Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $39.9800 (-0.22%) ($39.9100 - $40.1600) on Tue. Sep. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.58% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $39.9800(-0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    VT(89%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.29% (StdDev 0.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $40.22
5 Day Moving Average   $40.27(-0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.25(-0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.22(-0.6%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.4% (three month std-dev: 0.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20141023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2014	38.78	40.22	40.25	40.27			39.98(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-1	-10000	-5	10	5.97	59%	0.1	35	0.58%	0	-1.5	50	0
2	Sep_22_2014	38.74	40.22	40.26	40.33			40.07(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.7	6	-10000	2	17	6.38	59%	0.08	64.9	0.58%	0	-1.1	46	0
3	Sep_19_2014	38.71	40.23	40.26	40.31			40.34(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	2	16	15.73	62%	0.1	91.4	0.58%	0	0.8	51	0
4	Sep_18_2014	38.67	40.22	40.29	40.29			40.6(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	8	-10000	4	18	7.4	64%	0.1	114.3	0.57%	0	2.7	60	0
5	Sep_17_2014	38.63	40.19	40.23	40.25			40.36(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	4	-10000	2	9	7.65	62%	0.13	140.6	0.57%	0	1.3	54	0

6	Sep_16_2014	38.58	40.16	40.23	40.23			40.28(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	4	7	11.91	62%	0.1	162.9	0.57%	0	0.9	53	0
7	Sep_15_2014	38.54	40.13	40.2	40.19			39.98(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-10000	-6	-0	6.88	61%	0.1	150	0.57%	0	-0.9	47	0
8	Sep_12_2014	38.5	40.1	40.23	40.26			40.22(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-2	16	5.56	60%	0.1	122.6	0.56%	0	0.5	54	0
9	Sep_11_2014	38.46	40.06	40.22	40.28			40.39(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	6	21	10.32	60%	0.13	117.3	0.57%	0	1.1	60	0
10	Sep_10_2014	38.41	40.01	40.2	40.21			40.3(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	4	17	7.24	60%	0.1	108.2	0.57%	0	0.9	64	0

11	Sep_9_2014	38.37	39.94	40.18	40.16			40.06(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	-4	13	8.56	58%	0.1	88.3	0.57%	0	0.3	58	0
12	Sep_8_2014	38.33	39.88	40.19	40.21			40.35(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	10	-10000	1	35	6.39	61%	0.05	78.8	0.56%	0	1	78	0
13	Sep_5_2014	38.31	39.8	40.17	40.2			40.29(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	17	-10000	4	55	7.03	61%	0.1	70.2	0.56%	0	0.9	83	0
14	Sep_4_2014	38.27	39.71	40.15	40.16			40.05(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-2	68	5.21	59%	0.1	56.4	0.56%	0	0.6	81	0
15	Sep_3_2014	38.23	39.64	40.14	40.18			40.07(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-10000	-2	89	6.89	59%	0.13	46.5	0.56%	0	0.7	83	0

16	Sep_2_2014	38.18	39.57	40.12	40.2			40.29(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	33	-10000	3	122	5.69	59%	0.21	39	0.56%	0	1.1	96	0
17	Aug_29_2014	38.1	39.51	40.06	40.17			40.28(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	-10000	3	144	7.68	59%	0.13	34.6	0.55%	0	1.2	95	0
18	Aug_28_2014	38.05	39.44	39.97	40.17			40.1(-0.15%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0.1	39	-10000	0	154	3.53	59%	0.08	27.1	0.56%	0	1.1	95	0
19	Aug_27_2014	38.02	39.38	39.89	40.14			40.16(-0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	48	-10000	4	181	4.33	62%	0.13	22.7	0.56%	0	1.3	98	0
20	Aug_26_2014	37.97	39.35	39.8	40.09			40.17(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	51	-10000	4	193	3.36	62%	0.11	20.7	0.56%	0	1.4	90	0

21	Aug_25_2014	37.93	39.32	39.67	40.04			40.15(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	55	-10000	9	193	3.43	62%	0.13	18.6	0.57%	0	1.5	84	0
22	Aug_22_2014	37.88	39.3	39.55	39.94			40.11(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	-10000	15	177	4.41	64%	0.08	17.8	0.58%	0	1.5	69	0
23	Aug_21_2014	37.85	39.27	39.4	39.77			40.1(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	-10000	14	152	3.45	64%	0.08	12.3	0.58%	0	1.6	72	0
24	Aug_20_2014	37.82	39.25	39.24	39.61			39.91(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	38	-10000	12	117	7.01	64%	0.11	10.4	0.58%	0	1.3	64	0
25	Aug_19_2014	37.78	39.23	39.1	39.47			39.91(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	18	73	5.05	64%		5.7	0.58%	0	1.4	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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