Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 11, 2003

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $20.5600 (0.54%) ($20.5500 - $20.6800) on Thu. Sep. 11, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $20.5600(0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(70%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-13%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(13%)    OIH(40%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.56(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.6(-0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.47(0.44%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.88% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031011

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_11_2003	20.07	20.47	20.6	20.56			20.56(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-10000	-8	42	0.09	44%	0.1	50	0.73%	0	0.5	58	0
2	Sep_10_2003	20.05	20.46	20.59	20.62			20.45(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	9	-10000	-8	61	0.45	44%	0.05	68.2	0.73%	0	-0.1	58	0
3	Sep_9_2003	20.04	20.45	20.58	20.68			20.46(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	15	-10000	-5	76	0.62	44%	0.05	92	0.73%	0	0.1	55	0
4	Sep_8_2003	20.03	20.44	20.57	20.72			20.69(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	5	88	0.13	47%	0.05	93.9	0.72%	0	1.3	57	0
5	Sep_5_2003	20.02	20.41	20.52	20.68			20.63(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	4	70	0.1	47%	0.05	100	0.72%	0	1.2	57	0

6	Sep_4_2003	20.01	20.38	20.49	20.65			20.85(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	-10000	12	72	0.29	54%	0.15	88.8	0.71%	0	2.4	71	0
7	Sep_3_2003	19.98	20.33	20.43	20.56			20.75(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	12	52	0.33	54%	0.05	76.3	0.74%	0	2.2	69	0
8	Sep_2_2003	19.97	20.29	20.39	20.47			20.7(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	-10000	11	34	0.13	54%	0.15	54.5	0.74%	0	2.1	64	0
9	Aug_29_2003	19.94	20.25	20.36	20.39			20.47(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	8	27	0.94	53%	0.05	44.7	0.73%	0	1.2	64	0
10	Aug_28_2003	19.93	20.22	20.35	20.33			20.46(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	3	21	0.04	53%	0.1	28.7	0.73%	0	1.3	62	0

11	Aug_27_2003	19.91	20.21	20.33	20.31			20.4(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	4	23	0.16	53%	0.05	29.2	0.73%	0	1.1	65	0
12	Aug_26_2003	19.9	20.19	20.33	20.28			20.32(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	-10000	-1	29	0.07	53%	0.1	23.6	0.74%	0	0.7	68	0
13	Aug_25_2003	19.88	20.18	20.31	20.29			20.29(0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-4	48	0.28	53%	0.05	17.9	0.75%	0	0.6	71	0
14	Aug_22_2003	19.87	20.18	20.31	20.32			20.17(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	10	-10000	-7	61	0.11	56%	0.1	23.8	0.75%	0	0	56	0
15	Aug_21_2003	19.85	20.17	20.3	20.37			20.35(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	3	86	0.44	58%	0.05	32.1	0.76%	0	1.1	65	0

16	Aug_20_2003	19.84	20.17	20.27	20.35			20.28(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	21	-10000	1	79	0.18	58%	0.1	28.6	0.76%	0	0.8	54	0
17	Aug_19_2003	19.82	20.17	20.24	20.34			20.35(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	1	71	0.39	58%	0.05	28.6	0.76%	0	1.2	56	0
18	Aug_18_2003	19.81	20.15	20.18	20.33			20.46(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	8	65	0.03	58%	0	27.8	0.77%	0	1.9	64	0
19	Aug_15_2003	19.81	20.13	20.14	20.27			20.42(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	6	48	0.01	58%	0.05	13.3	0.77%	0	1.9	58	0
20	Aug_14_2003	19.8	20.13	20.09	20.22			20.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10000	4	27	0	57%	0.05	4.3	0.77%	0	0.9	49	0

21	Aug_13_2003	19.79	20.11	20.07	20.19			20.24(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	9	24	0.26	57%	0	-6.2	0.78%	0	1	54	0
22	Aug_12_2003	19.79	20.11	20.06	20.12			20.31(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	13	-10000	14	8	0.03	57%	0.05	-22.9	0.78%	0	1.5	51	0
23	Aug_11_2003	19.78	20.11	20.03	20.01			20.15(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	4	-29	0.14	55%	0	-48.6	0.78%	0	0.4	44	0
24	Aug_8_2003	19.78	20.1	20.03	19.98			20.18(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-4	-10000	6	-34	0.15	58%	0	-62.9	0.79%	0	0.6	52	0
25	Aug_7_2003	19.78	20.11	20.02	19.93			20.06(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-15	-10000	-3	-50	0.05	58%		-74.3	0.79%	0	-0.4	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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