Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $44.0400 (0.89%) ($43.6200 - $44.0600) on Mon. Nov. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.51% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $44.0400(0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(97%)    IVW(92%)    IWF(91%)    QQQ(90%)    VT(90%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.755% (StdDev 1.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.82(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.34(1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.47(3.7%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.64% (three month std-dev: 1.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2015	41.56	42.47	43.34	43.82			44.04(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	2	97	13.74	50%	0.02	92.4	1.51%	0	1.4	75	0
2	Oct_30_2015	41.55	42.31	43.15	43.74			43.65(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-10000	-1	100	9.34	50%	0.02	97.1	1.51%	0	1.2	72	0
3	Oct_29_2015	41.54	42.13	42.99	43.78			43.94(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	8	112	7.61	50%	0.02	94.5	1.51%	0	1.5	76	0
4	Oct_28_2015	41.53	41.92	42.78	43.52			44.06(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	-10000	14	109	14.78	51%	0.02	86.5	1.51%	0	1.7	79	0
5	Oct_27_2015	41.52	41.69	42.51	43.05			43.41(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	9	87	7.68	50%	0.02	72.6	1.5%	0	1.3	77	0

6	Oct_26_2015	41.51	41.46	42.31	42.77			43.66(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	10	78	8.29	50%	0.02	61.6	1.51%	0	1.7	82	0
7	Oct_23_2015	41.5	41.22	42.09	42.46			43.83(2.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	27	-10000	12	70	16.69	50%	0.02	53.2	1.51%	0	2.1	86	0
8	Oct_22_2015	41.49	41.01	41.83	42.09			42.64(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	19	-10000	5	62	14.24	46%	-0.02	50	1.47%	0	1.5	85	0
9	Oct_21_2015	41.5	40.87	41.7	41.94			41.7(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	2	72	9.42	43%	-0.05	44.7	1.45%	0	0.8	85	0
10	Oct_20_2015	41.52	40.78	41.64	41.87			42.02(-0.26%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	24	-10000	4	85	5.93	43%	-0.02	38.5	1.45%	0	1.2	92	0

11	Oct_19_2015	41.53	40.66	41.53	41.76			42.13(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	-10000	4	101	7.09	43%	-0.02	32.5	1.45%	0	1.5	96	0
12	Oct_16_2015	41.54	40.57	41.41	41.64			41.97(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	-10000	3	113	7.49	46%	-0.05	31.2	1.47%	0	1.5	91	0
13	Oct_15_2015	41.56	40.47	41.22	41.54			41.89(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	4	113	8.42	46%	-0.05	28.6	1.47%	0	1.6	71	0
14	Oct_14_2015	41.58	40.4	41	41.42			41.36(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	2	106	12.76	46%	-0.05	29.3	1.47%	0	1.1	66	0
15	Oct_13_2015	41.6	40.38	40.82	41.37			41.44(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	3	102	8.95	48%	0	35	1.47%	0	1.3	67	0

16	Oct_12_2015	41.6	40.34	40.56	41.27			41.53(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	4	89	6.34	48%	-0.05	35.7	1.48%	0	1.5	69	0
17	Oct_9_2015	41.62	40.27	40.3	41.14			41.48(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	9	70	11.38	49%	-0.05	40.2	1.49%	0	1.6	58	0
18	Oct_8_2015	41.64	40.22	40.12	40.86			41.3(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	12	55	15.37	48%	-0.05	35.5	1.49%	0	1.6	60	0
19	Oct_7_2015	41.66	40.16	39.97	40.5			41.11(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	11	27	15.22	48%	-0.07	25.3	1.5%	0	1.5	50	0
20	Oct_6_2015	41.69	40.09	39.83	40.18			40.92(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	11	-10000	15	0	9.86	48%	-0.05	19.4	1.5%	0	1.3	46	0

21	Oct_5_2015	41.71	40.06	39.7	39.74			40.87(1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	1	-10000	13	-36	8.57	48%	-0.07	0.7	1.5%	0	1.3	48	0
22	Oct_2_2015	41.74	39.98	39.64	39.35			40.08(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-14	-10000	2	-62	14.92	46%	-0.07	-27.3	1.49%	0	0.2	47	0
23	Oct_1_2015	41.77	39.97	39.63	39.29			39.52(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	-10000	-2	-72	13.52	46%	-0.1	-34.7	1.48%	0	-0.7	41	0
24	Sep_30_2015	41.81	39.99	39.75	39.36			39.5(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-3	-65	12.47	46%	-0.07	-29.7	1.49%	0	-0.8	43	0
25	Sep_29_2015	41.84	39.97	39.89	39.44			38.73(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	-10000	-7	-54	13.1	42%		-15.8	1.46%	0	-2	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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