Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 9, 2014

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $36.3300 (0.11%) ($36.0700 - $36.3500) on Fri. May. 9, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $36.3300(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    VT(89%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.31(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.33(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.13(0.55%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140609

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_9_2014	35.82	36.13	36.33	36.31			36.33(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-1	23	7.44	48%	0.03	30.8	0.8%	0	0.6	53	0
2	May_8_2014	35.81	36.09	36.28	36.32			36.29(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-3	18	3.79	48%	0.06	17.5	0.81%	0	0.6	55	0
3	May_7_2014	35.79	36.1	36.27	36.36			36.19(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-4	25	6.83	50%	0.06	16.5	0.81%	0	0.3	53	0
4	May_6_2014	35.77	36.09	36.25	36.42			36.17(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-2	35	4.7	52%	0.03	10.3	0.83%	0	0.2	58	0
5	May_5_2014	35.76	36.06	36.27	36.45			36.58(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	7	58	4.08	54%	0.08	4	0.82%	0	1.4	68	0

6	May_2_2014	35.73	36.06	36.22	36.35			36.39(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	8	64	6.72	50%	0.06	-6.4	0.86%	0	1.1	70	0
7	May_1_2014	35.71	36.03	36.18	36.22			36.49(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	3	57	4.98	50%	0.06	-7	0.86%	0	1.3	63	0
8	Apr_30_2014	35.69	36.04	36.14	36.17			36.45(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	7	47	9.17	52%	0.06	-2.8	0.86%	0	1.1	49	0
9	Apr_29_2014	35.67	36.04	36.07	36.17			36.34(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	0	30	5.48	51%	0.03	-6.1	0.87%	0	0.7	54	0
10	Apr_28_2014	35.66	36.04	35.99	36.06			36.09(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-1	28	12.07	51%	0.03	-6.1	0.88%	0	0.1	55	0

11	Apr_25_2014	35.65	36.05	35.91	36.08			35.75(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-3	17	6.4	48%	0.06	-7.9	0.87%	0	-0.7	49	0
12	Apr_24_2014	35.63	36.06	35.9	36.13			36.21(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	1	7	5.01	47%	0.03	-11.7	0.87%	0	0.4	45	0
13	Apr_23_2014	35.62	36.05	35.9	36.11			35.93(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	1	-10000	2	-1	11.43	47%	0.06	-17.1	0.9%	0	-0.3	40	0
14	Apr_22_2014	35.6	36.08	35.91	36.07			36.32(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	10	-16	5.48	49%	0.03	-20.2	0.89%	0	0.6	43	0
15	Apr_21_2014	35.59	36.07	35.84	35.91			36.17(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	12	-44	3.53	49%	0.06	-28.1	0.88%	0	0.2	48	0

16	Apr_17_2014	35.57	36.08	35.81	35.72			36.03(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10000	6	-70	7.88	49%	0.03	-33.6	0.89%	0	-0.1	50	0
17	Apr_16_2014	35.56	36.11	35.86	35.63			36.08(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-21	-10000	-4	-73	14	49%	0.06	-31	0.89%	0	-0.1	52	0
18	Apr_15_2014	35.54	36.12	35.92	35.7			35.73(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-3	-55	8.59	49%	0.06	-26.1	0.88%	0	-0.9	47	0
19	Apr_14_2014	35.52	36.16	36.02	35.75			35.55(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-1	-45	4.99	52%	0.03	-20.7	0.89%	0	-1.5	41	0
20	Apr_11_2014	35.51	36.19	36.11	35.77			35.2(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-18	-10000	-9	-45	14.25	49%	0.03	-23.3	0.91%	0	-2.4	40	0

21	Apr_10_2014	35.5	36.22	36.2	35.91			35.6(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-13	-37	8.09	50%	0.06	-26.3	0.91%	0	-1.7	43	0
22	Apr_9_2014	35.48	36.24	36.25	36.12			36.44(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-10	-10000	-4	-26	6.66	53%	0.08	-20.2	0.86%	0	0.6	46	0
23	Apr_8_2014	35.45	36.23	36.21	36.19			35.96(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-10	-28	7.33	51%	0.03	-16	0.84%	0	-0.8	45	0
24	Apr_7_2014	35.44	36.25	36.26	36.35			35.64(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-9	-10000	-9	-10	11.18	51%	0.06	-5.5	0.84%	0	-1.8	39	0
25	Apr_4_2014	35.42	36.29	36.34	36.49			35.92(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.9	2	-10000	-2	13	10.1	51%		13.3	0.83%	0	-1.2	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.