Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $35.9600 (-1.07%) ($35.6700 - $36.0500) on Mon. Mar. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $35.9600(-1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(73%)    SMH(72%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.13(-0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.09(-0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.62(0.95%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140403

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_3_2014	34.72	35.62	36.09	36.13			35.96(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-2	42	9.03	56%	0.09	51.5	0.75%	0	0.5	71	0
2	Feb_28_2014	34.69	35.57	36.1	36.15			36.35(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	-10000	6	71	9.7	58%	0.14	50.7	0.73%	0	1.1	83	0
3	Feb_27_2014	34.64	35.49	36.06	36.07			36.31(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	-10000	3	89	5.45	59%	0.14	41.9	0.74%	0	1.1	86	0
4	Feb_26_2014	34.59	35.39	36	36.03			36.02(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	30	-10000	1	117	5.82	58%	0.12	30.1	0.73%	0	0.9	88	0
5	Feb_25_2014	34.55	35.32	35.97	36.02			35.99(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	35	-10000	-2	145	5.61	58%	0.12	21.4	0.74%	0	0.9	88	0

6	Feb_24_2014	34.51	35.26	35.89	36.04			36.09(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	45	-10000	1	178	7.85	58%	0.12	17.2	0.73%	0	1.2	91	0
7	Feb_21_2014	34.47	35.2	35.8	36.03			35.95(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	46	-10000	-1	187	6.37	60%	0.12	12.1	0.73%	0	1.1	67	0
8	Feb_20_2014	34.43	35.19	35.67	36.04			36.09(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	-10000	5	191	6.7	60%	0.12	12.2	0.74%	0	1.3	70	0
9	Feb_19_2014	34.39	35.17	35.5	35.97			35.97(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	-10000	5	185	8.61	60%	0.12	11.9	0.74%	0	1.2	74	0
10	Feb_18_2014	34.35	35.16	35.33	35.9			36.09(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	-10000	14	176	5.95	60%	0.2	15.7	0.74%	0	1.4	69	0

11	Feb_14_2014	34.28	35.13	35.13	35.72			36.07(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	-10000	15	141	12.38	60%	0.09	11.4	0.74%	0	1.4	65	0
12	Feb_13_2014	34.25	35.12	35	35.52			36(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	-10000	21	114	6.91	61%	0.12	7.6	0.74%	0	1.4	58	0
13	Feb_12_2014	34.21	35.11	34.86	35.25			35.74(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	23	58	8.05	61%	0.12	-0.5	0.74%	0	1	46	0
14	Feb_11_2014	34.17	35.09	34.71	34.95			35.6(1.22%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	13	-10000	22	-14	7.04	61%	0.09	-13.3	0.74%	0	0.8	43	0
15	Feb_10_2014	34.14	35.09	34.6	34.67			35.17(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	17	-82	6.76	59%	0.09	-27.2	0.72%	0	0.2	38	0

16	Feb_7_2014	34.11	35.06	34.56	34.46			35.1(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-30	-10000	5	-136	10.46	57%	0.06	-36.1	0.73%	0	0.1	40	0
17	Feb_6_2014	34.09	35.07	34.55	34.4			34.63(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-43	-10000	-2	-166	9.14	57%	0.06	-40	0.73%	0	-0.7	31	0
18	Feb_5_2014	34.07	35.11	34.65	34.42			34.25(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-10000	-2	-169	9.2	55%	0.06	-41.8	0.73%	0	-1.4	24	0
19	Feb_4_2014	34.05	35.18	34.81	34.44			34.22(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-10000	-5	-165	5.73	55%	0.06	-44	0.73%	0	-1.6	34	0
20	Feb_3_2014	34.03	35.23	34.98	34.51			34.09(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-10000	-11	-140	15.98	55%	0.06	-47.4	0.73%	0	-2.1	43	0

21	Jan_31_2014	34.01	35.29	35.15	34.65			34.82(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-35	-10000	-6	-122	10.94	60%	0.06	-50.7	0.68%	0	-1	45	0
22	Jan_30_2014	33.99	35.32	35.26	34.72			34.74(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-40	-10000	-18	-104	8.33	60%	0.09	-49.6	0.68%	0	-1.2	45	0
23	Jan_29_2014	33.96	35.37	35.38	34.93			34.32(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-39	-10000	-28	-71	11.22	58%	0.06	-35.4	0.66%	0	-2.3	37	0
24	Jan_28_2014	33.94	35.44	35.51	35.25			34.59(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-23	-10000	-22	-24	13.15	60%	0.09	-13.3	0.66%	0	-2.1	39	0
25	Jan_27_2014	33.91	35.49	35.56	35.51			34.8(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-9	-10000	-16	12	8.01	60%		15.6	0.66%	0	-2	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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