Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $42.0700 (1.2%) ($41.6600 - $42.0700) on Mon. Dec. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $42.0700(1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    VT(89%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    VYM(77%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.16(2.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.08(2.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.55(1.25%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2014	40.15	41.55	41.08	41.16			42.07(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	-0	-10000	16	-49	6.11	52%	0.07	-16.4	1.01%	0	0.7	49	0
2	Dec_19_2014	40.12	41.55	41.03	40.82			41.57(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-15	-10000	9	-86	11.69	50%	0.07	-29.6	1%	0	0.1	44	0
3	Dec_18_2014	40.09	41.53	41.07	40.63			41.74(2.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-24	-10000	5	-109	10.66	50%	0.05	-35.5	1%	0	0.3	41	0
4	Dec_17_2014	40.07	41.51	41.09	40.53			40.58(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-10000	-5	-133	15.28	46%	0.02	-37.9	0.94%	0	-1.3	30	0
5	Dec_16_2014	40.06	41.57	41.25	40.62			39.83(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-49	-10000	-20	-134	15.65	44%	0	-32.1	0.91%	0	-2.6	26	0

6	Dec_15_2014	40.06	41.67	41.48	40.99			40.37(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-36	-10000	-14	-100	10.25	45%	0	-16.5	0.9%	0	-2.5	30	0
7	Dec_12_2014	40.06	41.74	41.65	41.25			40.62(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-31	-10000	-16	-75	8.98	45%	0.02	4.9	0.9%	0	-2.6	38	0
8	Dec_11_2014	40.05	41.74	41.84	41.55			41.23(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-10000	-10	-35	9.04	48%	0.05	34.8	0.88%	0	-1.5	46	0
9	Dec_10_2014	40.03	41.74	41.95	41.74			41.05(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-12	-10000	-13	-7	8.27	49%	0.02	51.6	0.88%	0	-1.9	48	0
10	Dec_9_2014	40.02	41.78	42.05	41.97			41.68(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10000	-3	21	8.22	50%	0.05	72.5	0.86%	0	-0.3	52	0

11	Dec_8_2014	40	41.75	42.07	42.03			41.69(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-4	33	6.69	50%	0.05	73.3	0.87%	0	-0.1	55	0
12	Dec_5_2014	39.98	41.71	42.08	42.1			42.12(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-10000	-4	41	7.18	53%	0.1	72.6	0.86%	0	0.9	62	0
13	Dec_4_2014	39.94	41.65	42.03	42.17			42.17(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	-10000	-2	54	3.77	53%	0.05	83.1	0.86%	0	1.1	68	0
14	Dec_3_2014	39.92	41.58	41.96	42.2			42.17(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	3	65	4.27	53%	0.08	91.1	0.86%	0	1.2	71	0
15	Dec_2_2014	39.89	41.51	41.91	42.14			42.02(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	1	71	5.63	53%	0.08	96	0.86%	0	1	71	0

16	Dec_1_2014	39.86	41.45	41.86	42.12			42.01(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	4	80	11.66	53%	0.08	105.5	0.86%	0	1.1	71	0
17	Nov_28_2014	39.83	41.37	41.82	42.05			42.49(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	30	-10000	10	91	5.43	55%	0.13	112.2	0.85%	0	2.1	85	0
18	Nov_26_2014	39.78	41.25	41.7	41.87			42.29(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	29	-10000	10	85	10.24	55%	0.1	98.7	0.84%	0	1.7	84	0
19	Nov_25_2014	39.74	41.12	41.58	41.7			41.91(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	20	-10000	3	71	4.74	53%	0.08	99.3	0.84%	0	1.3	80	0
20	Nov_24_2014	39.71	41.02	41.49	41.65			41.89(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	-10000	4	73	3.11	53%	0.05	95.9	0.84%	0	1.2	82	0

21	Nov_21_2014	39.69	40.89	41.4	41.58			41.67(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	18	-10000	1	70	6.46	53%	0.08	97.8	0.84%	0	1.1	79	0
22	Nov_20_2014	39.66	40.78	41.32	41.56			41.61(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	21	-10000	3	76	4.9	53%	0.08	99	0.84%	0	1	81	0
23	Nov_19_2014	39.63	40.65	41.24	41.51			41.4(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	3	86	7.17	54%	0.05	96	0.84%	0	0.8	86	0
24	Nov_18_2014	39.61	40.51	41.18	41.45			41.67(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-10000	8	102	4.83	56%	0.1	95.4	0.83%	0	1.2	95	0
25	Nov_17_2014	39.57	40.36	41.08	41.31			41.53(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	7	103	4.13	56%		88.8	0.84%	0	1.1	93	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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