Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $45.2100 (-0.22%) ($45.1400 - $45.3200) on Tue. Jul. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $45.2100(-0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(97%)    IVW(91%)    IWF(90%)    VT(90%)    QQQ(89%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-15%)    IPO(-9%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.07(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.59(1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.81(3.2%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.4% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2016	43.43	43.81	44.59	45.07			45.21(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	4	148	4.46	51%	0.09	44.6	0.96%	0	1.3	88	0
2	Jul_18_2016	43.39	43.71	44.39	44.98			45.31(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	49	-10000	9	169	4.11	51%	0.09	43.2	0.96%	0	1.6	92	0
3	Jul_15_2016	43.35	43.59	44.2	44.79			45.01(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	-10000	8	174	4.86	51%	0.09	37.1	0.96%	0	1.5	75	0
4	Jul_14_2016	43.31	43.51	44.04	44.62			45.05(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	-10000	15	158	15.49	51%	0.09	30.5	0.96%	0	1.8	55	0
5	Jul_13_2016	43.27	43.42	43.82	44.3			44.76(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	13	130	10.61	51%	0.09	17.6	0.95%	0	1.7	58	0

6	Jul_12_2016	43.23	43.35	43.57	44.03			44.75(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	-10000	15	94	16.04	51%	0.09	5.4	0.96%	0	1.9	57	0
7	Jul_11_2016	43.19	43.28	43.25	43.71			44.39(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	9	43	5.83	51%	0.09	-11.3	0.96%	0	1.7	57	0
8	Jul_8_2016	43.15	43.28	43.03	43.53			44.13(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	7	18	12.75	51%	0.07	-20.3	0.96%	0	1.4	57	0
9	Jul_7_2016	43.12	43.25	42.99	43.38			43.45(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	5	11	6.17	45%	0.07	-25	0.94%	0	0.3	49	0
10	Jul_6_2016	43.09	43.28	42.99	43.27			43.45(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	12	4	7.85	45%	0.09	-27.1	0.96%	0	0.3	50	0

11	Jul_5_2016	43.05	43.31	42.99	43.03			43.15(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	-10000	17	-15	8.68	45%	0.09	-35.8	0.96%	0	-0.2	47	0
12	Jul_1_2016	43.01	43.35	42.97	42.68			43.47(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10000	11	-49	7.47	45%	0.12	-49.4	0.96%	0	0.2	50	0
13	Jun_30_2016	42.96	43.37	42.92	42.45			43.37(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.3	-27	-10000	-6	-88	13.36	45%	0.09	-57.8	0.95%	0	0	45	0
14	Jun_29_2016	42.92	43.4	42.93	42.57			42.9(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-25	-10000	-4	-89	10.5	46%	0.09	-51.8	0.95%	0	-0.7	39	0
15	Jun_28_2016	42.88	43.46	42.98	42.66			42.25(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-13	-97	13.24	43%	0.09	-44.1	0.95%	0	-1.6	33	0

16	Jun_27_2016	42.84	43.56	43.12	42.92			41.43(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-37	-10000	-18	-92	18.52	38%	0.05	-27.8	0.91%	0	-3.1	25	0
17	Jun_24_2016	42.82	43.71	43.34	43.28			42.28(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-23	-10000	-8	-69	23.62	41%	0.02	-6.3	0.89%	0	-2.9	33	0
18	Jun_23_2016	42.81	43.8	43.51	43.43			43.97(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-12	-10000	5	-61	9.76	51%	0.09	24.4	0.75%	0	0.5	49	0
19	Jun_22_2016	42.77	43.78	43.53	43.35			43.38(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-1	-71	6.5	46%	0.07	34.1	0.73%	0	-1.1	38	0
20	Jun_21_2016	42.74	43.79	43.62	43.36			43.53(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-1	-67	5.74	46%	0.05	50	0.73%	0	-0.7	39	0

21	Jun_20_2016	42.72	43.76	43.68	43.37			43.23(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-3	-69	6.86	46%	0.05	40.8	0.73%	0	-1.2	30	0
22	Jun_17_2016	42.7	43.74	43.76	43.42			43.05(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-10000	-11	-69	11.47	46%	0.07	44.5	0.73%	0	-1.4	29	0
23	Jun_16_2016	42.67	43.71	43.86	43.6			43.55(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-10	-51	9.6	50%	0.09	46.9	0.71%	0	-0.3	43	0
24	Jun_15_2016	42.63	43.66	43.91	43.75			43.46(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-11	-32	7.08	50%	0.07	49.3	0.73%	0	-0.3	46	0
25	Jun_14_2016	42.6	43.61	43.98	43.92			43.57(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	-7	-2	8.42	50%		49.4	0.73%	0	-0.1	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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