Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 1, 2003

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $19.1000 (-0.1%) ($18.8000 - $19.1100) on Thu. May. 1, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $19.1000(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(69%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-13%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(13%)    OIH(39%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.09(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.12(-0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.03(0.37%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20030601

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_1_2003	19	19.03	19.12	19.09			19.1(-0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-10000	-1	6	0.06	70%	0.05	0	1.22%	0	0.4	55	0
2	Apr_30_2003	18.99	19.02	19.09	19.1			19.12(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	-2	6	0.07	70%	0.05	0	1.25%	0	0.5	56	0
3	Apr_29_2003	18.98	18.99	19.11	19.12			19.28(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	4	-10000	-1	18	0.18	70%	0.05	0	1.26%	0	1.3	55	0
4	Apr_28_2003	18.97	18.99	19.1	19.13			19.11(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	-10000	2	1	0.35	70%	0.05	0	1.29%	0	91	57	0
5	Apr_25_2003	18.96	18.99	19.08	19.1			18.84(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4	-10000	-4	-2	0.1	66%	-0.05	0	1.29%	0	85.6	51	0

6	Apr_24_2003	18.97	18.99	19.09	19.15			19.13(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	6	2	0.04	75%	0.05	0	1.26%	0	87	58	0
7	Apr_23_2003	18.96	18.99	19.06	19.08			19.26(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.28	75%	0.11	0	1.28%	0	87.5	57	0
8	Apr_22_2003	18.94	18.99	19.03	19.09			19.3(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	1	0	0.31	75%	0.16	0	1.32%	0	87.7	64	0
9	Apr_21_2003	18.91	18.99	18.98	19.08			18.96(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	1	-10000	1	0	0.05	70%	0	0	1.3%	0	94.8	50	0
10	Apr_17_2003	18.91	18.99	18.97	19.07			19.1(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	3	1	0.2	70%	0.11	0	1.32%	0	91	50	0

11	Apr_16_2003	18.89	18.99	18.94	19.03			18.77(-2.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-1	-10000	-1	-0	1.05	64%	-0.05	0	1.3%	0	89.4	50	0
12	Apr_15_2003	18.9	18.99	18.95	19.04			19.32(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	7	-10000	8	3	0.2	100%	0.21	0	0.94%	0	92	50	0
13	Apr_14_2003	18.86	18.99	18.87	18.97			19.25(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	9	-10000	11	4	0.44	100%	0.21	0	0.99%	0	106.9	50	0
14	Apr_11_2003	18.82	18.99	18.87	18.87			18.92(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	-10000	2	1	0.12	100%	0.05	0	0.93%	0	145.5	50	0
15	Apr_10_2003	18.81	18.99	18.87	18.85			18.88(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	2	1	0.36	100%	0.05	0	0.99%	0	145.2	50	0

16	Apr_9_2003	18.8	18.99	18.87	18.83			18.82(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0.25	100%	0.05	0	1.07%	0	134.4	50	0
17	Apr_8_2003	18.79	18.99	18.87	18.85			18.97(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	9	4	0.07	100%	0.16	0	1.05%	0	126.5	50	0
18	Apr_7_2003	18.76	18.99	18.87	18.76			18.75(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	383	-10000	450	180	0.08	100%	0	0	1.11%	0	144.2	50	0
19	Apr_4_2003	18.76	18.99	18.87	15.01			18.85(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	25.6	496	-10000	583	233	0.33	100%	0.16	0	1.15%	0	125.7	50	0
20	Apr_3_2003	18.73	18.99	18.87	11.24			18.77(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	47.1	610	-10000	718	287	0.34	100%	0.11	0	1.4%	0	117.3	50	0

21	Apr_2_2003	18.71	18.99	18.87	7.48			18.9(2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	60.1	0	-10000	0	0	0.88	100%	1.08	0	0%	0	99.5	50	0
22	Apr_1_2003	18.51	18.99	18.87	3.7			18.51(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0.33	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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