Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $47.7500 (0.23%) ($47.4700 - $47.8000) on Thu. Oct. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.67% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $47.7500(0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(97%)    IVW(91%)    IWF(90%)    VT(90%)    QQQ(89%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-15%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.335% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.66(0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.61(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.38(0.78%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   9.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 0.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2016	45.59	47.38	47.61	47.66			47.75(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	3	25	5.01	79%	0.13	16.1	0.67%	0	0.8	58	0
2	Oct_5_2016	45.53	47.38	47.61	47.61			47.64(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-2	24	9.01	79%	0.11	16.1	0.67%	0	0.7	51	0
3	Oct_4_2016	45.48	47.35	47.62	47.65			47.47(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-3	42	8.9	79%	0.11	26.4	0.68%	0	0.3	59	0
4	Oct_3_2016	45.43	47.36	47.59	47.7			47.64(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	6	60	6.23	79%	0.13	33.3	0.69%	0	0.6	64	0
5	Sep_30_2016	45.37	47.34	47.54	47.61			47.78(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	3	55	9.26	81%	0.11	31.2	0.68%	0	1	60	0

6	Sep_29_2016	45.32	47.31	47.48	47.56			47.53(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-4	64	11.41	83%	0.11	29.7	0.69%	0	0.5	65	0
7	Sep_28_2016	45.27	47.28	47.49	47.63			47.82(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	2	78	9.05	85%	0.11	35.2	0.71%	0	1.3	53	0
8	Sep_27_2016	45.22	47.24	47.39	47.59			47.73(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	7	60	8.78	76%	0.13	33.3	0.74%	0	1.2	49	0
9	Sep_26_2016	45.16	47.21	47.28	47.46			47.21(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	8	-10000	1	30	9.62	74%	0.11	28.9	0.78%	0	0	47	0
10	Sep_23_2016	45.11	47.2	47.25	47.45			47.49(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	3	20	11.99	63%	0.13	27.1	0.92%	0	0.7	51	0

11	Sep_22_2016	45.05	47.18	47.13	47.39			47.91(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	3	-10000	3	4	10.5	63%	0.13	24.1	0.93%	0	1.9	56	0
12	Sep_21_2016	44.99	47.13	47.06	47.32			47.62(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	7	4	12.05	63%	0.11	21.1	0.93%	0	1.4	56	0
13	Sep_20_2016	44.94	47.13	47.05	47.16			47.09(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	-10000	5	-1	5	61%	0.11	12.5	0.92%	0	-0	51	0
14	Sep_19_2016	44.89	47.13	47.1	47.06			47.12(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	2	-6	7.12	61%	0.11	0	0.92%	0	0.1	49	0
15	Sep_16_2016	44.84	47.1	47.12	47.02			47.21(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	-10000	10	-2	15.88	58%	0.11	-4.2	0.93%	0	0.3	52	0

16	Sep_15_2016	44.79	47.08	47.11	46.81			47.58(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.3	-4	-10000	2	-20	16.32	58%	0.11	-23.6	0.93%	0	1.5	56	0
17	Sep_14_2016	44.74	47.05	47.05	46.76			46.81(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-8	-28	17.11	55%	0.07	-30.9	0.91%	0	-0.7	50	0
18	Sep_13_2016	44.71	47.06	47.07	46.94			46.59(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-9	-16	17.36	52%	0.09	-17.6	0.91%	0	-1.5	44	0
19	Sep_12_2016	44.67	47.1	47.14	47.14			46.93(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-4	4	19.01	52%	0.07	4.7	0.91%	0	-0.6	50	0
20	Sep_9_2016	44.64	47.11	47.16	47.23			46.16(-2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-3.6	-5	-10000	-9	9	16.81	46%	0.04	12.5	0.9%	0	-3.2	39	0

21	Sep_8_2016	44.62	47.17	47.26	47.42			47.32(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	11	-10000	3	33	8.3	53%	0.07	55.6	0.84%	0	0.7	58	0
22	Sep_7_2016	44.59	47.15	47.22	47.36			47.71(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	13	-10000	7	29	11.58	53%	0.09	66.7	0.83%	0	2.8	70	0
23	Sep_6_2016	44.55	47.12	47.16	47.23			47.59(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	8	-10000	4	20	15.11	53%	0.07	88.2	0.83%	0	2.9	67	0
24	Sep_2_2016	44.52	47.09	47.1	47.16			47.35(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	5	-10000	3	9	6.91	53%	0.07	130.4	0.83%	0	2.4	48	0
25	Sep_1_2016	44.49	47.07	47.07	47.1			47.14(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	-10000	1	3	9.24	53%		110	0.83%	0	0.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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