Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $39.9100 (-1.16%) ($39.8400 - $40.5100) on Mon. Jan. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $39.9100(-1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(97%)    IVW(91%)    IWF(91%)    QQQ(90%)    VT(89%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-14%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $33.18(-16.86%)
Resistance Level   $41.01
5 Day Moving Average   $39.61(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.86(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.01(-2.68%)
To recent high   -10.5%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 3.66% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2016	42.11	41.01	39.86	39.61			39.91(-1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	-10000	5	-97	10.48	35%	0.02	-53.6	1.22%	0	-0.7	34	0
2	Jan_22_2016	42.1	41.17	39.88	39.49			40.38(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-34	-10000	-1	-133	11.25	43%	0	-57.5	1.27%	0	-0.5	33	0
3	Jan_21_2016	42.1	41.29	39.87	39.51			39.29(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-10000	-4	-169	22.14	39%	0	-56.1	1.25%	0	-1.3	22	0
4	Jan_20_2016	42.1	41.46	40.09	39.6			39.07(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-58	-10000	-14	-191	29.63	39%	0	-57.2	1.25%	0	-1.5	19	0
5	Jan_19_2016	42.1	41.63	40.4	39.95			39.38(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-10000	-8	-180	19.66	39%	0	-55.9	1.25%	0	-1.5	26	0

6	Jan_15_2016	42.1	41.83	40.68	40.15			39.34(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-10000	-6	-181	20.18	39%	-0.02	-59.7	1.24%	0	-1.8	26	0
7	Jan_14_2016	42.11	42.06	41.02	40.3			40.48(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-45	-10000	1	-182	19.8	42%	0.02	-60.9	1.2%	0	-1.2	30	0
8	Jan_13_2016	42.1	42.21	41.3	40.28			39.73(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-60	-10000	-16	-192	21.96	39%	0.05	-64.1	1.17%	0	-1.9	27	0
9	Jan_12_2016	42.08	42.39	41.71	40.66			40.83(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-49	-10000	-12	-160	15.84	42%	0.07	-67.4	1.13%	0	-1.3	36	0
10	Jan_11_2016	42.05	42.49	41.94	40.93			40.35(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-10000	-16	-136	19.14	40%	0.02	-71.2	1.12%	0	-1.9	37	0

11	Jan_8_2016	42.04	42.67	42.24	41.31			40.09(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-47	-10000	-24	-116	19.23	40%	-0.02	-69.7	1.11%	0	-2.6	28	0
12	Jan_7_2016	42.05	42.85	42.58	41.86			40.41(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-41	-10000	-26	-87	16.84	40%	-0.05	-70.2	1.11%	0	-3	26	0
13	Jan_6_2016	42.07	43.05	42.85	42.47			41.64(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-27	-10000	-19	-50	13.86	44%	-0.02	-70.5	1.05%	0	-2.3	38	0
14	Jan_5_2016	42.08	43.19	42.97	42.9			42.16(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-12	-10000	-9	-21	16.07	50%	0	-50.8	1.04%	0	-1.8	43	0
15	Jan_4_2016	42.08	43.31	42.98	43.11			42.27(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-10	-10000	-9	-13	21.64	50%	-0.02	-35.8	1.06%	0	-1.8	48	0

16	Dec_31_2015	42.09	43.37	43.09	43.31			42.83(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4	-10000	-4	-3	8.83	53%	0.02	-29.1	1.06%	0	-0.9	43	0
17	Dec_30_2015	42.08	43.44	43.19	43.4			43.44(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	5	11	7.2	59%	0.02	-23.5	1.04%	0	0	48	0
18	Dec_29_2015	42.07	43.44	43.17	43.29			43.81(1.37%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	7	-10000	11	-5	6.81	59%	0.02	-24.5	1.06%	0	0.5	45	0
19	Dec_28_2015	42.06	43.48	43.1	43.05			43.22(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	9	-38	7.18	52%	0.02	-37.1	1.05%	0	-0.4	39	0
20	Dec_24_2015	42.05	43.51	43.06	42.84			43.25(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-19	-10000	0	-76	2.46	52%	0.02	-47.2	1.09%	0	-0.4	38	0

21	Dec_23_2015	42.04	43.54	43.09	42.83			43.27(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-24	-10000	-6	-78	8.05	52%	0.02	-47.2	1.09%	0	-0.4	49	0
22	Dec_22_2015	42.03	43.58	43.12	42.96			42.91(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-4	-76	9.48	49%	0.02	-35.2	1.08%	0	-1.1	42	0
23	Dec_21_2015	42.02	43.63	43.24	43.04			42.6(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-5	-72	11.16	49%	0	-25.7	1.1%	0	-1.7	38	0
24	Dec_18_2015	42.02	43.71	43.42	43.15			42.17(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-19	-10000	-5	-62	22.81	46%	-0.02	-8.5	1.1%	0	-2.7	39	0
25	Dec_17_2015	42.03	43.81	43.66	43.28			43.22(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-4	-47	12.11	50%		4	1.08%	0	-1.3	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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