Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $41.4800 (0.44%) ($41.2500 - $41.5100) on Fri. Oct. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $41.4800(0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(97%)    IWF(91%)    QQQ(90%)    VT(90%)    SPY(88%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-12%)    XLRE(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.14(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.3(2.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.27(3%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2015	41.62	40.27	40.3	41.14			41.48(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	9	70	11.38	49%	-0.05	40.2	1.49%	0	1.6	58	0
2	Oct_8_2015	41.64	40.22	40.12	40.86			41.3(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	12	55	15.37	48%	-0.05	35.5	1.49%	0	1.6	60	0
3	Oct_7_2015	41.66	40.16	39.97	40.5			41.11(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	11	27	15.22	48%	-0.07	25.3	1.5%	0	1.5	50	0
4	Oct_6_2015	41.69	40.09	39.83	40.18			40.92(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	11	-10000	15	0	9.86	48%	-0.05	19.4	1.5%	0	1.3	46	0
5	Oct_5_2015	41.71	40.06	39.7	39.74			40.87(1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	1	-10000	13	-36	8.57	48%	-0.07	0.7	1.5%	0	1.3	48	0

6	Oct_2_2015	41.74	39.98	39.64	39.35			40.08(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-14	-10000	2	-62	14.92	46%	-0.07	-27.3	1.49%	0	0.2	47	0
7	Oct_1_2015	41.77	39.97	39.63	39.29			39.52(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	-10000	-2	-72	13.52	46%	-0.1	-34.7	1.48%	0	-0.7	41	0
8	Sep_30_2015	41.81	39.99	39.75	39.36			39.5(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-3	-65	12.47	46%	-0.07	-29.7	1.49%	0	-0.8	43	0
9	Sep_29_2015	41.84	39.97	39.89	39.44			38.73(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	-10000	-7	-54	13.1	42%	-0.1	-15.8	1.46%	0	-2	41	0
10	Sep_28_2015	41.88	40.05	40.11	39.65			38.9(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	-10000	-11	-40	12.58	42%	-0.1	8.6	1.48%	0	-2.1	37	0

11	Sep_25_2015	41.92	40.14	40.27	39.96			39.81(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-2	-10	10.83	43%	-0.07	36.8	1.46%	0	-0.7	57	0
12	Sep_24_2015	41.95	40.18	40.34	40.01			39.88(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-6	-10000	-6	-4	11.03	43%	-0.05	34.7	1.46%	0	-0.6	51	0
13	Sep_23_2015	41.97	40.17	40.39	40.19			39.88(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10000	-8	9	5.68	43%	-0.07	22	1.46%	0	-0.6	51	0
14	Sep_22_2015	42	40.08	40.4	40.42			39.78(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-7	32	12.29	43%	-0.07	-4.9	1.46%	0	-0.4	59	0
15	Sep_21_2015	42.03	40	40.47	40.64			40.46(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	1	51	6.96	45%	-0.07	-20.7	1.45%	0	0.5	52	0

16	Sep_18_2015	42.06	39.96	40.36	40.62			40.06(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-3	37	18.12	45%	-0.05	-36.6	1.45%	0	0.1	47	0
17	Sep_17_2015	42.08	40.01	40.35	40.7			40.77(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	3	40	16.78	46%	-0.07	-38.3	1.44%	0	0.9	51	0
18	Sep_16_2015	42.11	40.06	40.26	40.6			41.05(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	8	39	7.72	46%	-0.05	-38.5	1.44%	0	1	60	0
19	Sep_15_2015	42.13	40.11	40.06	40.37			40.88(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	3	36	8.81	46%	-0.07	-39.8	1.44%	0	0.7	69	0
20	Sep_14_2015	42.16	40.18	39.98	40.27			40.36(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	7	52	7.45	46%	-0.05	-38.6	1.44%	0	0.1	64	0

21	Sep_11_2015	42.18	40.27	39.98	40.06			40.46(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	4	50	6.86	45%	-0.07	-39.6	1.44%	0	0.1	54	0
22	Sep_10_2015	42.21	40.35	39.99	39.95			40.27(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	3	38	14.02	47%	-0.05	-40.1	1.44%	0	-0.1	46	0
23	Sep_9_2015	42.23	40.44	39.92	39.87			39.87(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	7	-10000	6	11	9.65	47%	-0.07	-41	1.45%	0	-0.4	40	0
24	Sep_8_2015	42.26	40.55	39.73	39.69			40.4(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	1	-46	9.45	46%	-0.02	-43.6	1.44%	0	-0.1	41	0
25	Sep_4_2015	42.27	40.66	39.51	39.65			39.3(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-10000	-9	-98	13.78	42%		-41.7	1.39%	0	-0.9	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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