Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 12, 2014

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $35.7400 (0.39%) ($35.6600 - $35.8000) on Wed. Feb. 12, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $35.7400(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    XLF(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.25(1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.86(2.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.11(1.79%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140312

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_12_2014	34.21	35.11	34.86	35.25			35.74(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	23	58	8.05	61%	0.12	-0.5	0.74%	0	1	46	0
2	Feb_11_2014	34.17	35.09	34.71	34.95			35.6(1.22%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	13	-10000	22	-14	7.04	61%	0.09	-13.3	0.74%	0	0.8	43	0
3	Feb_10_2014	34.14	35.09	34.6	34.67			35.17(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	17	-82	6.76	59%	0.09	-27.2	0.72%	0	0.2	38	0
4	Feb_7_2014	34.11	35.06	34.56	34.46			35.1(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-30	-10000	5	-136	10.46	57%	0.06	-36.1	0.73%	0	0.1	40	0
5	Feb_6_2014	34.09	35.07	34.55	34.4			34.63(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-43	-10000	-2	-166	9.14	57%	0.06	-40	0.73%	0	-0.7	31	0

6	Feb_5_2014	34.07	35.11	34.65	34.42			34.25(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-10000	-2	-169	9.2	55%	0.06	-41.8	0.73%	0	-1.4	24	0
7	Feb_4_2014	34.05	35.18	34.81	34.44			34.22(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-10000	-5	-165	5.73	55%	0.06	-44	0.73%	0	-1.6	34	0
8	Feb_3_2014	34.03	35.23	34.98	34.51			34.09(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-10000	-11	-140	15.98	55%	0.06	-47.4	0.73%	0	-2.1	43	0
9	Jan_31_2014	34.01	35.29	35.15	34.65			34.82(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-35	-10000	-6	-122	10.94	60%	0.06	-50.7	0.68%	0	-1	45	0
10	Jan_30_2014	33.99	35.32	35.26	34.72			34.74(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-40	-10000	-18	-104	8.33	60%	0.09	-49.6	0.68%	0	-1.2	45	0

11	Jan_29_2014	33.96	35.37	35.38	34.93			34.32(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-39	-10000	-28	-71	11.22	58%	0.06	-35.4	0.66%	0	-2.3	37	0
12	Jan_28_2014	33.94	35.44	35.51	35.25			34.59(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-23	-10000	-22	-24	13.15	60%	0.09	-13.3	0.66%	0	-2.1	39	0
13	Jan_27_2014	33.91	35.49	35.56	35.51			34.8(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-9	-10000	-16	12	8.01	60%	0.09	15.6	0.66%	0	-2	48	0
14	Jan_24_2014	33.88	35.54	35.63	35.7			35.13(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	0	-10000	-14	43	15.5	63%	0.09	48.8	0.65%	0	-1.4	51	0
15	Jan_23_2014	33.85	35.56	35.65	35.87			35.82(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10000	-3	77	6.42	69%	0.12	81.7	0.59%	0	0.9	57	0

16	Jan_22_2014	33.81	35.54	35.62	35.9			35.89(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	7	79	4.22	69%	0.15	98.8	0.6%	0	1.2	51	0
17	Jan_21_2014	33.76	35.49	35.57	35.82			35.93(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-10000	18	74	6.29	69%	0.15	113.2	0.59%	0	1.6	55	0
18	Jan_17_2014	33.71	35.44	35.49	35.63			35.75(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	8	27	6.34	72%	0.12	98.7	0.62%	0	1.1	52	0
19	Jan_16_2014	33.67	35.39	35.44	35.54			35.95(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	12	-10000	13	7	6.93	73%	0.15	89.4	0.62%	0	1.9	54	0
20	Jan_15_2014	33.62	35.32	35.38	35.4			35.96(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	2	-10000	9	-20	9.67	73%	0.12	71.8	0.62%	0	2.1	56	0

21	Jan_14_2014	33.58	35.25	35.35	35.3			35.53(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	1	-31	6.42	72%	0.12	53.8	0.62%	0	0.9	52	0
22	Jan_13_2014	33.54	35.19	35.34	35.29			34.94(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9	-10000	-5	-22	6.45	69%	0.09	41.4	0.59%	0	-0.7	53	0
23	Jan_10_2014	33.51	35.16	35.41	35.34			35.32(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	3	-10000	2	6	12.96	77%	0.12	35.3	0.57%	0	0.4	62	0
24	Jan_9_2014	33.47	35.13	35.44	35.32			35.25(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-3	22	6.34	77%	0.09	29.8	0.6%	0	0.3	63	0
25	Jan_8_2014	33.44	35.11	35.46	35.35			35.48(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	9	-10000	-5	52	4.7	73%		32.1	0.59%	0	0.8	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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