Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 15, 2018

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $67.2800 (1.91%) ($65.8700 - $67.2800) on Thu. Feb. 15, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $67.2800(1.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(98%)    IVW(91%)    IWF(90%)    VT(90%)    QQQ(89%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-3%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $65.27(3.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.9(3.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.55(1.1%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 3.05% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180315

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2018	63.9	66.55	64.9	65.27			67.28(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	26	-95	12.15	55%	0.14	-23	1.26%	0	0.4	43	-0.4
2	Feb_14_2018	63.81	66.56	64.96	64.21			66.02(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-31	-10000	7	-145	16.06	53%	0.13	-34.1	1.25%	0	-0.3	44	-0.5
3	Feb_13_2018	63.73	66.63	65.15	63.95			64.83(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-44	-10000	-4	-164	9.54	51%	0.13	-35.4	1.23%	0	-0.9	40	-1.2
4	Feb_12_2018	63.65	66.73	65.44	64.09			64.67(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-37	-10000	5	-163	17.81	51%	0.09	-33.9	1.23%	0	-1	38	-1.4
5	Feb_9_2018	63.59	66.85	65.81	63.89			63.53(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-10000	-15	-183	36.35	47%	0.08	-36.9	1.21%	0	-1.7	35	-1.7

6	Feb_8_2018	63.54	67.02	66.37	64.48			62.01(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-67	-10000	-34	-166	27.81	44%	0.05	-29.4	1.17%	0	-2.8	32	-2.5
7	Feb_7_2018	63.51	67.26	67.02	65.78			64.69(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-46	-10000	-22	-118	23.71	49%	0.09	-10	1.05%	0	-1.8	39	-1.8
8	Feb_6_2018	63.45	67.36	67.39	66.53			65.53(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-14	-78	45.13	51%	0.11	10.8	1.03%	0	-1.4	43	-2
9	Feb_5_2018	63.38	67.43	67.73	67.02			63.7(-4.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-34	-10000	-29	-47	49.28	47%	0.08	31.4	0.97%	0	-3	41	-2.9
10	Feb_2_2018	63.33	67.59	68.25	67.99			66.48(-2.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-9	-10000	-20	24	21.96	56%	0.13	79.6	0.81%	0	-1.2	51	-2.2

11	Feb_1_2018	63.25	67.56	68.41	68.53			68.51(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	3	92	16.32	63%	0.16	96.7	0.71%	0	0.9	68	-0.5
12	Jan_31_2018	63.15	67.4	68.33	68.45			68.45(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	28	-10000	2	106	15.35	63%	0.16	93.3	0.71%	0	0.9	69	-1.6
13	Jan_30_2018	63.05	67.22	68.24	68.41			67.94(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	-10000	-6	115	14.83	62%	0.14	86.7	0.71%	0	0.6	64	-1.9
14	Jan_29_2018	62.96	67.04	68.12	68.57			68.56(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	-10000	1	134	27.59	64%	0.18	88	0.7%	0	1.2	68	-2.1
15	Jan_26_2018	62.85	66.83	67.96	68.55			69.19(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	-10000	11	137	10.05	71%	0.18	77.6	0.75%	0	1.7	76	136.8

16	Jan_25_2018	62.74	66.58	67.68	68.27			68.11(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	4	131	12.98	69%	0.16	70.9	0.73%	0	1.1	76	137.4
17	Jan_24_2018	62.64	66.38	67.49	68.18			68.23(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	-10000	5	137	18.51	69%	0.18	64	0.74%	0	1.3	79	-1.4
18	Jan_23_2018	62.53	66.19	67.31	68.05			68.76(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	53	-10000	18	156	10.23	71%	0.1	61	0.73%	0	1.8	87	0.1
19	Jan_22_2018	62.47	65.98	67.08	67.61			68.46(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	-10000	13	156	9	71%	0.16	58.6	0.73%	0	1.9	89	0.9
20	Jan_19_2018	62.37	65.78	66.85	67.28			67.8(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	-10000	12	159	11.95	71%	0.14	57.9	0.73%	0	1.6	82	1

21	Jan_18_2018	62.28	65.62	66.63	67			67.67(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	-10000	12	159	14.92	71%	0.16	57.8	0.73%	0	1.7	82	0
22	Jan_17_2018	62.18	65.48	66.39	66.7			67.55(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	46	-10000	10	154	14.69	71%	0.16	59.6	0.73%	0	1.9	82	0
23	Jan_16_2018	62.08	65.33	66.11	66.7			66.55(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	0	145	18.22	69%	0.21	64.7	0.71%	0	1.2	70	0
24	Jan_12_2018	61.95	65.2	65.87	66.46			66.81(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	-10000	4	144	8.15	69%	0.16	73	0.7%	0	1.8	73	0
25	Jan_11_2018	61.85	65.06	65.62	66.36			66.42(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	7	137	7.89	69%		81.3	0.7%	0	1.6	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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