Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $35.9300 (-1.07%) ($35.9200 - $36.2600) on Wed. Apr. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $35.9300(-1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    VT(89%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $36.05
5 Day Moving Average   $36.11(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.91(0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.05(-0.33%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140523

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_23_2014	35.62	36.05		36.11			35.93(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	1	-10000	2	-1	11.43	47%	0.06	-17.1	0.9%	0	-0.3	40	0
2	Apr_22_2014	35.6	36.08	35.91	36.07			36.32(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	10	-16	5.48	49%	0.03	-20.2	0.89%	0	0.6	43	0
3	Apr_21_2014	35.59	36.07	35.84	35.91			36.17(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	12	-44	3.53	49%	0.06	-28.1	0.88%	0	0.2	48	0
4	Apr_17_2014	35.57	36.08	35.81	35.72			36.03(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10000	6	-70	7.88	49%	0.03	-33.6	0.89%	0	-0.1	50	0
5	Apr_16_2014	35.56	36.11	35.86	35.63			36.08(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-21	-10000	-4	-73	14	49%	0.06	-31	0.89%	0	-0.1	52	0

6	Apr_15_2014	35.54	36.12	35.92	35.7			35.73(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-3	-55	8.59	49%	0.06	-26.1	0.88%	0	-0.9	47	0
7	Apr_14_2014	35.52	36.16	36.02	35.75			35.55(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-1	-45	4.99	52%	0.03	-20.7	0.89%	0	-1.5	41	0
8	Apr_11_2014	35.51	36.19	36.11	35.77			35.2(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-18	-10000	-9	-45	14.25	49%	0.03	-23.3	0.91%	0	-2.4	40	0
9	Apr_10_2014	35.5	36.22	36.2	35.91			35.6(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-13	-37	8.09	50%	0.06	-26.3	0.91%	0	-1.7	43	0
10	Apr_9_2014	35.48	36.24	36.25	36.12			36.44(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-10	-10000	-4	-26	6.66	53%	0.08	-20.2	0.86%	0	0.6	46	0

11	Apr_8_2014	35.45	36.23	36.21	36.19			35.96(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-10	-28	7.33	51%	0.03	-16	0.84%	0	-0.8	45	0
12	Apr_7_2014	35.44	36.25	36.26	36.35			35.64(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-9	-10000	-9	-10	11.18	51%	0.06	-5.5	0.84%	0	-1.8	39	0
13	Apr_4_2014	35.42	36.29	36.34	36.49			35.92(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.9	2	-10000	-2	13	10.1	51%	0.06	13.3	0.83%	0	-1.2	50	0
14	Apr_3_2014	35.4	36.32	36.34	36.52			36.62(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	9	34	7.76	55%	0.06	16.9	0.8%	0	1	65	0
15	Apr_2_2014	35.38	36.31	36.38	36.39			36.8(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	-10000	10	34	10.5	53%	0.08	8.8	0.8%	0	1.7	63	0

16	Apr_1_2014	35.35	36.29	36.33	36.24			36.78(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	7	-10000	4	16	7.02	53%	0.08	1.4	0.81%	0	1.8	54	0
17	Mar_31_2014	35.32	36.27	36.3	36.18			36.35(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10000	1	13	7.28	52%	0.06	2.8	0.81%	0	0.3	51	0
18	Mar_28_2014	35.3	36.25	36.27	36.17			36.07(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10000	-4	4	6.36	52%	0.09	-1.4	0.8%	0	-0.7	46	0
19	Mar_27_2014	35.27	36.26	36.27	36.22			35.93(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10	-10000	-10	-8	12.93	52%	0.06	11.6	0.8%	0	-1.3	43	0
20	Mar_26_2014	35.25	36.26	36.23	36.36			36.06(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4	-10000	-4	-2	7.51	52%	0.06	31.9	0.8%	0	-0.9	43	0

21	Mar_25_2014	35.23	36.28	36.26	36.42			36.5(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1	-10000	-1	5	7.63	54%	0.09	40.6	0.79%	0	0.9	50	0
22	Mar_24_2014	35.2	36.26	36.26	36.43			36.28(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	4	-10000	4	4	10.35	54%	0.09	39.1	0.79%	0	0.1	47	0
23	Mar_21_2014	35.17	36.25	36.24	36.38			36.31(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	-10000	10	9	9.11	56%	0.09	33.3	0.8%	0	0.2	57	0
24	Mar_20_2014	35.14	36.23	36.25	36.24			36.65(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	7	-10000	11	-5	5.9	58%	0.09	18.1	0.8%	0	1.6	54	0
25	Mar_19_2014	35.11	36.2	36.23	36.08			36.37(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-6	-10000	0	-25	7.79	58%		7.6	0.79%	0	0.7	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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