Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 4, 2018

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $75.3100 (-0.38%) ($74.8000 - $75.4200) on Tue. Sep. 4, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $75.3100(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(98%)    IVW(91%)    IWF(90%)    VT(90%)    QQQ(88%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-27%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-15%)    XHB(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.46(-0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.72(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.98(1.8%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.37% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20181004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2018	70.93	73.98	74.72	75.46			75.31(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	2	128	11.07	53%	0.2	83.9	0.78%	0	1.3	71	0.5
2	Aug_31_2018	70.79	73.86	74.5	75.39			75.6(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-10000	9	128	10.27	56%	0.13	96.2	0.8%	0	1.8	77	0.1
3	Aug_30_2018	70.7	73.72	74.25	75.13			75.54(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	-10000	14	119	10.52	56%	0.14	99.2	0.8%	0	2	75	0.8
4	Aug_29_2018	70.6	73.56	74	74.73			75.77(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	-10000	16	94	11.18	56%	0.13	85.6	0.8%	0	2.4	68	1.3
5	Aug_28_2018	70.51	73.34	73.68	74.25			75.09(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	13	59	7.39	55%	0.16	59.7	0.8%	0	1.9	64	1

6	Aug_27_2018	70.4	73.14	73.5	73.86			74.96(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	-10000	13	37	8.21	55%	0.16	34.6	0.81%	0	1.9	65	0.9
7	Aug_24_2018	70.29	72.93	73.28	73.48			74.28(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	8	13	6.56	53%	0.13	14.3	0.8%	0	1.6	63	1
8	Aug_23_2018	70.2	72.8	73.15	73.25			73.54(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	-10000	4	1	9.37	50%	0.11	3.6	0.79%	0	0.9	61	1
9	Aug_22_2018	70.12	72.78	73.14	73.15			73.38(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	5	7	6.37	50%	0.13	3.4	0.8%	0	0.7	63	1.2
10	Aug_21_2018	70.03	72.78	73.16	73.02			73.16(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-10000	-2	15	8	50%	0.13	6.8	0.8%	0	0.4	70	0.7

11	Aug_20_2018	69.94	72.81	73.18	73.07			73.04(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	-10000	1	42	10.62	50%	0.06	10.3	0.8%	0	0.3	74	1.1
12	Aug_17_2018	69.9	72.8	73.19	73.04			73.15(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	17	-10000	1	63	9.02	50%	0.11	12.8	0.81%	0	0.4	76	0.9
13	Aug_16_2018	69.82	72.77	73.15	73.02			73.04(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-10000	-4	70	9.1	50%	0.13	12	0.81%	0	0.3	60	0.2
14	Aug_15_2018	69.73	72.74	73.1	73.14			72.72(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-6	72	17.79	50%	0.11	15.4	0.81%	0	-0	47	-1.4
15	Aug_14_2018	69.65	72.75	73	73.14			73.38(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	0	61	9.18	53%	0.1	28.2	0.81%	0	0.7	42	0.4

16	Aug_13_2018	69.58	72.72	72.77	73.31			72.93(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-1	40	12.06	53%	0.13	35.3	0.81%	0	0.3	47	-1
17	Aug_10_2018	69.49	72.69	72.57	73.35			73.03(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-10000	2	24	11.57	53%	0.1	40.5	0.81%	0	0.4	50	0.6
18	Aug_9_2018	69.42	72.67	72.45	73.29			73.62(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	8	16	11.72	53%	0.09	48.2	0.81%	0	1.1	56	1.8
19	Aug_8_2018	69.36	72.61	72.38	73.05			73.59(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	13	10	7.1	53%	0.07	52.6	0.83%	0	1.2	56	2.3
20	Aug_7_2018	69.31	72.51	72.41	72.65			73.39(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	17	2	10.27	53%	0.07	53.1	0.83%	0	1.1	53	2.3

21	Aug_6_2018	69.26	72.42	72.38	72.15			73.11(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	6	-10000	16	-23	7.5	53%	0.06	46	0.83%	0	0.8	50	1.9
22	Aug_3_2018	69.22	72.35	72.35	71.68			72.72(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-7	-10000	6	-47	7.25	57%	0.04	41	0.86%	0	0.4	52	1.1
23	Aug_2_2018	69.19	72.27	72.35	71.5			72.46(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-18	-10000	-4	-61	13.1	57%	0.03	39.2	0.86%	0	0.2	50	0.8
24	Aug_1_2018	69.17	72.17	72.33	71.63			71.56(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-18	-63	14.66	54%	0.03	50	0.84%	0	-0.6	44	0.7
25	Jul_31_2018	69.15	72.07	72.46	72.17			70.92(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-18	-10000	-16	-23	14.98	52%		54.4	0.85%	0	-1	50	0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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