Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $46.5900 (-1.61%) ($45.9400 - $47.6200) on Thu. Nov. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $46.5900(-1.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(97%)    IVW(91%)    IWF(90%)    VT(90%)    QQQ(89%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    IGOV(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

Resistance Level   $47.24
5 Day Moving Average   $46.94(-0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.95(-0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.24(-1.38%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.97% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2016	46.5	47.24	46.95	46.94			46.59(-1.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-12	-10000	4	-58	39.52	57%	0.09	-33	0.73%	0	-1.4	40	0
2	Nov_9_2016	46.46	47.27	47.04	46.88			47.35(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-10	-10000	8	-65	27.13	63%	0.09	-45.1	0.71%	0	0.2	49	0
3	Nov_8_2016	46.42	47.27	47.05	46.75			47.41(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-17	-10000	5	-82	9.78	63%	0.09	-56	0.71%	0	0.3	46	0
4	Nov_7_2016	46.38	47.28	47.08	46.67			47.18(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-25	-10000	-3	-90	13.23	63%	0.09	-57.7	0.71%	0	-0.2	45	0
5	Nov_4_2016	46.34	47.31	47.15	46.72			46.18(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-33	-10000	-16	-85	8.15	60%	0.06	-52.6	0.66%	0	-2.5	35	0

6	Nov_3_2016	46.31	47.39	47.29	46.97			46.26(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-25	-10000	-15	-56	10.13	60%	0.04	-48.8	0.67%	0	-3	34	0
7	Nov_2_2016	46.29	47.47	47.42	47.21			46.71(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-15	-10000	-11	-27	8.17	65%	0.09	-36.1	0.66%	0	-2.6	44	0
8	Nov_1_2016	46.25	47.52	47.52	47.38			47.01(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-9	-10000	-10	-7	9.07	65%	0.06	-31.3	0.66%	0	-2.2	43	0
9	Oct_31_2016	46.22	47.55	47.58	47.54			47.42(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-8	14	5.88	70%	0.09	-19	0.65%	0	-0.6	51	0
10	Oct_28_2016	46.18	47.56	47.57	47.66			47.44(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	4	-10000	-1	18	10.42	70%	0.07	7.1	0.65%	0	-0.6	41	0

11	Oct_27_2016	46.15	47.57	47.56	47.68			47.49(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	5	-10000	1	16	8.82	70%	0.07	16.7	0.65%	0	-0.4	48	0
12	Oct_26_2016	46.12	47.58	47.54	47.66			47.55(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-10000	-1	4	6.28	70%	0.07	4.8	0.66%	0	-0.2	47	0
13	Oct_25_2016	46.09	47.59	47.53	47.67			47.82(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10000	4	5	4.36	70%	0.09	11.4	0.65%	0	1.1	52	0
14	Oct_24_2016	46.05	47.58	47.49	47.61			47.99(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	7	-10000	9	-0	5.39	70%	0.09	17.4	0.65%	0	1.9	58	0
15	Oct_21_2016	46.01	47.58	47.47	47.47			47.53(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	2	-13	8.08	67%	0.09	0	0.65%	0	-0.1	48	0

16	Oct_20_2016	45.97	47.54	47.48	47.44			47.4(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-4	-10000	2	-20	6.15	70%	0.07	2.3	0.65%	0	-0.7	43	0
17	Oct_19_2016	45.94	47.54	47.48	47.4			47.62(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	2	-21	5.03	70%	0.09	4.5	0.66%	0	0.2	52	0
18	Oct_18_2016	45.9	47.57	47.48	47.37			47.53(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	1	-28	5.06	70%	0.02	16.7	0.66%	0	-0.2	45	0
19	Oct_17_2016	45.89	47.55	47.51	47.35			47.27(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-8	-38	5.08	70%	0.09	20.8	0.67%	0	-1.1	43	0
20	Oct_14_2016	45.85	47.55	47.55	47.48			47.37(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-3	-16	9.45	70%	0.07	39.6	0.67%	0	-0.7	54	0

21	Oct_13_2016	45.82	47.54	47.59	47.53			47.19(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-7	-10000	-7	-7	9.67	70%	0.09	64.2	0.67%	0	-1.4	47	0
22	Oct_12_2016	45.78	47.56	47.63	47.64			47.49(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-2	0	5.52	70%	0.09	74.6	0.66%	0	-0.3	44	0
23	Oct_11_2016	45.74	47.53	47.66	47.67			47.41(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-1	8	8.73	70%	0.11	51.4	0.67%	0	-0.3	48	0
24	Oct_10_2016	45.69	47.49	47.69	47.69			47.95(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	5	22	6.66	78%	0.11	37.2	0.65%	0	1.2	62	0
25	Oct_7_2016	45.64	47.44	47.62	47.62			47.62(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10000	-2	14	6.07	79%		23.7	0.67%	0	0.4	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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