12	20.51	20.61	20.56			20.6(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	4	18	0.06	46%	0.1	32.5	0.67%	0	0.5	63	0
22	Sep_15_2003	20.1	20.5	20.62	20.53			20.59(-0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	-10000	-3	22	0.09	46%	0.1	36.1	0.72%	0	0.5	64	0
23	Sep_12_2003	20.08	20.49	20.61	20.55			20.61(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	9	-10000	-1	39	0.09	44%	0.05	47	0.73%	0	0.7	68	0
24	Sep_11_2003	20.07	20.47	20.6	20.56			20.56(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-10000	-8	42	0.09	44%	0.1	50	0.73%	0	0.5	58	0
25	Sep_10_2003	20.05	20.46	20.59	20.62			20.45(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	9	-10000	-8	61	0.45	44%		68.2	0.73%	0	-0.1	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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