Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 19, 2003

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $19.2100 (-0.98%) ($19.1400 - $19.3000) on Mon. May. 19, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $19.2100(-0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(70%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-13%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(13%)    OIH(40%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $19.27
5 Day Moving Average   $19.4(-0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.37(-0.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.27(-0.31%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2003	19.12	19.27		19.4			19.21(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	1	-10000	-8	28	0.07	72%	0	45.2	1.07%	0	-0.3	49	0
2	May_16_2003	19.12	19.26	19.37	19.4			19.4(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	0	45	0.88	72%	0.05	59.1	1.07%	0	0.8	59	0
3	May_15_2003	19.11	19.24	19.36	19.48			19.51(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	6	60	0.18	72%	0.1	64.9	1.08%	0	1.5	68	0
4	May_14_2003	19.09	19.21	19.32	19.42			19.36(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	2	48	0.14	72%	0.05	50	1.09%	0	0.7	56	0
5	May_13_2003	19.08	19.2	19.29	19.4			19.51(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	5	43	0.25	72%	0.05	55.8	1.1%	0	1.6	55	0

6	May_12_2003	19.07	19.19	19.27	19.35			19.6(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	-10000	9	37	0.34	72%	0.1	66	1.11%	0	2.3	56	0
7	May_9_2003	19.05	19.15	19.22	19.25			19.43(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	-10000	3	23	0.09	72%	0.05	60.7	1.13%	0	1.8	61	0
8	May_8_2003	19.04	19.13	19.16	19.22			19.19(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	2	11	0.13	70%	0.05	58.3	1.13%	0	0.4	52	0
9	May_7_2003	19.03	19.11	19.16	19.2			19.28(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	3	18	0.46	70%	0.05	50.6	1.14%	0	1	62	0
10	May_6_2003	19.02	19.09	19.16	19.17			19.23(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	-10000	-1	10	0.41	70%	0.05	58.4	1.17%	0	0.8	48	0

11	May_5_2003	19.01	19.07	19.15	19.18			19.13(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	-10000	1	14	0.07	70%	0	0	1.19%	0	0.3	48	0
12	May_2_2003	19.01	19.06	19.14	19.17			19.25(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	7	16	0.07	70%	0.05	0	1.2%	0	1	56	0
13	May_1_2003	19	19.03	19.12	19.09			19.1(-0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-10000	-1	6	0.06	70%	0.05	0	1.22%	0	0.4	55	0
14	Apr_30_2003	18.99	19.02	19.09	19.1			19.12(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	-2	6	0.07	70%	0.05	0	1.25%	0	0.5	56	0
15	Apr_29_2003	18.98	18.99	19.11	19.12			19.28(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	4	-10000	-1	18	0.18	70%	0.05	0	1.26%	0	1.3	55	0

16	Apr_28_2003	18.97	18.99	19.1	19.13			19.11(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	-10000	2	1	0.35	70%	0.05	0	1.29%	0	91	57	0
17	Apr_25_2003	18.96	18.99	19.08	19.1			18.84(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4	-10000	-4	-2	0.1	66%	-0.05	0	1.29%	0	85.6	51	0
18	Apr_24_2003	18.97	18.99	19.09	19.15			19.13(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	6	2	0.04	75%	0.05	0	1.26%	0	87	58	0
19	Apr_23_2003	18.96	18.99	19.06	19.08			19.26(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.28	75%	0.11	0	1.28%	0	87.5	57	0
20	Apr_22_2003	18.94	18.99	19.03	19.09			19.3(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	1	0	0.31	75%	0.16	0	1.32%	0	87.7	64	0

21	Apr_21_2003	18.91	18.99	18.98	19.08			18.96(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	1	-10000	1	0	0.05	70%	0	0	1.3%	0	94.8	50	0
22	Apr_17_2003	18.91	18.99	18.97	19.07			19.1(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	3	1	0.2	70%	0.11	0	1.32%	0	91	50	0
23	Apr_16_2003	18.89	18.99	18.94	19.03			18.77(-2.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-1	-10000	-1	-0	1.05	64%	-0.05	0	1.3%	0	89.4	50	0
24	Apr_15_2003	18.9	18.99	18.95	19.04			19.32(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	7	-10000	8	3	0.2	100%	0.21	0	0.94%	0	92	50	0
25	Apr_14_2003	18.86	18.99	18.87	18.97			19.25(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	9	-10000	11	4	0.44	100%		0	0.99%	0	106.9	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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