Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 1, 2018

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $68.5100 (0.09%) ($68.1900 - $68.9900) on Thu. Feb. 1, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $68.5100(0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(98%)    IVW(91%)    IWF(90%)    VT(90%)    QQQ(89%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-3%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $68.53(-0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.41(0.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.56(1.41%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.52% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2018	63.25	67.56	68.41	68.53			68.51(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	3	92	16.32	63%	0.16	96.7	0.71%	0	0.9	68	-0.5
2	Jan_31_2018	63.15	67.4	68.33	68.45			68.45(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	28	-10000	2	106	15.35	63%	0.16	93.3	0.71%	0	0.9	69	-1.6
3	Jan_30_2018	63.05	67.22	68.24	68.41			67.94(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	-10000	-6	115	14.83	62%	0.14	86.7	0.71%	0	0.6	64	-1.9
4	Jan_29_2018	62.96	67.04	68.12	68.57			68.56(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	-10000	1	134	27.59	64%	0.18	88	0.7%	0	1.2	68	-2.1
5	Jan_26_2018	62.85	66.83	67.96	68.55			69.19(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	-10000	11	137	10.05	71%	0.18	77.6	0.75%	0	1.7	76	136.8

6	Jan_25_2018	62.74	66.58	67.68	68.27			68.11(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	4	131	12.98	69%	0.16	70.9	0.73%	0	1.1	76	137.4
7	Jan_24_2018	62.64	66.38	67.49	68.18			68.23(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	-10000	5	137	18.51	69%	0.18	64	0.74%	0	1.3	79	-1.4
8	Jan_23_2018	62.53	66.19	67.31	68.05			68.76(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	53	-10000	18	156	10.23	71%	0.1	61	0.73%	0	1.8	87	0.1
9	Jan_22_2018	62.47	65.98	67.08	67.61			68.46(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	-10000	13	156	9	71%	0.16	58.6	0.73%	0	1.9	89	0.9
10	Jan_19_2018	62.37	65.78	66.85	67.28			67.8(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	-10000	12	159	11.95	71%	0.14	57.9	0.73%	0	1.6	82	1

11	Jan_18_2018	62.28	65.62	66.63	67			67.67(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	-10000	12	159	14.92	71%	0.16	57.8	0.73%	0	1.7	82	0
12	Jan_17_2018	62.18	65.48	66.39	66.7			67.55(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	46	-10000	10	154	14.69	71%	0.16	59.6	0.73%	0	1.9	82	0
13	Jan_16_2018	62.08	65.33	66.11	66.7			66.55(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	0	145	18.22	69%	0.21	64.7	0.71%	0	1.2	70	0
14	Jan_12_2018	61.95	65.2	65.87	66.46			66.81(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	-10000	4	144	8.15	69%	0.16	73	0.7%	0	1.8	73	0
15	Jan_11_2018	61.85	65.06	65.62	66.36			66.42(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	7	137	7.89	69%	0.15	81.3	0.7%	0	1.6	68	0

16	Jan_10_2018	61.76	64.95	65.4	66.2			66.15(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	8	121	10.41	69%	0.13	89.8	0.7%	0	1.4	66	0
17	Jan_9_2018	61.68	64.84	65.2	66.02			66.38(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	14	101	10.61	69%	0.16	97.6	0.7%	0	1.9	62	0
18	Jan_8_2018	61.58	64.7	65	65.7			66.55(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	38	-10000	23	81	6.73	69%	0.16	95.6	0.7%	0	2.5	69	0
19	Jan_5_2018	61.48	64.54	64.79	65.18			66.3(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	26	-10000	18	48	9.68	70%	0.15	84.7	0.7%	0	2.8	71	0
20	Jan_4_2018	61.39	64.36	64.61	64.77			65.61(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	-10000	12	24	10.75	68%	0.13	74.1	0.69%	0	2.3	66	0

21	Jan_3_2018	61.31	64.21	64.51	64.49			65.28(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	11	10	11.33	68%	0.11	40.4	0.69%	0	1.9	64	0
22	Jan_2_2018	61.24	64.07	64.48	64.25			64.74(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	2	-0	13.72	67%	0.18	12	0.69%	0	1	59	0
23	Dec_29_2017	61.13	64.07	64.46	64.21			63.95(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10000	-6	6	6.69	66%	0.13	3.6	0.67%	0	-0.1	59	0
24	Dec_28_2017	61.05	64.01	64.48	64.34			64.29(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-4	26	9.66	66%	0.1	6.3	0.67%	0	0.4	68	0
25	Dec_27_2017	60.99	63.96	64.47	64.42			64.18(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-5	49	5.35	68%		3.5	0.67%	0	0.3	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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